Li Tu and Yuta Shimizu will clash against each other in the final of the Yokohama Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:00 pm on COURT 3. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Li Tu who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Li Tu is the pick to win this match.
Li Tu -> 1.79
Yuta Shimizu -> 1.94
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Prediction and head to head Li Tu vs. Yuta Shimizu
This will be the 2nd time that Li Tu and Yuta Shimizu fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Shimizu (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Shimizu won 6-4 6-2 in the quarter in the Playford Challenger back in October 2024.
Li Tu
41 - 27win/loss
174
172
LWWLWWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-28 | 37-21 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-32 | 29-19 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-25 | 34-16 | 15-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-7 | 28-4 | 0-0 | 13-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 189, Li reached the final after defeating Yaroslav Demin 6-1 3-0 ret., Philip Sekulic 7-6(5) 6-3, Chak Lam Coleman Wong 6-0 6-4 and Constant Lestienne 6-2 3-6 7-6(3).
In the semifinal, The Australian defeated Lestienne (6-2 3-6 7-63). During the match, Tu scored 90 points vs Lestienne’s 84. Tu was pretty aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Regarding the service games, Tu recorded 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Li Tu lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Tu put 67% of his first serves in, winning 78% (45/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (12/29) on the 2nd serve. Tu broke Lestienne 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Tu has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Tu has a solid match record in the last 5 years having won 65% of his matches (170-91). 35-19 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Tu has a compiled126-58 match record in the last 5 years on hard.
Tu’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Traralgon and the Lexington Challenger.
Li has a compiled 41-26 win-loss record in 2024, 35-19 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Yokohama Challenger
Yuta Shimizu
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-29 | 35-25 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-24 | 35-23 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-23 | 36-21 | 7-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-12 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-1 | 6-1 | 0-0 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 217, Yuta got to the final after beating Alex Bolt 7-6(6) 6-1, Masamichi Imamura 6-4 7-6(4), Rei Sakamoto 6-3 6-7(4) 7-6(3) and Benjamin Hassan 6-2 6-3.
In the semifinal, Shimizu had a good straight sets win against Hassan (6-2 6-3). During the match Shimizu scored 69 points vs Hassan’s 57. Shimizu was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Shimizu blasted 2 aces and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Yuta Shimizu conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 6 break points. Furthermore, Shimizu put 76% of his first serves in, winning 71% (37/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (7/16) on the 2nd serve. Shimizu broke Hassan 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Japanese has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Shimizu’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Little Rock Challenger and the Playford Challenger.
Shimizu has a composed 36-28 win-loss record in 2024, 32-24 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Yokohama Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Tu | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 78 | 95 |
| Pts | 267-202 | 354-324 |
| Total Points | 469 | 678 |
| Winners | 115 | 147 |
| %Winners | 43% | 42% |
Both Tu and Shimizu played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Li Tu lost 1 set, while Yuta Shimizu surrendered 1 set. Tu has played 1 set more than Shimizu (10 vs 9). However, it’s interesting to notice that Tu played 17 games less than Shimizu. Li scored 115 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese managed to score 147 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Tu | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 25 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 6.3 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 153/231 | 218/336 |
| %1st in | 66% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 115/153 | 147/218 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 42/78 | 59/118 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 50% |
Tu bagged 25 aces (6.3 per match). Shimizu made 14 aces (3.5 per match). Tu won 75% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Shimizu won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Tu | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 16 |
| Converted | 16/26 | 16/43 |
| % Converted | 62% | 37% |
| Conceded | 16 | 30 |
| Saved | 10 | 22 |
| % Saved | 63% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 8 |
Li broke his opponents 16 times with a 62% conversion rate. Tu conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. Shimizu broke his opponents 16 times with a 37% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| Tu | ||||||
| R1 Demin |
R2 Sekulic |
1/4 Lam Coleman Wong |
1/2 Lestienne |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 3-0 ret. | 7-65 6-3 | 6-0 6-4 | 6-2 3-6 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 10 | 22 | 16 | 30 | 78 | |
| pts | 39-17 | 78-66 | 60-35 | 90-84 | 267-202 | |
| Total points | 56 | 144 | 95 | 174 | 469 | |
| Winners | 14 | 34 | 22 | 45 | 115 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 44% | 37% | 50% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 16/26 | 50/79 | 29/39 | 58/87 | 153/231 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 63% | 74% | 67% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 14/16 | 34/50 | 22/29 | 45/58 | 115/153 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 68% | 76% | 78% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/10 | 16/29 | 7/10 | 12/29 | 42/78 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 55% | 70% | 41% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 3/5 | 5/7 | 4/5 | 16/26 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 60% | 71% | 80% | 62% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 16 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 6/8 | 0/1 | 4/7 | 10 | |
| Saved % | – | 75% | 0% | 57% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | |
| Shimizu | ||||||
| R1 Bolt |
R2 Imamura |
1/4 Sakamoto |
1/2 Hassan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 6-1 | 6-4 7-64 | 6-3 6-74 7-63 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 23 | 35 | 17 | 95 | |
| pts | 77-65 | 81-78 | 127-124 | 69-57 | 354-324 | |
| Total points | 142 | 159 | 251 | 126 | 678 | |
| Winners | 27 | 25 | 58 | 37 | 147 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 31% | 46% | 54% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 38/66 | 47/78 | 81/124 | 52/68 | 218/336 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 60% | 65% | 76% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 27/38 | 25/47 | 58/81 | 37/52 | 147/218 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 53% | 72% | 71% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/28 | 20/31 | 15/43 | 7/16 | 59/118 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 65% | 35% | 44% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 16 | |
| Converted | 3/13 | 4/12 | 6/12 | 3/6 | 16/43 | |
| Converted % | 23% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 30 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 6/9 | 7/11 | 6/6 | 22 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 67% | 64% | 100% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWWWLW
LWWWWWWWLL 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Li TuTu – Yuta ShimizuShimizu (0-1) – H2H and prediction
