Li Tu and Yuta Shimizu will clash against each other in the final of the Yokohama Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:00 pm on COURT 3. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Li Tu who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Li Tu is the pick to win this match.
Li Tu -> 1.79
Yuta Shimizu -> 1.94

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Li Tu vs. Yuta Shimizu

This will be the 2^nd time that Li Tu and Yuta Shimizu fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Shimizu (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Shimizu won 6-4 6-2 in the quarter in the Playford Challenger back in October 2024.

Li Tu

Ranked no. 189, Li reached the final after defeating Yaroslav Demin 6-1 3-0 ret.

, Philip Sekulic 7-6(5) 6-3, Chak Lam Coleman Wong 6-0 6-4 and Constant Lestienne 6-2 3-6 7-6(3).

In the semifinal, The Australian defeated Lestienne (6-2 3-6 7-6³). During the match, Tu scored 90 points vs Lestienne’s 84. Tu was pretty aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Regarding the service games, Tu recorded 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Li Tu lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Tu put 67% of his first serves in, winning 78% (45/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (12/29) on the 2nd serve. Tu broke Lestienne 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tu has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Tu has a solid match record in the last 5 years having won 65% of his matches (170-91). 35-19 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Tu has a compiled126-58 match record in the last 5 years on hard.

Tu’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Traralgon and the Lexington Challenger.

Li has a compiled 41-26 win-loss record in 2024, 35-19 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Yokohama Challenger

Yuta Shimizu

Ranked no. 217, Yuta got to the final after beating Alex Bolt 7-6(6) 6-1

, Masamichi Imamura 6-4 7-6(4), Rei Sakamoto 6-3 6-7(4) 7-6(3) and Benjamin Hassan 6-2 6-3.

In the semifinal, Shimizu had a good straight sets win against Hassan (6-2 6-3). During the match Shimizu scored 69 points vs Hassan’s 57. Shimizu was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Talking about serving, Shimizu blasted 2 aces and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Yuta Shimizu conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 6 break points. Furthermore, Shimizu put 76% of his first serves in, winning 71% (37/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (7/16) on the 2nd serve. Shimizu broke Hassan 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Japanese has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

Shimizu’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Little Rock Challenger and the Playford Challenger.

Shimizu has a composed 36-28 win-loss record in 2024, 32-24 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Yokohama Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Tu	Shimizu
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	10	9
Tot Games	78	95
Pts	267-202	354-324
Total Points	469	678
Winners	115	147
%Winners	43%	42%

Both Tu and Shimizu played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Li Tu lost 1 set, while Yuta Shimizu surrendered 1 set. Tu has played 1 set more than Shimizu (10 vs 9). However, it’s interesting to notice that Tu played 17 games less than Shimizu. Li scored 115 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese managed to score 147 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Tu	Shimizu
Aces	25	14
Avg per match	6.3	3.5
1st in	153/231	218/336
%1st in	66%	65%
1st pts	115/153	147/218
%1st pts	75%	67%
2nd pts	42/78	59/118
%2nd pts	54%	50%

Tu bagged 25 aces (6.3 per match). Shimizu made 14 aces (3.5 per match). Tu won 75% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Shimizu won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Tu	Shimizu
Won	16	16
Converted	16/26	16/43
% Converted	62%	37%
Conceded	16	30
Saved	10	22
% Saved	63%	73%
Times Broken	6	8

Li broke his opponents 16 times with a 62% conversion rate. Tu conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. Shimizu broke his opponents 16 times with a 37% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.

Tu
	R1 Demin	R2 Sekulic	1/4 Lam Coleman Wong	1/2 Lestienne	Total
Score	6-1 3-0 ret.	7-65 6-3	6-0 6-4	6-2 3-6 7-63
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	9
Tot Games	10	22	16	30	78
pts	39-17	78-66	60-35	90-84	267-202
Total points	56	144	95	174	469
Winners	14	34	22	45	115
%Winners	36%	44%	37%	50%	43%
SERVE
Aces	8	8	3	6	25
Double Faults	1	1	0	2	4
1st in	16/26	50/79	29/39	58/87	153/231
% 1st in	62%	63%	74%	67%	66%
1st pts	14/16	34/50	22/29	45/58	115/153
% 1st pts	88%	68%	76%	78%	75%
2nd pts	7/10	16/29	7/10	12/29	42/78
% 2nd pts	70%	55%	70%	41%	54%
Breaks
Won	4	3	5	4	16
Converted	4/9	3/5	5/7	4/5	16/26
Converted %	44%	60%	71%	80%	62%
Conceded	0	8	1	7	16
Saved	0/0	6/8	0/1	4/7	10
Saved %	–	75%	0%	57%	33%
Times Broken	0	2	1	3	6

Shimizu
	R1 Bolt	R2 Imamura	1/4 Sakamoto	1/2 Hassan	Total
Score	7-66 6-1	6-4 7-64	6-3 6-74 7-63	6-2 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	9
Tot Games	20	23	35	17	95
pts	77-65	81-78	127-124	69-57	354-324
Total points	142	159	251	126	678
Winners	27	25	58	37	147
%Winners	35%	31%	46%	54%	42%
SERVE
Aces	5	3	4	2	14
Double Faults	3	2	5	0	10
1st in	38/66	47/78	81/124	52/68	218/336
% 1st in	58%	60%	65%	76%	65%
1st pts	27/38	25/47	58/81	37/52	147/218
% 1st pts	71%	53%	72%	71%	67%
2nd pts	17/28	20/31	15/43	7/16	59/118
% 2nd pts	61%	65%	35%	44%	50%
Breaks
Won	3	4	6	3	16
Converted	3/13	4/12	6/12	3/6	16/43
Converted %	23%	33%	50%	50%	37%
Conceded	4	9	11	6	30
Saved	3/4	6/9	7/11	6/6	22
Saved %	75%	67%	64%	100%	77%
Times Broken	1	3	4	0	8

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Li TuTu – Yuta ShimizuShimizu (0-1) – H2H and prediction