Liam Draxl and Karl Poling will fight against each other in the 2^nd round of the Manzanillo Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 3:30 pm on CANCHA 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Liam Draxl who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Liam Draxl is the pick to win this match.
Liam Draxl -> 1.069
Karl Poling -> 7.2

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Prediction and head to head Liam Draxl vs. Karl Poling

This will be the 2^nd time that Liam Draxl and Karl Poling face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Poling (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Poling won 2-6 2-3 ret. in the quarter in M25 Laval back in July 2024.

Liam Draxl

Ranked no. 269, Draxl got to the 2^nd round after defeating Luis Carlos Alvarez 7-6(6) 5-7 6-1.

In the 1^st round, The Canadian defeated Carlos Alvarez (7-6⁶ 5-7 6-1). During the match, Draxl scored 117 points vs Carlos Alvarez’s 108. Draxl was very aggressive to blast 59 winners.

Talking about the service games, Draxl managed to score 12 aces and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults. Liam Draxl lost the serve 3 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Draxl put 72% of his first serves in, winning 71% (59/83) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (13/32) on the 2nd serve. Draxl broke Carlos Alvarez 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Draxl has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 66% of his matches (154-80). 14-9 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Draxl has a compiled81-43 match record in the last 7 years on hard.

Draxl’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M15 Constanta,M25 Edmonton,Desmaures and the Puerto Vallarta Challenger.

Draxl has an overall 44-23 win-loss record in 2024, 14-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Manzanillo Challenger

The Canadian has never competed in this tournament before.

Karl Poling

Ranked no. 723 (career-high), Karl got to the 2^nd round after beating Alvaro Garcia 6-1 6-0, Tanguy Genier 6-4 6-2 and Matt Kuhar 6-3 6-4.

In the 1^st round, Poling had a good straight sets win against Kuhar (6-3 6-4). During the match Poling scored 70 points vs Kuhar’s 56. Poling was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about serving, Poling scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Karl Poling lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Poling put 57% of his first serves in, winning 72% (28/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (14/29) on the 2nd serve. Karl broke Kuhar 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

The American’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M25 Laval.

Karl has an aggregate 22-14 win-loss record in 2024, 17-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Draxl	Poling
Match played	1	3
Tot Set	3	6
Tot Games	32	50
Pts	117-108	193-133
Total Points	225	326
Winners	59	62
%Winners	50%	32%

Draxl played 1 match while Poling competed in 3 matches. Poling started his run from the qualifications while Draxl had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Liam Draxl lost 1 set while Karl Poling hasn’t lost a set so far. Draxl has played 3 set(s) less than Poling (3 vs 6). Therefore, Draxl played 18 games less than Poling. Liam scored 59 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, The American blasted 62 winners (32%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Draxl	Poling
Aces	12	4
Avg per match	12	1.3
1st in	83/115	84/149
%1st in	72%	56%
1st pts	59/83	62/84
%1st pts	71%	74%
2nd pts	13/32	40/65
%2nd pts	41%	62%

Draxl blasted 12 aces . Poling bagged 4 aces (1.3 per match). Draxl won 71% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Poling won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Draxl	Poling
Won	4	14
Converted	4/12	14/31
% Converted	33%	45%
Conceded	11	8
Saved	8	5
% Saved	73%	63%
Times Broken	3	3

The Canadian broke his opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Canadian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. Poling broke his opponents 14 times with a 45% conversion rate. Poling conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.

Draxl
	R1 Carlos	Total
Score	7-66 5-7 6-1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	32	32
pts	117-108	117-108
Total points	225	225
Winners	59	59
%Winners	50%	50%
SERVE
Aces	12	12
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	83/115	83/115
% 1st in	72%	72%
1st pts	59/83	59/83
% 1st pts	71%	71%
2nd pts	13/32	13/32
% 2nd pts	41%	41%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/12	4/12
Converted %	33%	33%
Conceded	11	11
Saved	8/11	8
Saved %	73%	73%
Times Broken	3	3

Poling
	Q1 Garcia	Q3 Genier	R1 Kuhar	Total
Score	6-1 6-0	6-4 6-2	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	13	18	19	50
pts	51-23	72-54	70-56	193-133
Total points	74	126	126	326
Winners	14	20	28	62
%Winners	27%	28%	40%	32%
SERVE
Aces	1	2	1	4
Double Faults	0	1	1	2
1st in	16/30	29/51	39/68	84/149
% 1st in	53%	57%	57%	56%
1st pts	14/16	20/29	28/39	62/84
% 1st pts	88%	69%	72%	74%
2nd pts	10/14	16/22	14/29	40/65
% 2nd pts	71%	73%	48%	62%
Breaks
Won	6	4	4	14
Converted	6/11	4/14	4/6	14/31
Converted %	55%	29%	67%	45%
Conceded	0	3	5	8
Saved	0/0	2/3	3/5	5
Saved %	–	67%	60%	127%
Times Broken	0	1	2	3

Tennis Scores in Manzanillo Challenger

• Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov – Strong KirchheimerKirchheimer (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Aziz DougazDougaz – Justin EngelEngel (6-0 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Aidan MayoMayo – Neil OberleitnerOberleitner (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Michael GeertsGeerts – Ernesto EscobedoEscobedo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Felix CorwinCorwin – Goncalo OliveiraOliveira (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Karl PolingPoling – Liam DraxlDraxl (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alan MagadanMagadan – (0-0) – H2H and prediction