Alexander Zverev and Taylor Fritz will square off in the semifinal of the the Nitto ATP Finals for the 12^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 2:30 pm on Center Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Zverev who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexander Zverev is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Zverev -> 1.43
Taylor Fritz -> 2.91

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Taylor Fritz

This will be the 12^th time that Alexander Zverev and Taylor Fritz square off. The head to head is 6-5 for Fritz (see full H2H stats

), 2-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they played each other, Fritz won 6-4 7-5 in the R in Laver cup back in September 2024.

Alexander Zverev

Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Zverev reached the semifinal after defeating Casper Ruud 7-6(3) 6-3, Carlos Alcaraz 7-6(5) 6-4 and Andrey Rublev 6-4 6-4.

In the previous match, The German had a good straight sets win against Alcaraz (7-6⁵ 6-4). During the match, Zverev scored 83 points vs Alcaraz’s 74. The German was quite aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Regarding the service games, Zverev fired 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Alexander Zverev was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 73% (40/55) of his 1st serve and 67% (10/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Zverev broke Alcaraz once after converting 13% of his break points (1/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alexander hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Zverev has an impressive record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (483-201). 11-2 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Zverev has an aggregate 95-42 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the year was conquering the title in Australia where he beat Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-7(3) 7-6(6) 6-4 and in Rome where he overcame Nicolas Jarry in the final 6-4 7-5 and in Paris where he defeated Ugo Humbert in the final 6-2 6-2.

The German has a composed 69-20 win-loss record in 2024, 11-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Nitto ATP Finals

Taylor Fritz

Ranked no. 5 (career-high), Fritz reached the semifinal after beating Alex De Minaur 5-7 6-4 6-3 and Daniil Medvedev 6-4 6-3.

In the previous match against De Minaur, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-3). During the match Fritz scored 91 points vs De Minaur’s 81. Fritz was quite aggressive to blast 52 winners.

Talking about serving, Fritz bagged 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Taylor Fritz lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Fritz put 64% of his first serves in, winning 84% (52/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (16/35) on the 2nd serve. Fritz broke De Minaur 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Fritz has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was conquering the title in Delray Beach where he beat Tommy Paul in the final 6-2 6-3 and in Eastbourne where he defeated Max Purcell in the final 6-4 6-3.

The American has an overall 51-22 win-loss record in 2024, 4-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Nitto ATP Finals

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Zverev	Fritz
Match played	3	2
Tot Set	6	5
Tot Games	65	50
Pts	204-169	159-131
Total Points	373	290
Winners	109	86
%Winners	53%	54%

Zverev played 3 matches while Fritz competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Taylor Fritz lost 1 set while Alexander Zverev hasn’t lost a set so far. Zverev has played 1 set more than Fritz (6 vs 5). Therefore, Zverev played 15 games more than Fritz. Alexander scored 109 winners (53% of the total points). On the other side, The American bagged 86 winners (54%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Zverev	Fritz
Aces	29	15
Avg per match	9.7	7.5
1st in	137/181	102/155
%1st in	76%	66%
1st pts	109/137	86/102
%1st pts	80%	84%
2nd pts	31/44	26/53
%2nd pts	70%	49%

Zverev blasted 29 aces (9.7 per match). Fritz managed to score 15 aces (7.5 per match). Zverev won 80% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 70% of the points. On the other side, Fritz won 84% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Zverev	Fritz
Won	4	5
Converted	4/11	5/10
% Converted	36%	50%
Conceded	2	9
Saved	2	7
% Saved	100%	78%
Times Broken	0	2

Alexander broke his opponents 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. Zverev was rock solid on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 2 break points. The American broke his opponents 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.

Zverev
	Round Robin Alcaraz	Round Robin Ruud	Round Robin Rublev	Total
Score	7-65 6-4	7-63 6-3	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	23	22	20	65
pts	83-74	66-51	55-44	204-169
Total points	157	117	99	373
Winners	40	41	28	109
%Winners	48%	62%	51%	53%
SERVE
Aces	9	11	9	29
Double Faults	1	1	0	2
1st in	55/70	47/61	35/50	137/181
% 1st in	79%	77%	70%	76%
1st pts	40/55	41/47	28/35	109/137
% 1st pts	73%	87%	80%	80%
2nd pts	10/15	9/14	12/15	31/44
% 2nd pts	67%	64%	80%	70%
Breaks
Won	1	1	2	4
Converted	1/8	1/1	2/2	4/11
Converted %	13%	100%	100%	36%
Conceded	2	0	0	2
Saved	2/2	0/0	0/0	2
Saved %	100%	–	–	33%
Times Broken	0	0	0	0

Fritz
	Round Robin De Minaur	Round Robin Sinner	Round Robin Medvedev	Total
Score	5-7 6-4 6-3	6-4 6-4	6-4 6-3
Tot Set	3	2	2	7
Tot Games	31	20	19	70
pts	91-81	–	68-50	159-131
Total points	172	0	118	290
Winners	52		34	86
%Winners	57%	0%	50%	54%
SERVE
Aces	6	0	9	15
Double Faults	1		0	1
1st in	62/97	/	40/58	102/155
% 1st in	64%	0%	69%	66%
1st pts	52/62	/	34/40	86/102
% 1st pts	84%	0%	85%	84%
2nd pts	16/35	/	10/18	26/53
% 2nd pts	46%	0%	56%	49%
Breaks
Won	3		2	5
Converted	3/6	/	2/4	5/10
Converted %	50%	0%	50%	50%
Conceded	6		3	9
Saved	4/6	0/	3/3	7
Saved %	67%	–	100%	56%
Times Broken	2		0	2

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Alexander ZverevZverev – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (5-6) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Casper RuudRuud (2-0) – H2H and prediction