Denis Shapovalov and Hamad Medjedovic will fight against each other in the final of the Belgrade Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Denis Shapovalov who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Denis Shapovalov is the pick to win this match.
Denis Shapovalov -> 1.49
Hamad Medjedovic -> 2.62

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Prediction and head to head Denis Shapovalov vs. Hamad Medjedovic

There is no head to head record between Denis Shapovalov and Hamad Medjedovic since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Denis Shapovalov

Ranked no. 78, Denis got to the final after beating Constant Lestienne 7-6(4) 6-4, Hugo Grenier 6-3 6-4, Marton Fucsovics 6-7(6) 7-5 6-1, Nuno Borges 6-2 6-4, Christopher O Connell 6-2 6-2 and Jiri Lehecka 6-2 6-1.

In the semifinal, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against Lehecka (6-2 6-1). During the match, Shapovalov scored 60 points vs Lehecka’s 29. The Canadian was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about the service games, Shapovalov struck 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Denis Shapovalov was extremely efficient on serve to win 96% (25/26) of his 1st serve and 58% (7/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Denis broke Lehecka 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Shapovalov started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has surrendered 1 set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.

Shapovalov has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (308-206). 15-5 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Shapovalov has an aggregate 76-48 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

The Canadian’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Belgrade.

Denis has a composed 32-24 win-loss record in 2024, 15-5 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Belgrade

Shapovalov has never competed in this tournament before.

Hamad Medjedovic

Ranked no. 156, the Serbian got to the final after defeating Brandon Nakashima 3-6 7-5 6-3, Aleksandar Kovacevic 7-6(5) 6-4, Francisco Cerundolo 6-4 6-2 and Laslo Djere 6-2 3-6 7-6(2).

In the semifinal, Medjedovic defeated Djere (6-2 3-6 7-6²). During the match Medjedovic scored 107 points vs Djere’s 98. Hamad was pretty aggressive to blast 51 winners.

About the serving games, Medjedovic managed to score 9 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Hamad Medjedovic was exceptionally effective on serve to win 72% (51/71) of his 1st serve and 60% (18/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Medjedovic broke Djere twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Medjedovic has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Hamad’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Istanbul Challenger.

Hamad has an overall 35-20 win-loss record in 2024, 9-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Shapovalov	Medjedovic
Match played	6	4
Tot Set	13	10
Tot Games	123	101
Pts	450-341	328-279
Total Points	791	607
Winners	195	159
%Winners	43%	48%

Shapovalov played 6 matches while Medjedovic competed in 4 matches. Shapovalov started his run from the qualifications while Medjedovic had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Denis Shapovalov lost 1 set, while Hamad Medjedovic surrendered 2 sets. Shapovalov has played 3 sets more than Medjedovic (13 vs 10). Therefore, Shapovalov played 22 games more than Medjedovic. Denis scored 195 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Medjedovic struck 159 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Shapovalov	Medjedovic
Aces	43	40
Avg per match	7.2	10
1st in	238/372	205/283
%1st in	64%	72%
1st pts	195/238	159/205
%1st pts	82%	78%
2nd pts	73/134	52/78
%2nd pts	54%	67%

Shapovalov fired 43 aces (7.2 per match). Medjedovic bagged 40 aces (10 per match). Shapovalov won 82% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Medjedovic won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Shapovalov	Medjedovic
Won	21	9
Converted	21/44	9/24
% Converted	48%	38%
Conceded	17	17
Saved	14	14
% Saved	82%	82%
Times Broken	3	3

Denis broke his opponents 21 times with a 48% conversion rate. Denis surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. Hamad broke his opponents 9 times with a 38% conversion rate. Hamad conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.

Shapovalov
	Q1 Lestienne	Q3 Grenier	R1 Fucsovics	R2 Borges	1/4 O	1/2 Lehecka	Total
Score	7-64 6-4	6-3 6-4	6-76 7-5 6-1	6-2 6-4	6-2 6-2	6-2 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	2	2	13
Tot Games	23	19	32	18	16	15	123
pts	80-66	75-62	110-105	61-38	64-41	60-29	450-341
Total points	146	137	215	99	105	89	791
Winners	29	29	52	31	29	25	195
%Winners	36%	39%	47%	51%	45%	42%	43%
SERVE
Aces	8	2	8	9	12	4	43
Double Faults	5	3	9	4	2	4	27
1st in	37/64	37/64	72/116	34/47	32/43	26/38	238/372
% 1st in	58%	58%	62%	72%	74%	68%	64%
1st pts	29/37	29/37	52/72	31/34	29/32	25/26	195/238
% 1st pts	78%	78%	72%	91%	91%	96%	82%
2nd pts	17/27	17/27	20/44	7/13	5/11	7/12	73/134
% 2nd pts	63%	63%	45%	54%	45%	58%	54%
Breaks
Won	3	2	5	3	4	4	21
Converted	3/6	2/8	5/8	3/5	4/6	4/11	21/44
Converted %	50%	25%	63%	60%	67%	36%	48%
Conceded	2	5	7	1	2	0	17
Saved	0/2	5/5	6/7	1/1	2/2	0/0	14
Saved %	0%	100%	86%	100%	100%	–	64%
Times Broken	2	0	1	0	0	0	3

Medjedovic
	R1 Nakashima	R2 Kovacevic	1/4 Cerundolo	1/2 Djere	Total
Score	3-6 7-5 6-3	7-65 6-4	6-4 6-2	6-2 3-6 7-62
Tot Set	3	2	2	3	10
Tot Games	30	23	18	30	101
pts	91-83	69-57	61-41	107-98	328-279
Total points	174	126	102	205	607
Winners	46	39	23	51	159
%Winners	51%	57%	38%	48%	48%
SERVE
Aces	16	10	5	9	40
Double Faults	3	1	1	2	7
1st in	59/81	46/57	29/44	71/101	205/283
% 1st in	73%	81%	66%	70%	72%
1st pts	46/59	39/46	23/29	51/71	159/205
% 1st pts	78%	85%	79%	72%	78%
2nd pts	14/22	9/11	11/15	18/30	52/78
% 2nd pts	64%	82%	73%	60%	67%
Breaks
Won	2	1	4	2	9
Converted	2/5	1/2	4/10	2/7	9/24
Converted %	40%	50%	40%	29%	38%
Conceded	3	0	4	10	17
Saved	2/3	0/0	3/4	9/10	14
Saved %	67%	–	75%	90%	39%
Times Broken	1	0	1	1	3

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