Li Tu and Shintaro Mochizuki will fight against each other in the quarter of the Yokkaichi Challenger for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:00 pm on SUB-CENTRE. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Li Tu who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Li Tu is the pick to win this match.
Li Tu -> 1.666
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 2.11

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Prediction and head to head Li Tu vs. Shintaro Mochizuki

This will be the 3^rd time that Li Tu and Shintaro Mochizuki square off. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Tu won 6-1 3-6 6-3 in the 1^st round in the Kobe Challenger back in November 2024.

Li Tu

Ranked no. 172 (career-high), the Australian reached the quarter after beating Yua Taka 6-2 6-3 and Elias Ymer 6-4 3-6 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Li defeated Ymer (6-4 3-6 6-4). During the match, Tu scored 96 points vs Ymer’s 89. Tu was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Regarding the service games, Tu fired 3 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Li Tu lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Tu put 60% of his first serves in, winning 83% (38/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 32% (10/31) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Ymer 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Li has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Tu has a solid match record in the last 5 years having won 65% of his matches (172-92). 37-20 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Tu has an aggregate128-59 match record in the last 5 years on hard.

The Australian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Traralgon,the Lexington Challenger and the Yokohama Challenger.

Tu has a composed 43-27 win-loss record in 2024, 37-20 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Yokkaichi Challenger

Shintaro Mochizuki

Ranked no. 248, the Japanese got to the quarter after beating James McCabe 7-5 6-4 and Yoshihito Nishioka w/o.

In the 2^nd round, Mochizuki defeated Nishioka (w/o). During the match Mochizuki and Nishioka scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 172 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Shintaro was not very aggressive do strike just winners.

About the serving games, Mochizuki couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Shintaro Mochizuki conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.

Mochizuki has a composed 27-32 win-loss record in 2024, 18-21 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Yokkaichi Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Tu	Mochizuki
Match played	2	1
Tot Set	5	2
Tot Games	46	22
Pts	159-132	84-66
Total Points	291	150
Winners	55	29
%Winners	35%	35%

Tu played 2 matches while Mochizuki competed in 1 match. At the moment, Li Tu dropped 1 set while Shintaro Mochizuki hasn’t dropped a set so far. Tu has played 3 sets more than Mochizuki (5 vs 2). Therefore, Tu played 24 games more than Mochizuki. Li scored 55 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Shintaro made 29 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Tu	Mochizuki
Aces	8	1
Avg per match	4	1
1st in	69/123	42/70
%1st in	56%	60%
1st pts	55/69	29/42
%1st pts	80%	69%
2nd pts	27/54	14/28
%2nd pts	50%	50%

Tu managed to score 8 aces (4 per match). Mochizuki recorded 1 ace . Tu won 80% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Mochizuki won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Tu	Mochizuki
Won	9	5
Converted	9/24	5/6
% Converted	38%	83%
Conceded	9	9
Saved	4	6
% Saved	44%	67%
Times Broken	5	3

Tu broke his opponents 9 times with a 38% conversion rate. Li dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Tu
	R1 Taka	R2 Ymer	Total
Score	6-2 6-3	6-4 3-6 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	17	29	46
pts	63-43	96-89	159-132
Total points	106	185	291
Winners	17	38	55
%Winners	27%	40%	35%
SERVE
Aces	5	3	8
Double Faults	2	8	10
1st in	23/46	46/77	69/123
% 1st in	50%	60%	56%
1st pts	17/23	38/46	55/69
% 1st pts	74%	83%	80%
2nd pts	17/23	10/31	27/54
% 2nd pts	74%	32%	50%
Breaks
Won	4	5	9
Converted	4/12	5/12	9/24
Converted %	33%	42%	38%
Conceded	1	8	9
Saved	0/1	4/8	4
Saved %	0%	50%	25%
Times Broken	1	4	5

Mochizuki
	R1 McCabe	R2 Nishioka	Total
Score	7-5 6-4	w/o
Tot Set	2	–	2
Tot Games	22	–	22
pts	84-66	–	84-66
Total points	150	–	150
Winners	29	–	29
%Winners	35%	–	35%
SERVE
Aces	1	–	1
Double Faults	3	–	3
1st in	42/70	–	42/70
% 1st in	60%	–	60%
1st pts	29/42	–	29/42
% 1st pts	69%	–	69%
2nd pts	14/28	–	14/28
% 2nd pts	50%	–	50%
Breaks
Won	5	–	5
Converted	5/6	–	5/6
Converted %	83%	–	83%
Conceded	9	–	9
Saved	6/9	–	6
Saved %	67%	–	34%
Times Broken	3	–	3

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Benjamin HassanHassan – Christoph NegrituNegritu (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Yuta ShimizuShimizu – (0-0) – H2H and prediction