Pavel Kotov and Marc-Andrea Huesler will square off in the qualifications of the Hong Kong Tennis Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 1:30 pm on COURT 2. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marc-Andrea Huesler who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Marc-Andrea Huesler is the pick to win this match.
Marc-Andrea Huesler -> 1.86
Pavel Kotov -> 1.86
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Prediction and head to head Pavel Kotov vs. Marc-Andrea Huesler
This will be the 2nd time that Pavel Kotov and Marc-Andrea Huesler fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Kotov (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Kotov won 3-6 7-5 6-0 in the qualifications in Kazakhstan F3 (Shymkent).
Pavel Kotov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 20-25 | 9-11 | 11-9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-32 | 13-14 | 20-12 | 9-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-20 | 5-3 | 20-9 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-25 | 5-5 | 7-11 | 17-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 86, the Russian reached the qualifications after beating Valentin Royer 3-6 7-5 7-6(5).
In the qualifications against Royer, Pavel recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-5 7-65).During the match, Kotov scored less points (2) than Royer. In fact, the world no. 86 won 101 points vs Royer’s. That means that Kotov was more focused during the important points. Pavel was quite aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kotov recorded 10 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Pavel Kotov was exceptionally effective on serve to win 74% (43/58) of his 1st serve and 56% (19/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Kotov broke Royer 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Kotov has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 60% of his matches (272-185). 9-11 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Kotov has an overall58-45 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
The Russian’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Marrakech.
The Russian has a composed 20-25 win-loss record in 2024, 9-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hong Kong
Marc-Andrea Huesler
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 41-28 | 11-6 | 16-10 | 10-9 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 20-31 | 7-9 | 2-10 | 5-8 | 4-3 | 2-1 |
| 2022 | 45-28 | 9-8 | 18-6 | 11-10 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-33 | 3-6 | 14-15 | 9-7 | 1-3 | 3-2 |
Ranked no. 159, Marc-Andrea reached the qualifications after beating Laslo Djere 7-5 6-4.
In the qualifications, The Swiss had a good straight sets win against Djere (7-5 6-4). During the match Huesler scored 77 points vs Djere’s 67. Marc-Andrea was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.
About the serving games, Huesler recorded 4 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Marc-Andrea Huesler lost the serve once. Furthermore, Huesler put 69% of his first serves in, winning 76% (34/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (10/20) on the 2nd serve. Marc-Andrea broke Djere 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
His best result of the season was winning the title the Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger where he defeated Vit Kopriva in the final 6-1 6-4.
The Swiss has a compiled 41-28 win-loss record in 2024, 11-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kotov | Huesler |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 34 | 22 |
| Pts | 101-103 | 77-67 |
| Total Points | 204 | 144 |
| Winners | 43 | 34 |
| %Winners | 43% | 44% |
Both Kotov and Huesler played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Pavel Kotov surrendered 1 set while Marc-Andrea Huesler hasn’t lost a set so far. Kotov has played 1 set more than Huesler (3 vs 2). Therefore, Kotov played 12 games more than Huesler. The Russian scored 43 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Marc-Andrea made 34 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kotov | Huesler |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 10 | 4 |
| 1st in | 58/92 | 45/65 |
| %1st in | 63% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 43/58 | 34/45 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 19/34 | 10/20 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 50% |
Kotov fired 10 aces . Huesler scored 4 aces . Kotov won 74% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Huesler won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kotov | Huesler |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 3 |
| Converted | 3/10 | 3/7 |
| % Converted | 30% | 43% |
| Conceded | 4 | 1 |
| Saved | 1 | 0 |
| % Saved | 25% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 |
Pavel broke his opponent 3 times with a 30% conversion rate. Kotov dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded. The Swiss broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Marc-Andrea conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kotov | |||
| Q1 Royer |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 7-5 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 34 | |
| pts | 101-103 | 101-103 | |
| Total points | 204 | 204 | |
| Winners | 43 | 43 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 10 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 58/92 | 58/92 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 43/58 | 43/58 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/34 | 19/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 3/10 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Huesler | |||
| Q1 Djere |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 77-67 | 77-67 | |
| Total points | 144 | 144 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 45/65 | 45/65 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 34/45 | 34/45 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/20 | 10/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLLLWWWL
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