Luca Nardi and Denis Yevseyev will face off in the semifinal of the Helsinki Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 5:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luca Nardi who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Luca Nardi is the pick to win this match.
Luca Nardi -> 1.63
Denis Yevseyev -> 2.17

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Prediction and head to head Luca Nardi vs. Denis Yevseyev

There is no head to head record between Luca Nardi and Denis Yevseyev since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Luca Nardi

Luca Nardi

25 - 25win/loss

Hard
13-14
I Hard
3-2
Clay
8-5
Grass
1-4
Rank
110
High
70
WLLWWWWLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 27-27 13-14 8-5 5-4 1-4 0-0
2023 41-36 20-10 8-13 12-12 1-1 0-0
2022 33-20 5-2 11-10 17-8 0-0 0-0
2021 33-24 3-3 26-13 4-8 0-0 0-0
2020 9-9 7-2 1-2 1-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 102, Luca got to the semifinal after beating Goncalo Oliveira 6-3 ret., August Holmgren 7-6(6) 7-6(2) and Jan Choinski 6-4 6-3.

In the quarter, Nardi had a good straight sets win against Choinski (6-4 6-3). During the match, Nardi scored 64 points vs Choinski’s 49. Luca was very aggressive to blast 17 winners.

Regarding the service games, Nardi scored just 1 ace during the match and he committed only 3 double faults. Luca Nardi lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Nardi put 56% of his first serves in, winning 57% (17/30) of the points behind his 1st serve and 71% (17/24) on the 2nd serve. Luca broke Choinski 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Luca hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Nardi has a winning win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 55% of his matches (146-118). 3-2 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Nardi has an aggregate37-35 record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Naples Challenger where he overcame Pierre-Hugues Herbert in the final 5-7 7-6(3) 6-2.

The Italian has a compiled 25-25 win-loss record in 2024, 3-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Helsinki Challenger

Luca has never competed in this tournament before.

Helsinki Challenger
Nardi's Record

Denis Yevseyev

Denis Yevseyev

33 - 33win/loss

Hard
14-14
I Hard
7-6
Clay
10-11
Grass
2-2
Rank
212
High
153
WLLWWWLWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 34-35 14-14 11-11 7-8 2-2 0-0
2023 50-36 23-16 16-14 11-5 0-0 0-1
2022 39-31 11-9 12-12 14-9 0-0 2-1
2021 36-30 4-5 22-15 10-10 0-0 0-0
2020 16-14 10-9 2-1 4-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 218, Yevseyev got to the semifinal after beating Oliver Ojakaar 6-2 6-4, Federico Arnaboldi 6-2 6-4 and Otto Virtanen 6-4 7-5.

In the quarter, The Kazakhstani had a good straight sets win against Virtanen (6-4 7-5). During the match Yevseyev scored 72 points vs Virtanen’s 63. Yevseyev was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Talking about serving, Yevseyev recorded 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Denis Yevseyev lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Yevseyev put 48% of his first serves in, winning 70% (23/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 64% (23/36) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Virtanen 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Kazakhstani hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Yevseyev’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Tenerife 1 Challenger and the Oeiras 4 Challenger.

The Kazakhstani has an aggregate 33-33 win-loss record in 2024, 7-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Helsinki Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See his history.

Helsinki Challenger
Yevseyev's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

