Gustavo Heide and Matias Soto will square off in the quarter of the Sao Paulo Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3:00 pm on QUADRA CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gustavo Heide who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Gustavo Heide is the pick to win this match.
Gustavo Heide -> 1.47
Matias Soto -> 2.53

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Prediction and head to head Gustavo Heide vs. Matias Soto

This will be the 2^nd time that Gustavo Heide and Matias Soto clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Soto (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Soto won 6-3 3-6 6-1 in the 2^nd round in the Medellin Challenger back in 2023.

Gustavo Heide

Ranked no. 173, Gustavo reached the quarter after defeating Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva 6-3 6-4 and Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-3 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Heide had a good straight sets win against Kovacevic (6-3 6-4). During the match, Heide scored 69 points vs Kovacevic’s 57. Heide was pretty aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Regarding the service games, Heide overwhelmed his opponent with 20 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Gustavo Heide conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 5 break points. Furthermore, Heide put 66% of his first serves in, winning 78% (39/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (13/26) on the 2nd serve. Heide broke Kovacevic twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Gustavo hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Heide has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 63% of his matches (137-79). 2-1 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Heide has an aggregate18-13 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Asuncion Challenger where he overcame Joao Fonseca in the final 7-5 6-7(6) 6-1.

Gustavo has an aggregate 34-24 win-loss record in 2024, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Sao Paulo Challenger

Matias Soto

Ranked no. 273 (career-high), Matias reached the quarter after defeating Federico Agustin Gomez 7-5 7-6(4) and Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 6-3 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Soto had a good straight sets win against Carlos Prado Angelo (6-3 6-4). During the match Soto scored 66 points vs Carlos Prado Angelo’s 51. The Chilean was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about serving, Soto bagged 14 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Matias Soto was pretty effective on serve to win 76% (32/42) of his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Chilean broke Carlos Prado Angelo 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Soto hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Soto’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the San Luis Potosi Challenger,M25 Trelew,M25 Arequipa,M15 Recife and M25 Sao Paulo.

Soto has a composed 51-24 win-loss record in 2024, 8-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Heide	Soto
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	4
Tot Games	38	44
Pts	133-107	148-128
Total Points	240	276
Winners	67	65
%Winners	50%	44%

Both Heide and Soto played 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Heide and Soto have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Heide played 6 games less than Soto. The Brazilian scored 67 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Matias blasted 65 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Heide	Soto
Aces	29	21
Avg per match	14.5	10.5
1st in	87/140	83/143
%1st in	62%	58%
1st pts	67/87	65/83
%1st pts	77%	78%
2nd pts	31/53	36/60
%2nd pts	58%	60%

Heide bagged 29 aces (14.5 per match). Soto fired 21 aces (10.5 per match). Heide won 77% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Soto won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Heide	Soto
Won	4	4
Converted	4/8	4/10
% Converted	50%	40%
Conceded	9	8
Saved	9	7
% Saved	100%	88%
Times Broken	0	1

The Brazilian broke his opponents 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Brazilian was rock solid on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 9 break points. The Chilean broke his opponents 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. Soto conceded his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.

Heide
	R1 Lucas Reis Da	R2 Kovacevic	Total
Score	6-3 6-4	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	19	19	38
pts	64-50	69-57	133-107
Total points	114	126	240
Winners	28	39	67
%Winners	44%	57%	50%
SERVE
Aces	9	20	29
Double Faults	1	6	7
1st in	37/64	50/76	87/140
% 1st in	58%	66%	62%
1st pts	28/37	39/50	67/87
% 1st pts	76%	78%	77%
2nd pts	18/27	13/26	31/53
% 2nd pts	67%	50%	58%
Breaks
Won	2	2	4
Converted	2/3	2/5	4/8
Converted %	67%	40%	50%
Conceded	4	5	9
Saved	4/4	5/5	9
Saved %	100%	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0	0

Soto
	R1 Agustin	R2 Carlos Prado Angelo	Total
Score	7-5 7-64	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	25	19	44
pts	82-77	66-51	148-128
Total points	159	117	276
Winners	33	32	65
%Winners	40%	48%	44%
SERVE
Aces	7	14	21
Double Faults	5	3	8
1st in	41/77	42/66	83/143
% 1st in	53%	64%	58%
1st pts	33/41	32/42	65/83
% 1st pts	80%	76%	78%
2nd pts	23/36	13/24	36/60
% 2nd pts	64%	54%	60%
Breaks
Won	1	3	4
Converted	1/4	3/6	4/10
Converted %	25%	50%	40%
Conceded	3	5	8
Saved	3/3	4/5	7
Saved %	100%	80%	90%
Times Broken	0	1	1

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