August Holmgren and Alexey Vatutin will face off in the quarter of the Rovereto Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 5:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is August Holmgren who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, August Holmgren is the pick to win this match.
August Holmgren -> 1.77
Alexey Vatutin -> 1.96

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Prediction and head to head August Holmgren vs. Alexey Vatutin

There is no head to head record between August Holmgren and Alexey Vatutin since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

August Holmgren

August Holmgren

36 - 24win/loss

Hard
24-12
I Hard
6-6
Clay
6-6
Rank
200
High
163
LWWWLLWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 37-25 24-12 6-6 7-7 0-0 0-0
2023 46-26 33-14 9-6 4-6 0-0 0-0
2022 31-12 18-4 10-5 3-3 0-0 0-0
2021 19-8 12-6 7-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 197, August got to the quarter after defeating Jules Marie 6-1 6-2 and Federico Arnaboldi 6-3 6-1.

In the 2nd round, The Dane had a good straight sets win against Arnaboldi (6-3 6-1). During the match, Holmgren scored 58 points vs Arnaboldi’s 36. August was very aggressive to blast 19 winners.

Regarding the service games, Holmgren made 5 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults. August Holmgren lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Holmgren put 59% of his first serves in, winning 70% (19/27) of the points behind his 1st serve and 68% (13/19) on the 2nd serve. August broke Arnaboldi 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Dane hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 62% of the points he played.

Holmgren has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 66% of his matches (171-90). 6-6 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Holmgren has an overall14-15 record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Pozoblanco Challenger where he defeated Antoine Escoffier in the final 3-6 6-3 6-4 and the Porto Challenger where he beat Alejandro Moro Canas in the final 7-6(3) 7-6(6).

Holmgren has an overall 36-24 win-loss record in 2024, 6-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Rovereto Challenger

August has never competed in this tournament before.

Rovereto Challenger
Holmgren's Record

Alexey Vatutin

Alexey Vatutin

52 - 30win/loss

Hard
0-2
I Hard
20-13
Clay
32-15
Rank
320
High
136
LLWWLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 52-32 0-2 32-16 20-14 0-0 0-0
2023 27-27 5-7 6-8 12-11 0-0 4-1
2022 38-39 8-3 19-20 11-16 0-0 0-0
2021 31-38 0-1 15-26 16-11 0-0 0-0
2020 5-19 1-4 1-5 3-9 0-0 0-1

Ranked no. 340, Vatutin reached the quarter after beating Giovanni Oradini 6-2 6-4 and Daniel Masur 6-2 7-5.

In the 2nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Masur (6-2 7-5). During the match Vatutin scored 77 points vs Masur’s 59. Alexey was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.

About the serving games, Vatutin scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 4 double faults. Alexey Vatutin lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Vatutin put 61% of his first serves in, winning 78% (32/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (12/26) on the 2nd serve. Alexey broke Masur 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

Alexey’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15+H Bagnoles de l’Orne,M25 Creteil and M25 Deauville.

Vatutin has a compiled 52-30 win-loss record in 2024, 20-13 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Rovereto Challenger
Vatutin's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Holmgren
A.Vatutin
1h:51
1h:51
Time on court​
!
2h:51
2h:51
1h:01
1h:01
Last match​
1h:23
1h:23
2
2
Match played
2
2
31
31
Games Played​
38
38
4
4
Set played​​
4
4
112
112
Total points​
143
143
56
56
Avg point​
71.5
71.5
43
43
Winners
59
59
21.5
21.5
Avg Winners​
29.5
29.5
38%
38%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
11
11
Aces
1
1
5.5
5.5
Avg Aces
0.5
0.5
0
0
Double Faults
6
6
0
0
Avg Double Faults
3
3
43/58
43/58
1st won total​
59/77
59/77
!
74%
74%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
25/37
25/37
2nd won total​
24/44
24/44
!
68%
68%
2nd won %
55%
55%
-- Break Points --
9/16
9/16
BP won
7/20
7/20
4.5/8
4.5/8
Avg BP won
3.5/10
3.5/10
!
56%
56%
Won
35%
35%
11
11
Conceded
7
7
5.5
5.5
Avg Conceded
3.5
3.5
1
1
Broken
1
1
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
!
0.5
0.5
10
10
Saved
6
6

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Holmgren Vatutin
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 31 38
Pts 112-69 143-110
Total Points 181 253
Winners 43 59
%Winners 38% 41%

Both Holmgren and Vatutin played 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Holmgren and Vatutin have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Holmgren played 7 games less than Vatutin. Holmgren scored 43 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian made 59 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Holmgren Vatutin
Aces 11 1
Avg per match 5.5 0.5
1st in 58/95 77/121
%1st in 61% 64%
1st pts 43/58 59/77
%1st pts 74% 77%
2nd pts 25/37 24/44
%2nd pts 68% 55%

Holmgren blasted 11 aces (5.5 per match). Vatutin struck 1 ace (0.5 per match). Holmgren won 74% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Vatutin won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Holmgren Vatutin
Won 9 7
Converted 9/16 7/20
% Converted 56% 35%
Conceded 11 7
Saved 10 6
% Saved 91% 86%
Times Broken 1 1

The Dane broke his opponents 9 times with a 56% conversion rate. Holmgren conceded his serve once and he saved 91% of the break points that he conceded. Alexey broke his opponents 7 times with a 35% conversion rate. Alexey conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.

Holmgren
R1
Marie
R2
Arnaboldi
Total
Score 6-1 6-2 6-3 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 15 16 31
pts 54-33 58-36 112-69
Total points 87 94 181
Winners 24 19 43
%Winners 44% 33% 38%
SERVE
Aces 6 5 11
Double Faults 0 0 0
1st in 31/49 27/46 58/95
% 1st in 63% 59% 61%
1st pts 24/31 19/27 43/58
% 1st pts 77% 70% 74%
2nd pts 12/18 13/19 25/37
% 2nd pts 67% 68% 68%
Breaks
Won 4 5 9
Converted 4/6 5/10 9/16
Converted % 67% 50% 56%
Conceded 7 4 11
Saved 7/7 3/4 10
Saved % 100% 75% 88%
Times Broken 0 1 1
Vatutin
R1
Oradini
R2
Masur
Total
Score 6-2 6-4 6-2 7-5
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 18 20 38
pts 66-51 77-59 143-110
Total points 117 136 253
Winners 27 32 59
%Winners 41% 42% 41%
SERVE
Aces 0 1 1
Double Faults 2 4 6
1st in 36/54 41/67 77/121
% 1st in 67% 61% 64%
1st pts 27/36 32/41 59/77
% 1st pts 75% 78% 77%
2nd pts 12/18 12/26 24/44
% 2nd pts 67% 46% 55%
Breaks
Won 3 4 7
Converted 3/9 4/11 7/20
Converted % 33% 36% 35%
Conceded 5 2 7
Saved 5/5 1/2 6
Saved % 100% 50% 75%
Times Broken 0 1 1

Upcoming matches in the draw