Kei Nishikori and Max Hans Rehberg will face off in the semifinal of the Helsinki Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 4:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Kei Nishikori who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Kei Nishikori is the pick to win this match.
Kei Nishikori -> 1.3
Max Hans Rehberg -> 3.26

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Prediction and head to head Kei Nishikori vs. Max Hans Rehberg

There is no head to head record between Kei Nishikori and Max Hans Rehberg since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Kei Nishikori

Ranked no. 132, Nishikori reached the semifinal after defeating Nicolas Alvarez Varona 6-4 6-2, Jerome Kym 6-3 1-6 6-2 and Jacob Fearnley 6-4 6-3.

In the quarter, Kei had a good straight sets win against Fearnley (6-4 6-3). During the match, Nishikori scored 65 points vs Fearnley’s 57. Nishikori was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Regarding the service games, Nishikori couldn’t to score even 1 ace in the encounter and he committed only 1 double fault. Kei Nishikori lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Nishikori put 61% of his first serves in, winning 67% (26/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (12/25) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Fearnley 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Kei has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

Nishikori has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 69% of his matches (275-121). 6-2 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Nishikori has an aggregate 51-21 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

Kei’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Bratislava 2 Challenger.

Nishikori has a compiled 18-11 win-loss record in 2024, 6-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Helsinki Challenger

The Japanese has never competed in this tournament before.

Max Hans Rehberg

Ranked no. 332, Max got to the semifinal after defeating Martin Krumich 3-6 6-1 6-0, Hynek Barton 6-4 6-2, Geoffrey Blancaneaux 6-4 1-6 6-3, Maximilian Marterer 7-6(5) 6-4 and Henri Squire 7-6(5) 7-6(5).

In the quarter, Hans had a good straight sets win against Squire (7-6⁵ 7-6⁵).During the match Hans scored less points (5) than Squire. In fact, the world no. 132 won 81 points vs Squire’s. That means that Hans was more focused during the important points. Hans was very aggressive to blast 50 winners.

About the serving games, Hans made 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Max Hans Rehberg lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Hans put 78% of his first serves in, winning 72% (50/69) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (9/19) on the 2nd serve. Hans broke Squire once after converting 50% of his break points (1/2).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Max started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Hans’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M15 Oberhaching.

Max has a composed 48-25 win-loss record in 2024, 20-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Nishikori	Hans
Match played	3	5
Tot Set	7	12
Tot Games	61	115
Pts	201-182	376-325
Total Points	383	701
Winners	85	183
%Winners	42%	49%

Nishikori played 3 matches while Hans competed in 5 matches. Hans started his run from the qualifications while Nishikori had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Kei Nishikori lost 1 set, while Max Hans Rehberg surrendered 2 sets. Nishikori has played 5 set(s) less than Hans (7 vs 12). Therefore, Nishikori played 54 games less than Hans. Kei scored 85 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Hans managed to score 183 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Nishikori	Hans
Aces	7	19
Avg per match	2.3	3.8
1st in	122/202	248/350
%1st in	60%	71%
1st pts	85/122	183/248
%1st pts	70%	74%
2nd pts	36/80	58/102
%2nd pts	45%	57%

Nishikori recorded 7 aces (2.3 per match). Hans blasted 19 aces (3.8 per match). Nishikori won 70% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Hans won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Nishikori	Hans
Won	14	13
Converted	14/26	13/22
% Converted	54%	59%
Conceded	20	18
Saved	12	13
% Saved	60%	72%
Times Broken	8	5

The Japanese broke his opponents 14 times with a 54% conversion rate. Nishikori conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. The German broke his opponents 13 times with a 59% conversion rate. Hans conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded.

Nishikori
	R1 Alvarez	R2 Kym	1/4 Fearnley	Total
Score	6-4 6-2	6-3 1-6 6-2	6-4 6-3
Tot Set	2	3	2	7
Tot Games	18	24	19	61
pts	65-55	71-70	65-57	201-182
Total points	120	141	122	383
Winners	25	34	26	85
%Winners	38%	48%	40%	42%
SERVE
Aces	3	4	0	7
Double Faults	7	4	1	12
1st in	31/64	52/74	39/64	122/202
% 1st in	48%	70%	61%	60%
1st pts	25/31	34/52	26/39	85/122
% 1st pts	81%	65%	67%	70%
2nd pts	15/33	9/22	12/25	36/80
% 2nd pts	45%	41%	48%	45%
Breaks
Won	4	5	5	14
Converted	4/7	5/7	5/12	14/26
Converted %	57%	71%	42%	54%
Conceded	4	10	6	20
Saved	3/4	6/10	3/6	12
Saved %	75%	60%	50%	62%
Times Broken	1	4	3	8

Hans
	Q1 Krumich	Q3 Barton	R1 Blancaneaux	R2 Marterer	1/4 Squire	Total
Score	3-6 6-1 6-0	6-4 6-2	6-4 1-6 6-3	7-65 6-4	7-65 7-65
Tot Set	3	2	3	2	2	12
Tot Games	22	18	26	23	26	115
pts	80-56	61-42	80-76	74-65	81-86	376-325
Total points	136	103	156	139	167	701
Winners	28	31	33	41	50	183
%Winners	35%	51%	41%	55%	62%	49%
SERVE
Aces	3	2	5	3	6	19
Double Faults	4	1	0	0	1	6
1st in	40/65	39/54	49/77	51/66	69/88	248/350
% 1st in	62%	72%	64%	77%	78%	71%
1st pts	28/40	31/39	33/49	41/51	50/69	183/248
% 1st pts	70%	79%	67%	80%	72%	74%
2nd pts	13/25	9/15	19/28	8/15	9/19	58/102
% 2nd pts	52%	60%	68%	53%	47%	57%
Breaks
Won	6	3	2	1	1	13
Converted	6/9	3/3	2/4	1/4	1/2	13/22
Converted %	67%	100%	50%	25%	50%	59%
Conceded	5	2	5	2	4	18
Saved	3/5	2/2	3/5	2/2	3/4	13
Saved %	60%	100%	60%	100%	75%	132%
Times Broken	2	0	2	0	1	5

Tennis Scores in Helsinki Challenger

• Max Hans RehbergHans Rehberg – Henri SquireSquire (7-6⁵ 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Denis YevseyevYevseyev – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Kei NishikoriNishikori – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Luca NardiNardi – Jan ChoinskiChoinski (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Denys Molchanov/David PichlerMolchanov/David Pichler – Geoffrey Blancaneaux/Luca SanchezBlancaneaux/Luca Sanchez (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Max Hans RehbergHans Rehberg – Henri SquireSquire (7-6(5) 7-6(5)) – See score progression
• Kei NishikoriNishikori – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Denis YevseyevYevseyev – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Luca NardiNardi – Jan ChoinskiChoinski (6-4 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Denis YevseyevYevseyev – (0-0) – H2H and prediction