Shintaro Mochizuki and Rei Sakamoto will square off in the semifinal of the Yokkaichi Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 10:30 am on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Shintaro Mochizuki who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Shintaro Mochizuki is the pick to win this match.
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 1.48
Rei Sakamoto -> 2.5

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Prediction and head to head Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Rei Sakamoto

There is no head to head record between Shintaro Mochizuki and Rei Sakamoto since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Shintaro Mochizuki

Ranked no. 248, the Japanese got to the semifinal after beating James McCabe 7-5 6-4, Yoshihito Nishioka w/o and Li Tu 6-4 1-6 6-4.

In the quarter, The Japanese defeated Tu (6-4 1-6 6-4).During the match, Mochizuki scored less points (2) than Tu. In fact, the world no. 248 won 81 points vs Tu’s. That means that Mochizuki was more focused during the important points. The Japanese was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about the service games, Mochizuki made 2 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Shintaro Mochizuki was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 71% (25/35) of his 1st serve and 55% (18/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. The Japanese broke Tu 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Japanese has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Mochizuki has a winning win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 54% of his matches (175-152). 19-21 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Mochizuki has an aggregate96-84 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.

Shintaro has an aggregate 28-32 win-loss record in 2024, 19-21 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Yokkaichi Challenger

Rei Sakamoto

Ranked no. 682 (career-high), Sakamoto reached the semifinal after beating Philip Henning 6-4 6-3, Naoki Nakagawa 7-6(9) 6-3 and Kaichi Uchida 6-4 7-6(3).

In the quarter, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Uchida (6-4 7-6³). During the match Sakamoto scored 75 points vs Uchida’s 70. Sakamoto was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about serving, Sakamoto struck 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Rei Sakamoto was pretty efficient on serve to win 79% (34/43) of his 1st serve and 62% (21/34) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sakamoto broke Uchida once after converting 17% of his break points (1/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sakamoto hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Sakamoto’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in M15 Cervia and M25 La Nucia.

Rei has an aggregate 18-16 win-loss record in 2024, 10-11 on hard (See FULL STATS)

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Previously in the Yokkaichi Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Mochizuki	Sakamoto
Match played	2	3
Tot Set	5	6
Tot Games	49	64
Pts	165-149	206-180
Total Points	314	386
Winners	54	88
%Winners	33%	43%

Mochizuki played 2 matches while Sakamoto competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Shintaro Mochizuki dropped 1 set while Rei Sakamoto hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Mochizuki has played 1 set(s) less than Sakamoto (5 vs 6). Therefore, Mochizuki played 15 games less than Sakamoto. Mochizuki scored 54 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Sakamoto scored 88 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Mochizuki	Sakamoto
Aces	3	21
Avg per match	1.5	7
1st in	77/138	115/207
%1st in	56%	56%
1st pts	54/77	88/115
%1st pts	70%	77%
2nd pts	32/61	58/92
%2nd pts	52%	63%

Mochizuki struck 3 aces (1.5 per match). Sakamoto managed to score 21 aces (7 per match). Mochizuki won 70% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Sakamoto won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Mochizuki	Sakamoto
Won	8	7
Converted	8/18	7/15
% Converted	44%	47%
Conceded	15	12
Saved	9	10
% Saved	60%	83%
Times Broken	6	2

Mochizuki broke his opponents 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponents 7 times with a 47% conversion rate. Sakamoto conceded his serve twice and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.

Mochizuki
	R1 McCabe	R2 Nishioka	1/4 Tu	Total
Score	7-5 6-4	w/o	6-4 1-6 6-4
Tot Set	2	–	3	5
Tot Games	22	–	27	49
pts	84-66	–	81-83	165-149
Total points	150	–	164	314
Winners	29	–	25	54
%Winners	35%	–	31%	33%
SERVE
Aces	1	–	2	3
Double Faults	3	–	5	8
1st in	42/70	–	35/68	77/138
% 1st in	60%	–	51%	56%
1st pts	29/42	–	25/35	54/77
% 1st pts	69%	–	71%	70%
2nd pts	14/28	–	18/33	32/61
% 2nd pts	50%	–	55%	52%
Breaks
Won	5	–	3	8
Converted	5/6	–	3/12	8/18
Converted %	83%	–	25%	44%
Conceded	9	–	6	15
Saved	6/9	–	3/6	9
Saved %	67%	–	50%	39%
Times Broken	3	–	3	6

Sakamoto
	R1 Henning	R2 Nakagawa	1/4 Uchida	Total
Score	6-4 6-3	7-69 6-3	6-4 7-63
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	19	22	23	64
pts	58-46	73-64	75-70	206-180
Total points	104	137	145	386
Winners	18	36	34	88
%Winners	31%	49%	45%	43%
SERVE
Aces	3	12	6	21
Double Faults	0	1	1	2
1st in	27/53	45/77	43/77	115/207
% 1st in	51%	58%	56%	56%
1st pts	18/27	36/45	34/43	88/115
% 1st pts	67%	80%	79%	77%
2nd pts	18/26	19/32	21/34	58/92
% 2nd pts	69%	59%	62%	63%
Breaks
Won	4	2	1	7
Converted	4/5	2/4	1/6	7/15
Converted %	80%	50%	17%	47%
Conceded	3	4	5	12
Saved	2/3	3/4	5/5	10
Saved %	67%	75%	100%	81%
Times Broken	1	1	0	2

Tennis Scores in Yokkaichi Challenger

• Rei SakamotoSakamoto – Kaichi UchidaUchida (6-4 7-6³) – See score progression
• Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki – Li TuTu (6-4 1-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Philip SekulicSekulic – Yuta ShimizuShimizu (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Christoph NegrituNegritu – Benjamin HassanHassan (4-1 ret.) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw