Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi and Juan Manuel La Serna will square off in the qualifications of the Montevideo Challenger for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 1:00 pm on CANCHA 2. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi is the pick to win this match.
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi -> 1.33
Juan Manuel La Serna -> 3.1
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Prediction and head to head Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs. Juan Manuel La Serna
This will be the 5th time that Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi and Juan Manuel La Serna clash against each other. The head to head is 4-0 for Emanuel Ambrogi (see full H2H stats), 4-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Emanuel Ambrogi won 6-4 6-3 in the 2nd round in M15 Bragado back in March 2024.
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42-30 | 1-3 | 41-27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-23 | 0-0 | 45-23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-14 | 0-1 | 29-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 406, Emanuel Ambrogi got to the qualifications after beating Valentino Aliano 6-1 6-3.
In the qualifications, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Aliano (6-1 6-3). During the match, Emanuel Ambrogi scored 55 points vs Aliano’s 32. Luciano was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about the service games, Emanuel Ambrogi scored just 1 ace during the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi was very effective on serve to win 73% (27/37) of his 1st serve and 88% (7/8) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Emanuel Ambrogi broke Aliano 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Emanuel Ambrogi has a solid record in the last 3 years having won 64% of his matches (114-63). 40-26 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Emanuel Ambrogi has an overall114-62 win-loss record in the last 3 years on clay.
Luciano’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Bragado.
Luciano has a compiled 40-26 win-loss record in 2024, 40-26 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Montevideo Challenger
Luciano has never competed in this tournament before.
Juan Manuel La Serna
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-21 | 0-0 | 34-21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-20 | 0-0 | 35-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 633 (career-high), Manuel La Serna got to the qualifications after beating Ryan Nijboer 4-6 6-1 6-4.
In the qualifications against Nijboer, The Argentine recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-1 6-4). During the match Manuel La Serna scored 100 points vs Nijboer’s 89. Juan was pretty aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about serving, Manuel La Serna recorded 5 aces and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Juan Manuel La Serna lost the serve 4 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Manuel La Serna put 74% of his first serves in, winning 57% (43/76) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (16/27) on the 2nd serve. Manuel La Serna broke Nijboer 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
The Argentine’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M15 Punta del Este and M15 Kursumlijska Banja.
Manuel La Serna has a compiled 31-19 win-loss record in 2024, 31-19 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Emanuel Ambrogi | Manuel La Serna |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 27 |
| Pts | 55-32 | 100-89 |
| Total Points | 87 | 189 |
| Winners | 27 | 43 |
| %Winners | 49% | 43% |
Both Emanuel Ambrogi and Manuel La Serna played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Juan Manuel La Serna dropped 1 set while Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi hasn’t lost a set so far. Emanuel Ambrogi has played 1 set(s) less than Manuel La Serna (2 vs 3). Therefore, Emanuel Ambrogi played 11 games less than Manuel La Serna. Emanuel Ambrogi scored 27 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Manuel La Serna blasted 43 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Emanuel Ambrogi | Manuel La Serna |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 5 |
| 1st in | 37/45 | 76/103 |
| %1st in | 82% | 74% |
| 1st pts | 27/37 | 43/76 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 57% |
| 2nd pts | 7/8 | 16/27 |
| %2nd pts | 88% | 59% |
Emanuel Ambrogi managed to score 1 ace . Manuel La Serna also struck 5 aces . Emanuel Ambrogi won 73% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 88% of the points. On the other side, Manuel La Serna won 57% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Emanuel Ambrogi | Manuel La Serna |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 6 |
| Converted | 4/6 | 6/9 |
| % Converted | 67% | 67% |
| Conceded | 1 | 13 |
| Saved | 1 | 9 |
| % Saved | 100% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 |
The Argentine broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Luciano had a solid display on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 1 break points. The Argentine broke his opponent 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. Juan conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.
| Emanuel Ambrogi | |||
| Q1 Aliano |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 55-32 | 55-32 | |
| Total points | 87 | 87 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 37/45 | 37/45 | |
| % 1st in | 82% | 82% | |
| 1st pts | 27/37 | 27/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/8 | 7/8 | |
| % 2nd pts | 88% | 88% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Manuel La Serna | |||
| Q1 Nijboer |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
| pts | 100-89 | 100-89 | |
| Total points | 189 | 189 | |
| Winners | 43 | 43 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 76/103 | 76/103 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 74% | |
| 1st pts | 43/76 | 43/76 | |
| % 1st pts | 57% | 57% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/27 | 16/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 6/9 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 13 | |
| Saved | 9/13 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 69% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
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