Luca Nardi and Francesco Maestrelli will clash against each other in the final of the Rovereto Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luca Nardi who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Luca Nardi is the pick to win this match.
Luca Nardi -> 1.4
Francesco Maestrelli -> 2.77

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Prediction and head to head Luca Nardi vs. Francesco Maestrelli

This will be the 2^nd time that Luca Nardi and Francesco Maestrelli play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Nardi (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they played, Nardi won 7-5 6-4 in the qualifications in at the Australian Open back in January 2024.

Luca Nardi

Ranked no. 110, Luca reached the final after beating Giovanni Fonio 3-6 6-2 6-2, Max Hans Rehberg 6-2 6-2, Oleg Prihodko 6-2 6-2 and Martin Landaluce 6-4 2-6 6-3.

In the semifinal, The Italian defeated Landaluce (6-4 2-6 6-3). During the match, Nardi scored 79 points vs Landaluce’s 76. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Regarding the service games, Nardi fired 7 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Luca Nardi lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Nardi put 59% of his first serves in, winning 71% (32/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (14/31) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Landaluce 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has conceded 2 set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.

Nardi has a winning match record in the last 7 years having won 56% of his matches (151-120). 8-4 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Nardi has an overall42-37 match record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Naples Challenger where he beat Pierre-Hugues Herbert in the final 5-7 7-6(3) 6-2.

Luca has a composed 30-27 win-loss record in 2024, 8-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Rovereto Challenger

The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.

Francesco Maestrelli

Ranked no. 284, Francesco got to the final after beating Pierre-Hugues Herbert 7-6(5) 6-3, Michael Agwi 7-6(10) 6-7(5) 6-2, Dino Prizmic 3-6 6-1 7-6(1) and August Holmgren 2-6 6-3 6-4.

In the semifinal against Holmgren, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-3 6-4). During the match Maestrelli scored 82 points vs Holmgren’s 75. Maestrelli was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.

About the serving games, Maestrelli struck 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Francesco Maestrelli was pretty efficient on serve to win 78% (36/46) of his 1st serve and 59% (19/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Italian broke Holmgren twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Maestrelli has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Francesco’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Monastir.

Maestrelli has an overall 37-35 win-loss record in 2024, 5-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Nardi	Maestrelli
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	10	11
Tot Games	84	112
Pts	281-210	383-336
Total Points	491	719
Winners	107	156
%Winners	38%	41%

Both Nardi and Maestrelli played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Luca Nardi conceded 2 sets, while Francesco Maestrelli conceded 3 sets. Nardi has played 1 set(s) less than Maestrelli (10 vs 11). Therefore, Nardi played 28 games less than Maestrelli. Luca scored 107 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Maestrelli scored 156 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Nardi	Maestrelli
Aces	23	25
Avg per match	5.8	6.3
1st in	141/242	204/360
%1st in	58%	57%
1st pts	107/141	156/204
%1st pts	76%	76%
2nd pts	58/101	92/156
%2nd pts	57%	59%

Nardi fired 23 aces (5.8 per match). Maestrelli blasted 25 aces (6.3 per match). Nardi won 76% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Maestrelli won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Nardi	Maestrelli
Won	18	12
Converted	18/32	12/20
% Converted	56%	60%
Conceded	19	26
Saved	13	18
% Saved	68%	69%
Times Broken	6	8

Luca broke his opponents 18 times with a 56% conversion rate. Nardi lost his serve 6 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded. Maestrelli broke his opponents 12 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.

Nardi
	R1 Fonio	R2 Hans	1/4 Prihodko	1/2 Landaluce	Total
Score	3-6 6-2 6-2	6-2 6-2	6-2 6-2	6-4 2-6 6-3
Tot Set	3	2	2	3	10
Tot Games	25	16	16	27	84
pts	88-72	57-28	57-34	79-76	281-210
Total points	160	85	91	155	491
Winners	27	26	22	32	107
%Winners	31%	46%	39%	41%	38%
SERVE
Aces	4	8	4	7	23
Double Faults	6	2	0	5	13
1st in	38/80	29/39	29/47	45/76	141/242
% 1st in	48%	74%	62%	59%	58%
1st pts	27/38	26/29	22/29	32/45	107/141
% 1st pts	71%	90%	76%	71%	76%
2nd pts	24/42	7/10	13/18	14/31	58/101
% 2nd pts	57%	70%	72%	45%	57%
Breaks
Won	5	4	4	5	18
Converted	5/13	4/7	4/5	5/7	18/32
Converted %	38%	57%	80%	71%	56%
Conceded	8	1	2	8	19
Saved	6/8	1/1	2/2	4/8	13
Saved %	75%	100%	100%	50%	81%
Times Broken	2	0	0	4	6

Maestrelli
	R1 Herbert	R2 Agwi	1/4 Prizmic	1/2 Holmgren	Total
Score	7-65 6-3	7-610 6-75 6-2	3-6 6-1 7-61	2-6 6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	3	3	11
Tot Games	22	34	29	27	112
pts	81-75	117-99	103-87	82-75	383-336
Total points	156	216	190	157	719
Winners	37	45	38	36	156
%Winners	46%	38%	37%	44%	41%
SERVE
Aces	6	9	5	5	25
Double Faults	3	1	4	4	12
1st in	47/88	56/101	55/93	46/78	204/360
% 1st in	53%	55%	59%	59%	57%
1st pts	37/47	45/56	38/55	36/46	156/204
% 1st pts	79%	80%	69%	78%	76%
2nd pts	21/41	30/45	22/38	19/32	92/156
% 2nd pts	51%	67%	58%	59%	59%
Breaks
Won	2	4	4	2	12
Converted	2/2	4/8	4/5	2/5	12/20
Converted %	100%	50%	80%	40%	60%
Conceded	7	5	9	5	26
Saved	6/7	3/5	6/9	3/5	18
Saved %	86%	60%	67%	60%	68%
Times Broken	1	2	3	2	8

Tennis Scores in Rovereto Challenger

• N.Sriram Balaji/Rithvik Choudary BollipalliBalaji/Rithvik Choudary Bollipalli – Theo Arribage/Francisco CabralArribage/Francisco Cabral (6-3 2-6 12-10) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – (0-1) – H2H and prediction