Nicolas Moreno De Alboran and Alex Bolt will fight against each other in the final of the Matsuyama Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolas Moreno De Alboran who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Nicolas Moreno De Alboran is the pick to win this match.
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran -> 1.33
Alex Bolt -> 3.1
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Prediction and head to head Nicolas Moreno De Alboran vs. Alex Bolt
There is no head to head record between Nicolas Moreno De Alboran and Alex Bolt since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
50 - 34win/loss
110
109
LWWWWWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 51-35 | 21-12 | 27-19 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-30 | 25-16 | 10-8 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-20 | 8-2 | 28-17 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 44-20 | 22-11 | 22-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-12 | 14-8 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 119 (career-high), Moreno De Alboran reached the final after beating Tristan Schoolkate 6-4 7-5, James McCabe 6-4 6-3, Federico Cina 6-3 6-4 and Alexander Blockx 7-6(5) 6-2.
In the semifinal, Moreno De Alboran had a good straight sets win against Blockx (7-65 6-2). During the match, Moreno De Alboran scored 77 points vs Blockx’s 72. Moreno De Alboran was very aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about the service games, Moreno De Alboran managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Nicolas Moreno De Alboran lost the serve once and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Moreno De Alboran put 66% of his first serves in, winning 67% (39/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (15/30) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Blockx 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Moreno De Alboran hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.
Moreno De Alboran has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 63% of his matches (242-140). 20-12 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Moreno De Alboran has an aggregate128-67 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
The Spaniard’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Villena Challenger.
Moreno De Alboran has an overall 50-34 win-loss record in 2024, 20-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Matsuyama Challenger
Nicolas has never competed in this tournament before.
Alex Bolt
47 - 23win/loss
157
125
LLWLWWWWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 48-26 | 26-21 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 21-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-22 | 22-17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 11-10 | 11-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-18 | 7-6 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-12 | 12-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 179, Alex reached the final after beating Matej Dodig 6-2 3-0 ret., Chak Lam Coleman Wong 7-6(5) 6-2, Terence Atmane 6-1 4-6 6-3 and Yosuke Watanuki 6-3 4-6 6-3.
In the semifinal, The Australian defeated Watanuki (6-3 4-6 6-3). During the match Bolt scored 86 points vs Watanuki’s 77. Bolt was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about serving, Bolt struck 8 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Alex Bolt lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Bolt put 57% of his first serves in, winning 78% (39/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (15/38) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Watanuki 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alex has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Australian’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Burnie 1 Challenger,M25 Traralgon,M25 Mildura and M25 Swan Hill.
The Australian has an overall 47-23 win-loss record in 2024, 26-19 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Moreno De Alboran | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 81 | 86 |
| Pts | 288-240 | 289-232 |
| Total Points | 528 | 521 |
| Winners | 134 | 120 |
| %Winners | 47% | 42% |
Both Moreno De Alboran and Bolt played 4 matches. At the moment, Alex Bolt lost 2 sets while Nicolas Moreno De Alboran hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Moreno De Alboran has played 3 set(s) less than Bolt (8 vs 11). Therefore, Moreno De Alboran played 5 games less than Bolt. The Spaniard scored 134 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian bagged 120 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Moreno De Alboran | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 21 | 23 |
| Avg per match | 5.3 | 5.8 |
| 1st in | 184/276 | 162/266 |
| %1st in | 67% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 134/184 | 120/162 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 47/92 | 53/104 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 51% |
Moreno De Alboran scored 21 aces (5.3 per match). Bolt blasted 23 aces (5.8 per match). Moreno De Alboran won 73% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Bolt won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Moreno De Alboran | Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 17 |
| Converted | 13/24 | 17/27 |
| % Converted | 54% | 63% |
| Conceded | 23 | 26 |
| Saved | 19 | 20 |
| % Saved | 83% | 77% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 6 |
The Spaniard broke his opponents 13 times with a 54% conversion rate. Nicolas lost his serve 4 times and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponents 17 times with a 63% conversion rate. Alex conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.
| Moreno De Alboran | ||||||
| R1 Schoolkate |
R2 McCabe |
1/4 Cina |
1/2 Blockx |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 | 7-65 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 19 | 19 | 21 | 81 | |
| pts | 83-69 | 62-47 | 66-52 | 77-72 | 288-240 | |
| Total points | 152 | 109 | 118 | 149 | 528 | |
| Winners | 34 | 22 | 39 | 39 | 134 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 35% | 59% | 51% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 9 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 46/65 | 28/51 | 52/72 | 58/88 | 184/276 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 55% | 72% | 66% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 34/46 | 22/28 | 39/52 | 39/58 | 134/184 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 79% | 75% | 67% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 13/23 | 8/20 | 15/30 | 47/92 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 57% | 40% | 50% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 4/6 | 3/3 | 3/5 | 13/24 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 67% | 100% | 60% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 1/2 | 8/9 | 7/8 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 50% | 89% | 88% | 76% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Bolt | ||||||
| R1 Dodig |
R2 Lam Coleman Wong |
1/4 Atmane |
1/2 Watanuki |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 3-0 ret. | 7-65 6-2 | 6-1 4-6 6-3 | 6-3 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 11 | 21 | 26 | 28 | 86 | |
| pts | 43-24 | 73-60 | 87-71 | 86-77 | 289-232 | |
| Total points | 67 | 133 | 158 | 163 | 521 | |
| Winners | 14 | 33 | 34 | 39 | 120 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 45% | 39% | 45% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 17/28 | 47/74 | 48/76 | 50/88 | 162/266 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 64% | 63% | 57% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 14/17 | 33/47 | 34/48 | 39/50 | 120/162 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 70% | 71% | 78% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/11 | 15/27 | 16/28 | 15/38 | 53/104 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 56% | 57% | 39% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 17 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 3/4 | 5/8 | 5/6 | 17/27 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 75% | 63% | 83% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 26 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 7/8 | 4/6 | 6/9 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 88% | 67% | 67% | 81% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alex BoltBolt – Nicolas Moreno De AlboranMoreno De Alboran (0-0) – H2H and prediction
