Gabriel Diallo and Hugo Grenier will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Hong Kong Tennis Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 1:30 pm on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gabriel Diallo who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Gabriel Diallo is the pick to win this match.
Gabriel Diallo -> 1.198
Hugo Grenier -> 4.15
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Prediction and head to head Gabriel Diallo vs. Hugo Grenier
This will be the 2nd time that Gabriel Diallo and Hugo Grenier clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Diallo (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Diallo won 4-6 6-4 6-2 in the 1st round in the Lille Challenger back in 2023.
Gabriel Diallo
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 49-26 | 30-12 | 7-6 | 9-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-28 | 8-11 | 2-2 | 24-10 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 17-6 | 0-0 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-4 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 87, the Canadian got to the qualifications after defeating Ki Lung Ng 7-6(2) 6-2.
In the qualifications, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against Lung Ng (7-62 6-2). During the match, Diallo scored 83 points vs Lung Ng’s 62. Diallo was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about the service games, Diallo recorded 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Gabriel Diallo was extremely efficient on serve to win 81% (35/43) of his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Canadian broke Lung Ng twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Diallo has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 64% of his matches (133-76). 30-12 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Diallo has a composed70-36 record in the last 6 years on hard.
His best result of the season was conquering the title the Chicago Challenger where he beat Bu Yunchaokete in the final 6-3 7-6(3).
The Canadian has a composed 49-26 win-loss record in 2024, 30-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hong Kong
The Canadian has never competed in this tournament before.
Hugo Grenier
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-33 | 25-15 | 2-8 | 9-8 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-33 | 15-8 | 7-10 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-35 | 21-14 | 9-10 | 1-8 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-28 | 22-9 | 9-8 | 12-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 155, Hugo reached the qualifications after defeating Terence Atmane 3-6 6-3 6-4.
In the qualifications against Atmane, Grenier recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-4). During the match Grenier scored 87 points vs Atmane’s 83. Hugo was very aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about serving, Grenier recorded 8 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Hugo Grenier lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Grenier put 65% of his first serves in, winning 84% (42/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 37% (10/27) on the 2nd serve. Hugo broke Atmane 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Hugo’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Granby Challenger,the Lexington Challenger and the Roanne Challenger.
The French player has a compiled 39-33 win-loss record in 2024, 25-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Diallo | Grenier |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 21 | 28 |
| Pts | 83-62 | 87-83 |
| Total Points | 145 | 170 |
| Winners | 35 | 42 |
| %Winners | 42% | 48% |
Both Diallo and Grenier played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Hugo Grenier surrendered 1 set while Gabriel Diallo hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Diallo has played 1 set(s) less than Grenier (2 vs 3). Therefore, Diallo played 7 games less than Grenier. The Canadian scored 35 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Hugo made 42 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Diallo | Grenier |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 8 |
| 1st in | 43/59 | 50/77 |
| %1st in | 73% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 35/43 | 42/50 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 9/16 | 10/27 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 37% |
Diallo recorded 5 aces . Grenier blasted 8 aces . Diallo won 81% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Grenier won 84% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 37% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Diallo | Grenier |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 3 |
| Converted | 2/7 | 3/7 |
| % Converted | 29% | 43% |
| Conceded | 0 | 4 |
| Saved | 0 | 2 |
| % Saved | 0% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 |
Gabriel broke his opponent twice with a 29% conversion rate. Gabriel extremely effective on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points. The French player broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Grenier conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Diallo | |||
| Q1 Lung |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 83-62 | 83-62 | |
| Total points | 145 | 145 | |
| Winners | 35 | 35 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 43/59 | 43/59 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 35/43 | 35/43 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/16 | 9/16 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 2/7 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Grenier | |||
| Q1 Atmane |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 87-83 | 87-83 | |
| Total points | 170 | 170 | |
| Winners | 42 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 50/77 | 50/77 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 42/50 | 42/50 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/27 | 10/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 37% | 37% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWWWL
LLWLWLWWWL 
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