L.Nardi
D.Yevseyev
3h:45
3h:45
Time on court​
3h:21
3h:21
1h:21
1h:21
Last match​
1h:21
1h:21
3
3
Match played
3
3
54
54
Games Played​
58
58
6
6
Set played​​
6
6
179
179
Total points​
186
186
59.7
59.7
Avg point​
62
62
71
71
Winners
61
61
23.7
23.7
Avg Winners​
20.3
20.3
40%
40%
Ratio winners
33%
33%
-- Serve --
10
10
Aces
9
9
3.3
3.3
Avg Aces
3
3
9
9
Double Faults
2
2
3
3
Avg Double Faults
0.7
0.7
71/100
71/100
1st won total​
61/87
61/87
!
71%
71%
1st won %
70%
70%
37/59
37/59
2nd won total​
55/79
55/79
!
63%
63%
2nd won %
!
70%
70%
-- Break Points --
9/14
9/14
BP won
10/15
10/15
3/4.7
3/4.7
Avg BP won
3.3/5
3.3/5
!
64%
64%
Won
!
67%
67%
9
9
Conceded
9
9
3
3
Avg Conceded
3
3
5
5
Broken
2
2
1.7
1.7
Avg Broken
!
0.7
0.7
4
4
Saved
7
7

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Nardi Yevseyev
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 6 6
Tot Games 54 58
Pts 179-150 186-146
Total Points 329 332
Winners 71 61
%Winners 40% 33%

Both Nardi and Yevseyev played 3 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Nardi and Yevseyev have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Nardi played 4 games less than Yevseyev. The Italian scored 71 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Denis fired 61 winners (33%).

Serve Performance

Serve Nardi Yevseyev
Aces 10 9
Avg per match 3.3 3
1st in 100/159 87/166
%1st in 63% 52%
1st pts 71/100 61/87
%1st pts 71% 70%
2nd pts 37/59 55/79
%2nd pts 63% 70%

Nardi recorded 10 aces (3.3 per match). Yevseyev managed to score 9 aces (3 per match). Nardi won 71% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Yevseyev won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 70% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Nardi Yevseyev
Won 9 10
Converted 9/14 10/15
% Converted 64% 67%
Conceded 9 9
Saved 4 7
% Saved 44% 78%
Times Broken 5 2

The Italian broke his opponents 9 times with a 64% conversion rate. Nardi conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded. Yevseyev broke his opponents 10 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani conceded his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.

Nardi
R1
Oliveira
R2
Holmgren
1/4
Choinski
Total
Score 6-3 ret. 7-66 7-62 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 1 2 2 5
Tot Games 9 26 19 54
pts 28-21 87-80 64-49 179-150
Total points 49 167 113 329
Winners 12 42 17 71
%Winners 43% 48% 27% 40%
SERVE
Aces 2 7 1 10
Double Faults 2 4 3 9
1st in 14/21 56/84 30/54 100/159
% 1st in 67% 67% 56% 63%
1st pts 12/14 42/56 17/30 71/100
% 1st pts 86% 75% 57% 71%
2nd pts 4/7 16/28 17/24 37/59
% 2nd pts 57% 57% 71% 63%
Breaks
Won 2 2 5 9
Converted 2/2 2/4 5/8 9/14
Converted % 100% 50% 63% 64%
Conceded 0 3 6 9
Saved 0/0 1/3 3/6 4
Saved % 33% 50% 28%
Times Broken 0 2 3 5
Yevseyev
R1
Ojakaar
R2
Arnaboldi
1/4
Virtanen
Total
Score 6-2 6-4 6-2 6-4 6-4 7-5
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 18 18 22 58
pts 61-46 53-37 72-63 186-146
Total points 107 90 135 332
Winners 24 14 23 61
%Winners 39% 26% 32% 33%
SERVE
Aces 2 1 6 9
Double Faults 0 0 2 2
1st in 36/53 18/44 33/69 87/166
% 1st in 68% 41% 48% 52%
1st pts 24/36 14/18 23/33 61/87
% 1st pts 67% 78% 70% 70%
2nd pts 13/17 19/26 23/36 55/79
% 2nd pts 76% 73% 64% 70%
Breaks
Won 3 4 3 10
Converted 3/5 4/5 3/5 10/15
Converted % 60% 80% 60% 67%
Conceded 1 1 7 9
Saved 1/1 0/1 6/7 7
Saved % 100% 0% 86% 62%
Times Broken 0 1 1 2

Tennis Scores in Helsinki Challenger

Upcoming matches in the draw