Mateus Alves and Mariano Kestelboim will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Montevideo Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 3:30 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mateus Alves who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mateus Alves is the pick to win this match.
Mateus Alves -> 1.44
Mariano Kestelboim -> 2.625

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Prediction and head to head Mateus Alves vs. Mariano Kestelboim

There is no head to head record between Mateus Alves and Mariano Kestelboim since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Mateus Alves

Ranked no. 279 (career-high), Alves got to the qualifications after beating Ignacio Carou 5-7 6-4 6-1.

In the qualifications against Carou, Alves recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-1). During the match, Alves scored 97 points vs Carou’s 78. Mateus was exceptionally aggressive to blast 46 winners.

Regarding the service games, Alves scored just 1 ace throughout the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Mateus Alves was very efficient on serve to win 75% (46/61) of his 1st serve and 59% (20/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Mateus broke Carou 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Alves has a winning record in the last 7 years having won 59% of his matches (207-145). 41-25 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alves has a composed122-98 win-loss record in the last 7 years on clay.

The Brazilian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M25 Maceio,M25 Marburg and the Bogota Challenger.

Mateus has an aggregate 44-26 win-loss record in 2024, 41-25 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Montevideo Challenger

Mariano Kestelboim

Ranked no. 499, the Argentine got to the qualifications after beating Francisco Llanes 6-4 6-7(6) 6-3.

In the qualifications, The Argentine defeated Llanes (6-4 6-7⁶ 6-3). During the match Kestelboim scored 112 points vs Llanes’s 105. Mariano was very aggressive to blast 54 winners.

Talking about serving, Kestelboim scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Mariano Kestelboim lost the serve twice and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Kestelboim put 71% of his first serves in, winning 62% (54/87) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (20/35) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Llanes 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Kestelboim’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M15 Villa Maria,M15 Neuquen and M15 Cordoba.

The Argentine has a composed 30-18 win-loss record in 2024, 30-18 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Alves	Kestelboim
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	29	32
Pts	97-78	112-105
Total Points	175	217
Winners	46	54
%Winners	47%	48%

Both Alves and Kestelboim played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Mateus Alves dropped 1 set, while Mariano Kestelboim lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Alves and Kestelboim have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Alves played 3 games less than Kestelboim. Alves scored 46 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Mariano managed to score 54 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Alves	Kestelboim
Aces	1	1
Avg per match	1	1
1st in	61/95	87/122
%1st in	64%	71%
1st pts	46/61	54/87
%1st pts	75%	62%
2nd pts	20/34	20/35
%2nd pts	59%	57%

Alves scored 1 ace . Kestelboim also made 1 ace . Alves won 75% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Kestelboim won 62% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Alves	Kestelboim
Won	3	4
Converted	3/7	4/6
% Converted	43%	67%
Conceded	9	9
Saved	8	7
% Saved	89%	78%
Times Broken	1	2

Alves broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Brazilian lost his serve once and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded. Mariano broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Mariano conceded his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.

Alves
	Q1 Carou	Total
Score	5-7 6-4 6-1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	29	29
pts	97-78	97-78
Total points	175	175
Winners	46	46
%Winners	47%	47%
SERVE
Aces	1	1
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	61/95	61/95
% 1st in	64%	64%
1st pts	46/61	46/61
% 1st pts	75%	75%
2nd pts	20/34	20/34
% 2nd pts	59%	59%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/7	3/7
Converted %	43%	43%
Conceded	9	9
Saved	8/9	8
Saved %	89%	89%
Times Broken	1	1

Kestelboim
	Q1 Llanes	Total
Score	6-4 6-76 6-3
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	32	32
pts	112-105	112-105
Total points	217	217
Winners	54	54
%Winners	48%	48%
SERVE
Aces	1	1
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	87/122	87/122
% 1st in	71%	71%
1st pts	54/87	54/87
% 1st pts	62%	62%
2nd pts	20/35	20/35
% 2nd pts	57%	57%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/6	4/6
Converted %	67%	67%
Conceded	9	9
Saved	7/9	7
Saved %	78%	78%
Times Broken	2	2

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