Alex Bolt and Yosuke Watanuki will square off in the semifinal of the Matsuyama Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 11:30 am on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yosuke Watanuki who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Yosuke Watanuki is the pick to win this match.
Yosuke Watanuki -> 1.31
Alex Bolt -> 3.2
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Prediction and head to head Alex Bolt vs. Yosuke Watanuki
This will be the 3rd time that Alex Bolt and Yosuke Watanuki square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Watanuki (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Watanuki won 6-4 6-0 in the 1st round in the Shanghai Challenger back in 2023.
Alex Bolt
46 - 23win/loss
160
125
LWWWWLLLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47-24 | 26-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 21-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-22 | 22-17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 11-10 | 11-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-18 | 7-6 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-12 | 12-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 179, Alex reached the semifinal after beating Matej Dodig 6-2 3-0 ret., Chak Lam Coleman Wong 7-6(5) 6-2 and Terence Atmane 6-1 4-6 6-3.
In the quarter, Alex defeated Atmane (6-1 4-6 6-3). During the match, Bolt scored 87 points vs Atmane’s 71. The Australian was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about the service games, Bolt made 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Alex Bolt was very efficient on serve to win 71% (34/48) of his 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Alex broke Atmane 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Australian has lost 1 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Bolt has good match record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (269-192). 25-19 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Bolt has an aggregate 175-127 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Australian’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Burnie 1 Challenger,M25 Traralgon,M25 Mildura and M25 Swan Hill.
Alex has a composed 46-23 win-loss record in 2024, 25-19 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Matsuyama Challenger
The Australian has never competed in this tournament before.
Yosuke Watanuki
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 9-10 | 9-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-23 | 29-12 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-22 | 19-11 | 6-4 | 15-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-17 | 8-9 | 2-3 | 6-4 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-7 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 290, Watanuki got to the semifinal after defeating Yi Zhou 5-7 6-3 6-3, Hiroki Moriya 6-2 6-0 and Kokoro Isomura 6-0 7-5.
In the quarter, Watanuki had a good straight sets win against Isomura (6-0 7-5). During the match Watanuki scored 65 points vs Isomura’s 42. Watanuki was quite aggressive to blast 19 winners.
About the serving games, Watanuki struck 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Yosuke Watanuki lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Watanuki put 54% of his first serves in, winning 70% (19/27) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Isomura 6 times after converting 60% of his break points (6/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Yousuke has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
The Japanese has a composed 9-9 win-loss record in 2024, 9-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bolt | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 58 | 62 |
| Pts | 203-155 | 223-165 |
| Total Points | 358 | 388 |
| Winners | 81 | 70 |
| %Winners | 40% | 31% |
Both Bolt and Watanuki played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex Bolt surrendered 1 set, while Yosuke Watanuki lost 1 set. Bolt has played 1 set more than Watanuki (8 vs 7). However, it’s interesting to notice that Bolt played 4 games less than Watanuki. Bolt scored 81 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Yousuke made 70 winners (31%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bolt | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 6.7 |
| 1st in | 112/178 | 89/177 |
| %1st in | 63% | 50% |
| 1st pts | 81/112 | 70/89 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 38/66 | 51/88 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 58% |
Bolt blasted 15 aces (5 per match). Watanuki fired 20 aces (6.7 per match). Bolt won 72% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Watanuki won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bolt | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 15 |
| Converted | 12/21 | 15/26 |
| % Converted | 57% | 58% |
| Conceded | 17 | 6 |
| Saved | 14 | 2 |
| % Saved | 82% | 33% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 |
Alex broke his opponents 12 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponents 15 times with a 58% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bolt | |||||
| R1 Dodig |
R2 Lam Coleman Wong |
1/4 Atmane |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 3-0 ret. | 7-65 6-2 | 6-1 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 11 | 21 | 26 | 58 | |
| pts | 43-24 | 73-60 | 87-71 | 203-155 | |
| Total points | 67 | 133 | 158 | 358 | |
| Winners | 14 | 33 | 34 | 81 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 45% | 39% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 7 | 4 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 17/28 | 47/74 | 48/76 | 112/178 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 64% | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 14/17 | 33/47 | 34/48 | 81/112 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 70% | 71% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/11 | 15/27 | 16/28 | 38/66 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 56% | 57% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 3/4 | 5/8 | 12/21 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 75% | 63% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 8 | 6 | 17 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 7/8 | 4/6 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 88% | 67% | 85% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Watanuki | |||||
| R1 Zhou |
R2 Moriya |
1/4 Isomura |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-3 6-3 | 6-2 6-0 | 6-0 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 14 | 18 | 62 | |
| pts | 98-89 | 60-34 | 65-42 | 223-165 | |
| Total points | 187 | 94 | 107 | 388 | |
| Winners | 35 | 16 | 19 | 70 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 27% | 29% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 5 | 7 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 42/91 | 20/36 | 27/50 | 89/177 | |
| % 1st in | 46% | 56% | 54% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 35/42 | 16/20 | 19/27 | 70/89 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 80% | 70% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 26/49 | 12/16 | 13/23 | 51/88 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 75% | 57% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 5/8 | 6/10 | 15/26 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 63% | 60% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 0/0 | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 0% | – | 50% | 17% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLLLWL
LWWWLLWWWW Tennis Scores in Matsuyama Challenger
- Nicolas Moreno De AlboranMoreno De Alboran – Federico CinaCina (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Kokoro IsomuraIsomura (6-0 7-5) – See score progression
- Alex BoltBolt – Terence AtmaneAtmane (6-1 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander BlockxBlockx – Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki (6-4 7-62) – See score progression
- Nicolas Moreno De Alboran/Jose StathamMoreno De Alboran/Jose Statham – Vasil Kirkov/Bart StevensKirkov/Bart Stevens (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Seita Watanabe/Takeru YuzukiWatanabe/Takeru Yuzuki – Sho Katayama/Kaichi UchidaKatayama/Kaichi Uchida (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Alex BoltBolt (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas Moreno De AlboranMoreno De Alboran – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
