Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Tristan Boyer will square off in the semifinal of the Montevideo Challenger for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 7:30 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.59
Tristan Boyer -> 2.24

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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Tristan Boyer

This will be the 3^rd time that Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Tristan Boyer clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Ugo Carabelli and Boyer (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Boyer won 6-3 5-4 ret. in the semifinal in the Campinas Challenger back in October 2024.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Ranked no. 108, the Argentine got to the semifinal after defeating Vit Kopriva 6-4 6-2, Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco 6-7(4) 7-5 6-3 and Genaro Alberto Olivieri 6-2 6-2.

In the quarter, Camilo had a good straight sets win against Alberto Olivieri (6-2 6-2). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 61 points vs Alberto Olivieri’s 38. Ugo Carabelli was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Regarding the service games, Ugo Carabelli wasn’t able to score even 1 ace during the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Camilo Ugo Carabelli was pretty effective on serve to win 86% (25/29) of his 1st serve and 54% (7/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Argentine broke Alberto Olivieri 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Camilo has lost 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.

Ugo Carabelli has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 64% of his matches (342-196). 52-23 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ugo Carabelli has a composed313-167 match record in the last 9 years on clay.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Piracicaba Challenger where he beat Federico Coria in the final 7-5 6-4 and the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger where he overcame Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco in the final 6-4 6-2 and the Villa Maria Challenger where he defeated Jesper De Jong in the final 7-6(3) 3-6 6-4.

Ugo Carabelli has a compiled 54-28 win-loss record in 2024, 52-23 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Montevideo Challenger

Tristan Boyer

Ranked no. 161, Tristan reached the semifinal after beating Juan Manuel Cerundolo 6-4 6-4, Gastao Elias 7-5 7-5 and Thiago Moura Monteiro 6-3 6-4.

In the quarter, Boyer had a good straight sets win against Moura Monteiro (6-3 6-4). During the match Boyer scored 69 points vs Moura Monteiro’s 59. Tristan was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.

About the serving games, Boyer bagged 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Tristan Boyer was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 79% (26/33) of his 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The American broke Moura Monteiro 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Boyer hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Merida Challenger where he defeated Juan Pablo Ficovich in the final 7-6(6) 6-2 and the Campinas Challenger where he overcame Juan Pablo Ficovich in the final 6-2 3-6 6-3.

Tristan has a composed 42-29 win-loss record in 2024, 25-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Montevideo Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Ugo Carabelli	Boyer
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	6
Tot Games	68	63
Pts	258-210	240-209
Total Points	468	449
Winners	91	86
%Winners	35%	36%

Both Ugo Carabelli and Boyer played 3 matches. At the moment, Camilo Ugo Carabelli conceded 1 set while Tristan Boyer hasn’t conceded a set so far. Ugo Carabelli has played 1 set more than Boyer (7 vs 6). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 5 games more than Boyer. Ugo Carabelli scored 91 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The American fired 86 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Ugo Carabelli	Boyer
Aces	4	9
Avg per match	1.3	3
1st in	135/230	127/215
%1st in	59%	59%
1st pts	91/135	86/127
%1st pts	67%	68%
2nd pts	52/95	45/88
%2nd pts	55%	51%

Ugo Carabelli fired 4 aces (1.3 per match). Boyer recorded 9 aces (3 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 67% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Boyer won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Ugo Carabelli	Boyer
Won	15	13
Converted	15/31	13/40
% Converted	48%	33%
Conceded	18	18
Saved	12	11
% Saved	67%	61%
Times Broken	6	7

Camilo broke his opponents 15 times with a 48% conversion rate. Camilo surrendered his serve 6 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 13 times with a 33% conversion rate. Tristan conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 61% of the break points that he conceded.

Ugo Carabelli
	R1 Kopriva	R2 Alejandro Dellien Velasco	1/4 Alberto Olivieri	Total
Score	6-4 6-2	6-74 7-5 6-3	6-2 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	2	7
Tot Games	18	34	16	68
pts	69-55	128-117	61-38	258-210
Total points	124	245	99	468
Winners	21	45	25	91
%Winners	30%	35%	41%	35%
SERVE
Aces	2	2	0	4
Double Faults	3	2	1	6
1st in	38/69	68/119	29/42	135/230
% 1st in	55%	57%	69%	59%
1st pts	21/38	45/68	25/29	91/135
% 1st pts	55%	66%	86%	67%
2nd pts	19/31	26/51	7/13	52/95
% 2nd pts	61%	51%	54%	55%
Breaks
Won	5	6	4	15
Converted	5/9	6/14	4/8	15/31
Converted %	56%	43%	50%	48%
Conceded	11	7	0	18
Saved	9/11	3/7	0/0	12
Saved %	82%	43%	–	42%
Times Broken	2	4	0	6

Boyer
	R1 Manuel	R2 Elias	1/4 Moura Monteiro	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	7-5 7-5	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	20	24	19	63
pts	78-66	93-84	69-59	240-209
Total points	144	177	128	449
Winners	28	32	26	86
%Winners	36%	34%	38%	36%
SERVE
Aces	3	2	4	9
Double Faults	2	3	3	8
1st in	43/73	51/82	33/60	127/215
% 1st in	59%	62%	55%	59%
1st pts	28/43	32/51	26/33	86/127
% 1st pts	65%	63%	79%	68%
2nd pts	14/30	16/31	15/27	45/88
% 2nd pts	47%	52%	56%	51%
Breaks
Won	5	5	3	13
Converted	5/11	5/18	3/11	13/40
Converted %	45%	28%	27%	33%
Conceded	8	7	3	18
Saved	5/8	4/7	2/3	11
Saved %	63%	57%	67%	62%
Times Broken	3	3	1	7

Tennis Scores in Montevideo Challenger

• Mariano Kestelboim/Franco RoncadelliKestelboim/Franco Roncadelli – Karol Drzewiecki/Piotr MatuszewskiDrzewiecki/Piotr Matuszewski (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Hugo DellienDellien – Federico CoriaCoria (5-4) – H2H and prediction
• Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Tristan BoyerBoyer (1-1) – H2H and prediction