Pablo Carreno-Busta and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer will play each other in the 2^nd round of the Montemar Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 4:45 pm on IVAN NAVARRO COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Carreno-Busta who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Pablo Carreno-Busta is the pick to win this match.
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.3
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer -> 3.26

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

There is no head to head record between Pablo Carreno-Busta and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Ranked no. 199, Carreno-Busta reached the 2^nd round after beating Max Alcala Gurri 6-2 6-4.

In the 1^st round, Pablo had a good straight sets win against Alcala Gurri (6-2 6-4). During the match, Carreno-Busta scored 70 points vs Alcala Gurri’s 52. The Spaniard was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about the service games, Carreno-Busta scored just 1 ace and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Pablo Carreno-Busta was quite efficient on serve to win 72% (31/43) of his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Spaniard broke Alcala Gurri 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Carreno-Busta has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (288-198). 2-3 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Carreno-Busta has a composed 124-76 match record in the last years on clay.

Carreno-Busta’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Salem.

Pablo has an aggregate 10-11 win-loss record in 2024, 2-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Montemar Challenger

Pablo has never competed in this tournament before.

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Ranked no. 663, Nicolai got to the 2^nd round after defeating Francesco Passaro 7-6(4) 4-6 6-0.

In the 1^st round, Nicolai defeated Passaro (7-6⁴ 4-6 6-0). During the match Budkov scored 101 points vs Passaro’s 77. Nicolai was extremely aggressive to blast 41 winners.

About the serving games, Budkov struck 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Nicolai Budkov Kjaer was pretty efficient on serve to win 72% (41/57) of his 1st serve and 66% (23/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Budkov broke Passaro 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Budkov’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M15 Antalya.

Budkov has an aggregate 21-9 win-loss record in 2024, 14-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Carreno-Busta	Budkov
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	3
Tot Games	18	29
Pts	70-52	101-77
Total Points	122	178
Winners	31	41
%Winners	44%	41%

Both Carreno-Busta and Budkov played 1 match. At the moment, Nicolai Budkov Kjaer conceded 1 set while Pablo Carreno-Busta hasn’t lost a set so far. Carreno-Busta has played 1 set(s) less than Budkov (2 vs 3). Therefore, Carreno-Busta played 11 games less than Budkov. The Spaniard scored 31 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Budkov blasted 41 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Carreno-Busta	Budkov
Aces	1	3
Avg per match	1	3
1st in	43/64	57/92
%1st in	67%	62%
1st pts	31/43	41/57
%1st pts	72%	72%
2nd pts	11/21	23/35
%2nd pts	52%	66%

Carreno-Busta managed to score 1 ace . Budkov also recorded 3 aces . Carreno-Busta won 72% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Budkov won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 66% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Carreno-Busta	Budkov
Won	4	4
Converted	4/8	4/8
% Converted	50%	50%
Conceded	7	8
Saved	6	6
% Saved	86%	75%
Times Broken	1	2

The Spaniard broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Carreno-Busta conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. The Norwegian broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Budkov conceded his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Carreno-Busta
	R1 Alcala	Total
Score	6-2 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	18
pts	70-52	70-52
Total points	122	122
Winners	31	31
%Winners	44%	44%
SERVE
Aces	1	1
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	43/64	43/64
% 1st in	67%	67%
1st pts	31/43	31/43
% 1st pts	72%	72%
2nd pts	11/21	11/21
% 2nd pts	52%	52%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/8	4/8
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	7	7
Saved	6/7	6
Saved %	86%	86%
Times Broken	1	1

Budkov
	R1 Passaro	Total
Score	7-64 4-6 6-0
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	29	29
pts	101-77	101-77
Total points	178	178
Winners	41	41
%Winners	41%	41%
SERVE
Aces	3	3
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	57/92	57/92
% 1st in	62%	62%
1st pts	41/57	41/57
% 1st pts	72%	72%
2nd pts	23/35	23/35
% 2nd pts	66%	66%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/8	4/8
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	8	8
Saved	6/8	6
Saved %	75%	75%
Times Broken	2	2

Tennis Scores in Montemar Challenger

• Edas ButvilasButvilas – Sumit NagalNagal (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Javier Barranco CosanoBarranco Cosano (6-7⁴ 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Pol Martin TiffonMartin Tiffon – Miguel DamasDamas (7-6⁰ 6-1) – See score progression
• Denis YevseyevYevseyev – Gerard Campana LeeCampana Lee (4-6 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Svyatoslav GulinGulin – Oriol Roca BatallaRoca Batalla (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Max Alcala GurriAlcala Gurri (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Fabio FogniniFognini – Daniel RinconRincon (6-2 3-6 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Inaki Montes-De La TorreMontes-De La Torre – Santiago Rodriguez TavernaRodriguez Taverna (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
• Iliyan RadulovRadulov – Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti (7-5 4-2 ret.) – See score progression
• Lukas NeumayerNeumayer – Carlos Lopez MontagudLopez Montagud (7-6² 6-4) – See score progression
• Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Carlos TabernerTaberner (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Nicolai Budkov KjaerBudkov Kjaer – Francesco PassaroPassaro (7-6⁴ 4-6 6-0) – See score progression
• Carlos Sanchez JoverSanchez Jover – Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Abedallah ShelbayhShelbayh – Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino (1-1 ret.) – See score progression
• Nick HardtHardt – Adrian AndreevAndreev (6-3 2-1 ret.) – See score progression
• Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans – Vilius GaubasGaubas (1-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Fabio FogniniFognini – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Denis YevseyevYevseyev – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nick HardtHardt – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Carlos Sanchez JoverSanchez Jover – Pol Martin TiffonMartin Tiffon (3-3) – H2H and prediction