Francisco Comesana and Matias Soto will square off in the semifinal of the Sao Paulo Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:30 pm on QUADRA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francisco Comesana who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Francisco Comesana is the pick to win this match.
Francisco Comesana -> 1.44
Matias Soto -> 2.625

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Prediction and head to head Francisco Comesana vs. Matias Soto

There is no head to head record between Francisco Comesana and Matias Soto since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Francisco Comesana

Ranked no. 102, the Argentine reached the semifinal after beating Orlando Luz 6-3 6-2, Juan Pablo Ficovich 6-7(7) 6-4 7-6(6) and Felipe Meligeni Alves 6-3 6-4.

In the quarter, Francisco had a good straight sets win against Meligeni Alves (6-3 6-4). During the match, Comesana scored 67 points vs Meligeni Alves’s 51. The Argentine was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Regarding the service games, Comesana bagged 13 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Francisco Comesana was exceptionally effective on serve to win 83% (34/41) of his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Francisco broke Meligeni Alves twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Francisco has conceded 1 set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Comesana has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 64% of his matches (265-146). 6-4 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Comesana has a compiled17-15 record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the season was conquering the title the Oeiras 3 Challenger where he defeated Ugo Blanchet in the final 6-4 3-6 7-5 and the Buenos Aires Challenger where he overcame Federico Coria in the final 1-6 7-6(7) 6-4.

Comesana has a composed 39-27 win-loss record in 2024, 6-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Sao Paulo Challenger

Comesana has never competed in this tournament before.

Matias Soto

Ranked no. 273 (career-high), the Chilean got to the semifinal after defeating Federico Agustin Gomez 7-5 7-6(4), Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 6-3 6-4 and Gustavo Heide 6-1 6-2.

In the quarter, The Chilean had a good straight sets win against Heide (6-1 6-2). During the match Soto scored 56 points vs Heide’s 29. Matias was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about serving, Soto fired 6 aces and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Matias Soto was pretty effective on serve to win 79% (27/34) of his 1st serve and 54% (7/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Matias broke Heide 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Soto hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

Matias’s best result of the year was reaching the final in the San Luis Potosi Challenger,M25 Trelew,M25 Arequipa,M15 Recife and M25 Sao Paulo.

Soto has an overall 52-24 win-loss record in 2024, 9-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Comesana	Soto
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	6
Tot Games	72	59
Pts	243-202	204-157
Total Points	445	361
Winners	120	92
%Winners	49%	45%

Both Comesana and Soto played 3 matches. At the moment, Francisco Comesana surrendered 1 set while Matias Soto hasn’t lost a set so far. Comesana has played 1 set more than Soto (7 vs 6). Therefore, Comesana played 13 games more than Soto. The Argentine scored 120 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Soto struck 92 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Comesana	Soto
Aces	31	27
Avg per match	10.3	9
1st in	150/220	117/190
%1st in	68%	62%
1st pts	120/150	92/117
%1st pts	80%	79%
2nd pts	44/70	43/73
%2nd pts	63%	59%

Comesana fired 31 aces (10.3 per match). Soto made 27 aces (9 per match). Comesana won 80% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Soto won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Comesana	Soto
Won	6	8
Converted	6/21	8/16
% Converted	29%	50%
Conceded	6	8
Saved	6	7
% Saved	100%	88%
Times Broken	0	1

The Argentine broke his opponents 6 times with a 29% conversion rate. The Argentine pretty solid on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 6 break points. Soto broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. Matias conceded his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.

Comesana
	R1 Luz	R2 Pablo Ficovich	1/4 Meligeni	Total
Score	6-3 6-2	6-77 6-4 7-66	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	2	7
Tot Games	17	36	19	72
pts	59-38	117-113	67-51	243-202
Total points	97	230	118	445
Winners	30	56	34	120
%Winners	51%	48%	51%	49%
SERVE
Aces	6	12	13	31
Double Faults	1	1	2	4
1st in	34/46	75/117	41/57	150/220
% 1st in	74%	64%	72%	68%
1st pts	30/34	56/75	34/41	120/150
% 1st pts	88%	75%	83%	80%
2nd pts	7/12	28/42	9/16	44/70
% 2nd pts	58%	67%	56%	63%
Breaks
Won	3	1	2	6
Converted	3/5	1/7	2/9	6/21
Converted %	60%	14%	22%	29%
Conceded	0	4	2	6
Saved	0/0	4/4	2/2	6
Saved %	–	100%	100%	67%
Times Broken	0	0	0	0

Soto
	R1 Agustin	R2 Carlos Prado Angelo	1/4 Heide	Total
Score	7-5 7-64	6-3 6-4	6-1 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	25	19	15	59
pts	82-77	66-51	56-29	204-157
Total points	159	117	85	361
Winners	33	32	27	92
%Winners	40%	48%	48%	45%
SERVE
Aces	7	14	6	27
Double Faults	5	3	0	8
1st in	41/77	42/66	34/47	117/190
% 1st in	53%	64%	72%	62%
1st pts	33/41	32/42	27/34	92/117
% 1st pts	80%	76%	79%	79%
2nd pts	23/36	13/24	7/13	43/73
% 2nd pts	64%	54%	54%	59%
Breaks
Won	1	3	4	8
Converted	1/4	3/6	4/6	8/16
Converted %	25%	50%	67%	50%
Conceded	3	5	0	8
Saved	3/3	4/5	0/0	7
Saved %	100%	80%	–	60%
Times Broken	0	1	0	1

Tennis Scores in Sao Paulo Challenger

• Tomas Barrios VeraBarrios Vera – Garrett JohnsJohns (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante – Hady HabibHabib (7-6³ 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Felipe Meligeni AlvesMeligeni Alves (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Matias SotoSoto – Gustavo HeideHeide (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Matias SotoSoto – Gustavo HeideHeide (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Felipe Meligeni AlvesMeligeni Alves (6-3 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Marcelo Tomas Barrios VeraTomas Barrios Vera – Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Matias SotoSoto – Francisco ComesanaComesana (0-0) – H2H and prediction