Jannik Sinner and Taylor Fritz will play each other in the final of the the Nitto ATP Finals for the 5^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 6:00 pm on Centre Court. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.148
Taylor Fritz -> 5.85

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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Taylor Fritz

This will be the 5^th time that Jannik Sinner and Taylor Fritz play each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they fought against each other, Sinner won 6-4 6-4 in the R in Nitto atp finals back in November 2024.

Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Taylor Fritz – Nitto atp finals 12-November-2024

Jannik Sinner

Currently world no. 1 Jannik got to the final after beating Alex De Minaur 6-3 6-4, Taylor Fritz 6-4 6-4, Daniil Medvedev 6-3 6-4 and Casper Ruud 6-1 6-2

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In the semifinal, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Ruud (6-1 6-2). During the match, Sinner scored 55 points vs Ruud’s 30. Jannik was quite aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sinner fired 9 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults. Jannik Sinner was pretty efficient on serve to win 81% (22/27) of his 1st serve and 63% (12/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Ruud 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jannik hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to win 59% of the points he played.

Sinner has a fantastic match record in the last 7 years having won 74% of his matches (342-119). 9-0 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sinner has a composed96-25 match record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the current year was winning the title at the Australian Open where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3 and in Rotterdam where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 7-5 6-4 and in Miami where he overcame Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-3 6-1 and in Halle where he defeated Hubert Hurkacz in the final 7-6(8) 7-6(2) and in Cincinnati where he overcame Frances Tiafoe in the final 7-6(4) 6-2 and at the U.S. Open where he overcame Taylor Fritz in the final 6-3 6-4 7-5 and in Shanghai where he defeated Novak Djokovic in the final 7-6(4) 6-3.

Jannik has an aggregate 69-6 win-loss record in 2024, 9-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Nitto ATP Finals

Taylor Fritz

Ranked no. 5 (career-high), the American reached the final after beating Daniil Medvedev 6-4 6-3, Alex De Minaur 5-7 6-4 6-3 and Alexander Zverev 6-3 3-6 7-6(3)

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In the semifinal, The American defeated Zverev (6-3 3-6 7-6³). During the match Fritz and Zverev scored the same amount of points (97). However, the world no. 1 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Fritz was exceptionally aggressive to blast 63 winners.

Talking about serving, Fritz bagged 15 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Taylor Fritz lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Fritz put 71% of his first serves in, winning 85% (63/74) of the points behind his 1st serve and 33% (10/30) on the 2nd serve. Fritz broke Zverev once after converting 17% of his break points (1/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Taylor has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Delray Beach where he beat Tommy Paul in the final 6-2 6-3 and in Eastbourne where he beat Max Purcell in the final 6-4 6-3.

The American has a composed 52-22 win-loss record in 2024, 5-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Nitto ATP Finals

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sinner	Fritz
Match played	4	3
Tot Set	8	8
Tot Games	73	81
Pts	246-174	256-228
Total Points	420	484
Winners	101	149
%Winners	41%	58%

Sinner played 4 matches while Fritz competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Taylor Fritz lost 2 sets while Jannik Sinner hasn’t lost a set so far. Talking about their workload, Sinner and Fritz have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Sinner played 8 games less than Fritz. The Italian scored 101 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The American fired 149 winners (58%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sinner	Fritz
Aces	27	30
Avg per match	6.8	10
1st in	126/210	176/259
%1st in	60%	68%
1st pts	101/126	149/176
%1st pts	80%	85%
2nd pts	56/84	36/83
%2nd pts	67%	43%

Sinner recorded 27 aces (6.8 per match). Fritz scored 30 aces (10 per match). Sinner won 80% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Fritz won 85% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 43% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sinner	Fritz
Won	12	6
Converted	12/25	6/16
% Converted	48%	38%
Conceded	6	16
Saved	4	13
% Saved	67%	81%
Times Broken	2	3

Jannik broke his opponents 12 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Taylor broke his opponents 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 81% of the break points that he conceded.

Sinner
	Round Robin Medvedev	Round Robin Fritz	Round Robin De Minaur	1/2 Ruud	Total
Score	6-3 6-4	6-4 6-4	6-3 6-4	6-1 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	19	20	19	15	73
pts	58-43	70-60	63-41	55-30	246-174
Total points	101	130	104	85	420
Winners	23	30	26	22	101
%Winners	40%	43%	41%	40%	41%
SERVE
Aces	4	6	8	9	27
Double Faults	0	0	1	0	1
1st in	28/49	39/66	32/49	27/46	126/210
% 1st in	57%	59%	65%	59%	60%
1st pts	23/28	30/39	26/32	22/27	101/126
% 1st pts	82%	77%	81%	81%	80%
2nd pts	15/21	16/27	13/17	12/19	56/84
% 2nd pts	71%	59%	76%	63%	67%
Breaks
Won	3	2	3	4	12
Converted	3/5	2/6	3/7	4/7	12/25
Converted %	60%	33%	43%	57%	48%
Conceded	2	1	1	2	6
Saved	1/2	1/1	0/1	2/2	4
Saved %	50%	100%	0%	100%	63%
Times Broken	1	0	1	0	2

Fritz
	Round Robin De Minaur	Round Robin Sinner	Round Robin Medvedev	1/2 Zverev	Total
Score	5-7 6-4 6-3	6-4 6-4	6-4 6-3	6-3 3-6 7-63
Tot Set	3	2	2	3	10
Tot Games	31	20	19	31	101
pts	91-81	–	68-50	97-97	256-228
Total points	172	0	118	194	484
Winners	52		34	63	149
%Winners	57%	0%	50%	65%	58%
SERVE
Aces	6	0	9	15	30
Double Faults	1		0	1	2
1st in	62/97	/	40/58	74/104	176/259
% 1st in	64%	0%	69%	71%	68%
1st pts	52/62	/	34/40	63/74	149/176
% 1st pts	84%	0%	85%	85%	85%
2nd pts	16/35	/	10/18	10/30	36/83
% 2nd pts	46%	0%	56%	33%	43%
Breaks
Won	3		2	1	6
Converted	3/6	/	2/4	1/6	6/16
Converted %	50%	0%	50%	17%	38%
Conceded	6		3	7	16
Saved	4/6	0/	3/3	6/7	13
Saved %	67%	–	100%	86%	63%
Times Broken	2		0	1	3

Upcoming matches in the draw

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