Nicolas Moreno De Alboran and Alex Bolt will fight against each other in the final of the Matsuyama Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolas Moreno De Alboran who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Nicolas Moreno De Alboran is the pick to win this match.
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran -> 1.33
Alex Bolt -> 3.1

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Prediction and head to head Nicolas Moreno De Alboran vs. Alex Bolt

There is no head to head record between Nicolas Moreno De Alboran and Alex Bolt since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran

Ranked no. 119 (career-high), Moreno De Alboran reached the final after beating Tristan Schoolkate 6-4 7-5, James McCabe 6-4 6-3, Federico Cina 6-3 6-4 and Alexander Blockx 7-6(5) 6-2.

In the semifinal, Moreno De Alboran had a good straight sets win against Blockx (7-6⁵ 6-2). During the match, Moreno De Alboran scored 77 points vs Blockx’s 72. Moreno De Alboran was very aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Talking about the service games, Moreno De Alboran managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Nicolas Moreno De Alboran lost the serve once and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Moreno De Alboran put 66% of his first serves in, winning 67% (39/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (15/30) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Blockx 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Moreno De Alboran hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.

Moreno De Alboran has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 63% of his matches (242-140). 20-12 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Moreno De Alboran has an aggregate128-67 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

The Spaniard’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Villena Challenger.

Moreno De Alboran has an overall 50-34 win-loss record in 2024, 20-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Matsuyama Challenger

Nicolas has never competed in this tournament before.

Alex Bolt

Ranked no. 179, Alex reached the final after beating Matej Dodig 6-2 3-0 ret., Chak Lam Coleman Wong 7-6(5) 6-2, Terence Atmane 6-1 4-6 6-3 and Yosuke Watanuki 6-3 4-6 6-3.

In the semifinal, The Australian defeated Watanuki (6-3 4-6 6-3). During the match Bolt scored 86 points vs Watanuki’s 77. Bolt was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Talking about serving, Bolt struck 8 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Alex Bolt lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Bolt put 57% of his first serves in, winning 78% (39/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (15/38) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Watanuki 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alex has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

The Australian’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Burnie 1 Challenger,M25 Traralgon,M25 Mildura and M25 Swan Hill.

The Australian has an overall 47-23 win-loss record in 2024, 26-19 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Moreno De Alboran	Bolt
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	8	11
Tot Games	81	86
Pts	288-240	289-232
Total Points	528	521
Winners	134	120
%Winners	47%	42%

Both Moreno De Alboran and Bolt played 4 matches. At the moment, Alex Bolt lost 2 sets while Nicolas Moreno De Alboran hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Moreno De Alboran has played 3 set(s) less than Bolt (8 vs 11). Therefore, Moreno De Alboran played 5 games less than Bolt. The Spaniard scored 134 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian bagged 120 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Moreno De Alboran	Bolt
Aces	21	23
Avg per match	5.3	5.8
1st in	184/276	162/266
%1st in	67%	61%
1st pts	134/184	120/162
%1st pts	73%	74%
2nd pts	47/92	53/104
%2nd pts	51%	51%

Moreno De Alboran scored 21 aces (5.3 per match). Bolt blasted 23 aces (5.8 per match). Moreno De Alboran won 73% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Bolt won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Moreno De Alboran	Bolt
Won	13	17
Converted	13/24	17/27
% Converted	54%	63%
Conceded	23	26
Saved	19	20
% Saved	83%	77%
Times Broken	4	6

The Spaniard broke his opponents 13 times with a 54% conversion rate. Nicolas lost his serve 4 times and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponents 17 times with a 63% conversion rate. Alex conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.

Moreno De Alboran
	R1 Schoolkate	R2 McCabe	1/4 Cina	1/2 Blockx	Total
Score	6-4 7-5	6-4 6-3	6-3 6-4	7-65 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	22	19	19	21	81
pts	83-69	62-47	66-52	77-72	288-240
Total points	152	109	118	149	528
Winners	34	22	39	39	134
%Winners	41%	35%	59%	51%	47%
SERVE
Aces	9	3	4	5	21
Double Faults	2	2	5	4	13
1st in	46/65	28/51	52/72	58/88	184/276
% 1st in	71%	55%	72%	66%	67%
1st pts	34/46	22/28	39/52	39/58	134/184
% 1st pts	74%	79%	75%	67%	73%
2nd pts	11/19	13/23	8/20	15/30	47/92
% 2nd pts	58%	57%	40%	50%	51%
Breaks
Won	3	4	3	3	13
Converted	3/10	4/6	3/3	3/5	13/24
Converted %	30%	67%	100%	60%	54%
Conceded	4	2	9	8	23
Saved	3/4	1/2	8/9	7/8	19
Saved %	75%	50%	89%	88%	76%
Times Broken	1	1	1	1	4

Bolt
	R1 Dodig	R2 Lam Coleman Wong	1/4 Atmane	1/2 Watanuki	Total
Score	6-2 3-0 ret.	7-65 6-2	6-1 4-6 6-3	6-3 4-6 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	3	3	10
Tot Games	11	21	26	28	86
pts	43-24	73-60	87-71	86-77	289-232
Total points	67	133	158	163	521
Winners	14	33	34	39	120
%Winners	33%	45%	39%	45%	42%
SERVE
Aces	4	7	4	8	23
Double Faults	1	4	4	4	13
1st in	17/28	47/74	48/76	50/88	162/266
% 1st in	61%	64%	63%	57%	61%
1st pts	14/17	33/47	34/48	39/50	120/162
% 1st pts	82%	70%	71%	78%	74%
2nd pts	7/11	15/27	16/28	15/38	53/104
% 2nd pts	64%	56%	57%	39%	51%
Breaks
Won	4	3	5	5	17
Converted	4/9	3/4	5/8	5/6	17/27
Converted %	44%	75%	63%	83%	63%
Conceded	3	8	6	9	26
Saved	3/3	7/8	4/6	6/9	20
Saved %	100%	88%	67%	67%	81%
Times Broken	0	1	2	3	6

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Alex BoltBolt – Nicolas Moreno De AlboranMoreno De Alboran (0-0) – H2H and prediction