Fabio Fognini and Lukas Neumayer will face off in the final of the Montemar Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 12:00 pm on IVAN NAVARRO COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Fabio Fognini who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Fabio Fognini is the pick to win this match.
Fabio Fognini -> 1.444
Lukas Neumayer -> 2.61

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Prediction and head to head Fabio Fognini vs. Lukas Neumayer

There is no head to head record between Fabio Fognini and Lukas Neumayer since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Fabio Fognini

Ranked no. 84, the Italian got to the final after beating Daniel Rincon 6-2 3-6 7-6(5), Svyatoslav Gulin 6-3 6-2, Denis Yevseyev 6-4 6-2 and Inaki Montes-De La Torre 6-4 6-7(3) 6-0.

In the semifinal, Fognini defeated Montes-De La Torre (6-4 6-7³ 6-0). During the match, Fognini scored 109 points vs Montes-De La Torre’s 86. Fognini was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Regarding the service games, Fognini managed to score 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Fabio Fognini lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Fognini put 60% of his first serves in, winning 66% (37/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (20/37) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Montes-De La Torre 7 times after converting 41% of his break points (7/17).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Fognini has dropped 2 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Fognini has winning match record in the last 10 years having won 55% of his matches (284-229). 22-12 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Fognini has an overall 149-100 match record in the last years on clay.

Fognini’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the San Marino Challenger and the Montemar Challenger.

Fabio has a composed 34-28 win-loss record in 2024, 22-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Montemar Challenger

Fognini has never competed in this tournament before.

Lukas Neumayer

Ranked no. 259, the Austrian got to the final after defeating Carlos Lopez Montagud 7-6(2) 6-4, Albert Ramos-Vinolas 6-2 7-6(2), Nick Hardt 6-3 7-6(7) and Pol Martin Tiffon 6-3 5-7 6-2.

In the semifinal, Lukas defeated Martin Tiffon (6-3 5-7 6-2). During the match Neumayer scored 94 points vs Martin Tiffon’s 80. Neumayer was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Talking about serving, Neumayer bagged 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Lukas Neumayer lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Neumayer put 57% of his first serves in, winning 71% (39/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (21/42) on the 2nd serve. Neumayer broke Martin Tiffon 6 times after converting 60% of his break points (6/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Austrian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Neumayer’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Telfs and the Tulln Challenger.

Lukas has a composed 40-31 win-loss record in 2024, 38-28 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Fognini	Neumayer
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	10	9
Tot Games	94	95
Pts	336-274	330-274
Total Points	610	604
Winners	135	120
%Winners	40%	36%

Both Fognini and Neumayer played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Fabio Fognini lost 2 sets, while Lukas Neumayer surrendered 1 set. Fognini has played 1 set more than Neumayer (10 vs 9). However, it’s interesting to notice that Fognini played 1 game less than Neumayer. Fognini scored 135 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Austrian managed to score 120 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Fognini	Neumayer
Aces	9	16
Avg per match	2.3	4
1st in	196/309	170/315
%1st in	63%	54%
1st pts	135/196	120/170
%1st pts	69%	71%
2nd pts	58/113	84/145
%2nd pts	51%	58%

Fognini bagged 9 aces (2.3 per match). Neumayer recorded 16 aces (4 per match). Fognini won 69% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Neumayer won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Fognini	Neumayer
Won	20	14
Converted	20/41	14/31
% Converted	49%	45%
Conceded	26	27
Saved	16	19
% Saved	62%	70%
Times Broken	10	8

Fabio broke his opponents 20 times with a 49% conversion rate. Fognini dropped his serve 10 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded. The Austrian broke his opponents 14 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Austrian conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

Fognini
	R1 Rincon	R2 Gulin	1/4 Yevseyev	1/2 Montes-De La Torre	Total
Score	6-2 3-6 7-65	6-3 6-2	6-4 6-2	6-4 6-73 6-0
Tot Set	3	2	2	3	10
Tot Games	30	17	18	29	94
pts	100-98	67-43	60-47	109-86	336-274
Total points	198	110	107	195	610
Winners	49	29	20	37	135
%Winners	49%	43%	33%	34%	40%
SERVE
Aces	3	3	1	2	9
Double Faults	5	2	3	4	14
1st in	74/119	35/52	31/45	56/93	196/309
% 1st in	62%	67%	69%	60%	63%
1st pts	49/74	29/35	20/31	37/56	135/196
% 1st pts	66%	83%	65%	66%	69%
2nd pts	21/45	8/17	9/14	20/37	58/113
% 2nd pts	47%	47%	64%	54%	51%
Breaks
Won	4	4	5	7	20
Converted	4/6	4/8	5/10	7/17	20/41
Converted %	67%	50%	50%	41%	49%
Conceded	10	3	3	10	26
Saved	6/10	2/3	1/3	7/10	16
Saved %	60%	67%	33%	70%	58%
Times Broken	4	1	2	3	10

Neumayer
	R1 Lopez	R2 Ramos-Vinolas	1/4 Hardt	1/2 Martin	Total
Score	7-62 6-4	6-2 7-62	6-3 7-67	6-3 5-7 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	9
Tot Games	23	21	22	29	95
pts	81-68	83-66	72-60	94-80	330-274
Total points	149	149	132	174	604
Winners	24	32	25	39	120
%Winners	30%	39%	35%	41%	36%
SERVE
Aces	2	6	5	3	16
Double Faults	3	6	3	3	15
1st in	33/72	44/78	38/68	55/97	170/315
% 1st in	46%	56%	56%	57%	54%
1st pts	24/33	32/44	25/38	39/55	120/170
% 1st pts	73%	73%	66%	71%	71%
2nd pts	22/39	22/34	19/30	21/42	84/145
% 2nd pts	56%	65%	63%	50%	58%
Breaks
Won	3	2	3	6	14
Converted	3/12	2/6	3/3	6/10	14/31
Converted %	25%	33%	100%	60%	45%
Conceded	6	7	6	8	27
Saved	4/6	7/7	4/6	4/8	19
Saved %	67%	100%	67%	50%	71%
Times Broken	2	0	2	4	8

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Fabio FogniniFognini – (0-0) – H2H and prediction