Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Renzo Olivo will face off in the semifinal of the Temuco Challenger for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:30 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.22
Renzo Olivo -> 3.92

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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Renzo Olivo

This will be the 4^th time that Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Renzo Olivo clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Ugo Carabelli (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Ugo Carabelli won 6-4 6-0 in the 1^st round in the Villa Maria Challenger back in October 2024.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Ranked no. 105, the Argentine reached the semifinal after beating Juan Bautista Torres 6-4 6-2, Remy Bertola 6-4 6-2 and Tomas Barrios Vera 2-6 6-2 7-6(6).

In the quarter against Tomas Barrios Vera, Camilo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-2 7-6⁶).During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored less points (1) than Tomas Barrios Vera. In fact, the world no. 105 won 101 points vs Tomas Barrios Vera’s. That means that Ugo Carabelli was more focused during the important points. Camilo was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about the service games, Ugo Carabelli scored just 1 ace and he committed only 8 double faults. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 48% of his first serves in, winning 63% (31/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (30/53) on the 2nd serve. Camilo broke Tomas Barrios Vera 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Argentine has lost 1 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Ugo Carabelli has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 64% of his matches (345-197). 5-4 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ugo Carabelli has a composed31-26 record in the last 9 years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Piracicaba Challenger where he defeated Federico Coria in the final 7-5 6-4 and the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger where he overcame Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco in the final 6-4 6-2 and the Villa Maria Challenger where he overcame Jesper De Jong in the final 7-6(3) 3-6 6-4.

The Argentine has an overall 57-29 win-loss record in 2024, 5-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Temuco Challenger

The Argentine has never competed in this tournament before.

Renzo Olivo

Ranked no. 376, Renzo got to the semifinal after defeating Gonzalo Bueno 6-4 7-6(3), Nicolas Kicker 6-7(3) 6-3 7-5 and Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 6-2 6-4.

In the quarter, Olivo had a good straight sets win against Carlos Prado Angelo (6-2 6-4). During the match Olivo scored 72 points vs Carlos Prado Angelo’s 63. Renzo was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Talking about serving, Olivo fired 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Renzo Olivo conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 8 break points. Furthermore, Olivo put 60% of his first serves in, winning 77% (37/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (13/32) on the 2nd serve. Renzo broke Carlos Prado Angelo 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Renzo has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

Renzo’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger and the Santo Domingo Challenger.

Olivo has an overall 28-30 win-loss record in 2024, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Ugo Carabelli	Olivo
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	7
Tot Games	65	75
Pts	230-201	277-252
Total Points	431	529
Winners	86	116
%Winners	37%	42%

Both Ugo Carabelli and Olivo played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Camilo Ugo Carabelli dropped 1 set, while Renzo Olivo surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Ugo Carabelli and Olivo have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Ugo Carabelli played 10 games less than Olivo. Camilo scored 86 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Olivo managed to score 116 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Ugo Carabelli	Olivo
Aces	7	13
Avg per match	2.3	4.3
1st in	127/218	169/264
%1st in	58%	64%
1st pts	86/127	116/169
%1st pts	68%	69%
2nd pts	52/91	51/95
%2nd pts	57%	54%

Ugo Carabelli blasted 7 aces (2.3 per match). Olivo recorded 13 aces (4.3 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 68% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Olivo won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Ugo Carabelli	Olivo
Won	11	11
Converted	11/21	11/31
% Converted	52%	35%
Conceded	21	22
Saved	16	17
% Saved	76%	77%
Times Broken	5	5

The Argentine broke his opponents 11 times with a 52% conversion rate. Ugo Carabelli conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded. Olivo broke his opponents 11 times with a 35% conversion rate. Renzo conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.

Ugo Carabelli
	R1 Bautista Torres	R2 Bertola	1/4 Tomas Barrios Vera	Total
Score	6-4 6-2	6-4 6-2	2-6 6-2 7-66
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	18	18	29	65
pts	74-55	55-44	101-102	230-201
Total points	129	99	203	431
Winners	27	28	31	86
%Winners	36%	51%	31%	37%
SERVE
Aces	5	1	1	7
Double Faults	3	1	8	12
1st in	38/65	40/51	49/102	127/218
% 1st in	58%	78%	48%	58%
1st pts	27/38	28/40	31/49	86/127
% 1st pts	71%	70%	63%	68%
2nd pts	16/27	6/11	30/53	52/91
% 2nd pts	59%	55%	57%	57%
Breaks
Won	4	4	3	11
Converted	4/7	4/5	3/9	11/21
Converted %	57%	80%	33%	52%
Conceded	8	4	9	21
Saved	7/8	3/4	6/9	16
Saved %	88%	75%	67%	77%
Times Broken	1	1	3	5

Olivo
	R1 Bueno	R2 Kicker	1/4 Carlos Prado Angelo	Total
Score	6-4 7-63	6-73 6-3 7-5	6-2 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	2	7
Tot Games	23	34	18	75
pts	92-82	113-107	72-63	277-252
Total points	174	220	135	529
Winners	39	40	37	116
%Winners	42%	35%	51%	42%
SERVE
Aces	3	6	4	13
Double Faults	4	3	4	11
1st in	54/79	67/105	48/80	169/264
% 1st in	68%	64%	60%	64%
1st pts	39/54	40/67	37/48	116/169
% 1st pts	72%	60%	77%	69%
2nd pts	15/25	23/38	13/32	51/95
% 2nd pts	60%	61%	41%	54%
Breaks
Won	2	6	3	11
Converted	2/10	6/13	3/8	11/31
Converted %	20%	46%	38%	35%
Conceded	7	7	8	22
Saved	6/7	3/7	8/8	17
Saved %	86%	43%	100%	76%
Times Broken	1	4	0	5

Tennis Scores in Temuco Challenger

• Renzo OlivoOlivo – Juan Carlos Prado AngeloCarlos Prado Angelo (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Tomas Barrios VeraBarrios Vera (2-6 6-2 7-6⁶) – See score progression
• Hady HabibHabib – Daniel Dutra Da SilvaDutra Da Silva (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva – Conner Huertas Del PinoHuertas Del Pino (7-5 3-6 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Christian Harrison/Evan KingHarrison/Evan King – Mateus Alves/Matias SotoAlves/Matias Soto (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Orlando Luz/Marcelo ZormannLuz/Marcelo Zormann – Milledge Cossu/Amador SalazarCossu/Amador Salazar (6-3 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Renzo OlivoOlivo – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Hady HabibHabib – Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva (0-0) – H2H and prediction