Mattia Bellucci and Jurij Rodionov will face off in the semifinal of the Kobe Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 12:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mattia Bellucci who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mattia Bellucci is the pick to win this match.
Mattia Bellucci -> 1.51
Jurij Rodionov -> 2.42

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Prediction and head to head Mattia Bellucci vs. Jurij Rodionov

This will be the 2^nd time that Mattia Bellucci and Jurij Rodionov clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Bellucci (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they fought against each other, Bellucci won 7-6(2) 2-6 6-2 in the semifinal in the St. Tropez Challenger back in 2022.

Mattia Bellucci

Ranked no. 104, Bellucci got to the semifinal after defeating Yuta Shimizu 7-6(1) 6-4, Alex Bolt 6-0 6-4 and Benjamin Hassan 6-1 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Mattia had a good straight sets win against Bolt (6-0 6-4). During the match, Bellucci scored 62 points vs Bolt’s 41. Bellucci was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about the service games, Bellucci made 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Mattia Bellucci was quite effective on serve to win 86% (25/29) of his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Bellucci broke Bolt 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Bellucci hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

Bellucci has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 64% of his matches (234-131). 8-8 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Bellucci has a composed30-24 match record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.

Bellucci’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Cary Challenger and the Olbia Challenger.

Mattia has an overall 50-30 win-loss record in 2024, 8-8 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Kobe Challenger

The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.

Jurij Rodionov

Ranked no. 197, Rodionov reached the semifinal after beating Rei Sakamoto 6-3 6-2, Bu Yunchaokete 7-6(3) 7-5 and Sho Shimabukuro 6-7(5) 6-1 7-6(3).

In the quarter against Shimabukuro, Jurij recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7⁵ 6-1 7-6³). During the match Rodionov scored 121 points vs Shimabukuro’s 108. Rodionov was quite aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about serving, Rodionov blasted 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Jurij Rodionov lost the serve 6 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Rodionov put 58% of his first serves in, winning 57% (38/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (27/48) on the 2nd serve. Rodionov broke Shimabukuro 8 times after converting 67% of his break points (8/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jurij has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Koblenz Challenger where he defeated Brandon Nakashima in the final 6-7(7) 6-1 6-2.

Rodionov has an aggregate 26-30 win-loss record in 2024, 10-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Kobe Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Bellucci	Rodionov
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	6	7
Tot Games	56	75
Pts	205-150	268-227
Total Points	355	495
Winners	74	104
%Winners	36%	39%

Both Bellucci and Rodionov played 3 matches. At the moment, Jurij Rodionov surrendered 1 set while Mattia Bellucci hasn’t dropped a set so far. Bellucci has played 1 set(s) less than Rodionov (6 vs 7). Therefore, Bellucci played 19 games less than Rodionov. The Italian scored 74 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Jurij made 104 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Bellucci	Rodionov
Aces	17	16
Avg per match	5.7	5.3
1st in	91/167	147/252
%1st in	54%	58%
1st pts	74/91	104/147
%1st pts	81%	71%
2nd pts	46/76	58/105
%2nd pts	61%	55%

Bellucci made 17 aces (5.7 per match). Rodionov bagged 16 aces (5.3 per match). Bellucci won 81% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Rodionov won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Bellucci	Rodionov
Won	11	13
Converted	11/26	13/20
% Converted	42%	65%
Conceded	11	19
Saved	8	12
% Saved	73%	63%
Times Broken	3	7

Bellucci broke his opponents 11 times with a 42% conversion rate. Mattia dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. Rodionov broke his opponents 13 times with a 65% conversion rate. Jurij conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.

Bellucci
	R1 Shimizu	R2 Bolt	Total
Score	7-61 6-4	6-0 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	23	16	39
pts	74-61	62-41	136-102
Total points	135	103	238
Winners	22	25	47
%Winners	30%	40%	35%
SERVE
Aces	7	5	12
Double Faults	3	4	7
1st in	31/72	29/50	60/122
% 1st in	43%	58%	49%
1st pts	22/31	25/29	47/60
% 1st pts	71%	86%	78%
2nd pts	27/41	11/21	38/62
% 2nd pts	66%	52%	61%
Breaks
Won	3	4	7
Converted	3/3	4/7	7/10
Converted %	100%	57%	70%
Conceded	6	4	10
Saved	4/6	4/4	8
Saved %	67%	100%	84%
Times Broken	2	0	2

Rodionov
	R1 Sakamoto	R2 Yunchaokete	1/4 Shimabukuro	Total
Score	6-3 6-2	7-63 7-5	6-75 6-1 7-63
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	17	25	33	75
pts	61-42	86-77	121-108	268-227
Total points	103	163	229	495
Winners	26	40	38	104
%Winners	43%	47%	31%	39%
SERVE
Aces	1	9	6	16
Double Faults	6	3	4	13
1st in	31/55	49/82	67/115	147/252
% 1st in	56%	60%	58%	58%
1st pts	26/31	40/49	38/67	104/147
% 1st pts	84%	82%	57%	71%
2nd pts	15/24	16/33	27/48	58/105
% 2nd pts	63%	48%	56%	55%
Breaks
Won	3	2	8	13
Converted	3/4	2/4	8/12	13/20
Converted %	75%	50%	67%	65%
Conceded	3	4	12	19
Saved	3/3	3/4	6/12	12
Saved %	100%	75%	50%	113%
Times Broken	0	1	6	7

Tennis Scores in Kobe Challenger

• Kaichi Uchida/Takeru YuzukiUchida/Takeru Yuzuki – Shinji Hazawa/Masamichi ImamuraHazawa/Masamichi Imamura (1-6 6-3 10-5) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Jurij RodionovRodionov – (0-1) – H2H and prediction