Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Juan Manuel Cerundolo will clash against each other in the quarter of the Lima 2 Challenger for the 10th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 5:00 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.571
Juan Manuel Cerundolo -> 2.28
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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo
This will be the 10th time that Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Juan Manuel Cerundolo square off. The head to head is 5-4 for Ugo Carabelli (see full H2H stats), 5-4 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Ugo Carabelli won 6-4 6-2 in the semifinal in the Villa Maria Challenger back in October 2024.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
51 - 27win/loss
104
91
LWWWLWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54-29 | 2-4 | 52-24 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-12 | 0-1 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 106, the Argentine reached the quarter after beating Federico Agustin Gomez 6-2 6-1 and Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco 6-3 6-0.
In the 2nd round, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Alejandro Dellien Velasco (6-3 6-0). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 55 points vs Alejandro Dellien Velasco’s 28. Camilo was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ugo Carabelli scored 2 aces and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults. Camilo Ugo Carabelli was very efficient on serve to win 78% (25/32) of his 1st serve and 57% (8/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Ugo Carabelli broke Alejandro Dellien Velasco 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ugo Carabelli hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 65% of the points he played.
Ugo Carabelli has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 63% of his matches (339-195). 49-22 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ugo Carabelli has an overall310-166 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Piracicaba Challenger where he defeated Federico Coria in the final 7-5 6-4 and the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger where he overcame Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco in the final 6-4 6-2 and the Villa Maria Challenger where he defeated Jesper De Jong in the final 7-6(3) 3-6 6-4.
Camilo has a compiled 51-27 win-loss record in 2024, 49-22 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lima 2 Challenger
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
45 - 26win/loss
141
79
LLWWWLWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-28 | 0-3 | 46-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-32 | 4-2 | 37-28 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-17 | 3-6 | 24-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-26 | 0-0 | 53-22 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-17 | 2-2 | 17-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 143, Juan reached the quarter after defeating Ignacio Buse 1-6 6-3 7-5 and Oriol Roca Batalla 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Manuel Cerundolo had a good straight sets win against Roca Batalla (6-4 6-2). During the match Manuel Cerundolo scored 67 points vs Roca Batalla’s 54. The Argentine was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about serving, Manuel Cerundolo made 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Juan Manuel Cerundolo lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Manuel Cerundolo put 73% of his first serves in, winning 67% (29/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (7/16) on the 2nd serve. Juan broke Roca Batalla 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Lima 1 Challenger where he overcame Pedro Boscardin Dias in the final 6-4 6-3 and the Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 Challenger where he beat Alvaro Guillen Meza in the final 3-6 6-1 6-4 and the Antofagasta Challenger where he beat Adolfo Daniel Vallejo in the final 3-6 6-2 6-4.
The Argentine has a composed 45-26 win-loss record in 2024, 45-23 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lima 2 Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Manuel Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 30 | 46 |
| Pts | 111-60 | 157-147 |
| Total Points | 171 | 304 |
| Winners | 52 | 76 |
| %Winners | 47% | 48% |
Both Ugo Carabelli and Manuel Cerundolo played 2 matches. At the moment, Juan Manuel Cerundolo dropped 1 set while Camilo Ugo Carabelli hasn’t dropped a set so far. Ugo Carabelli has played 1 set(s) less than Manuel Cerundolo (4 vs 5). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 16 games less than Manuel Cerundolo. The Argentine scored 52 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Manuel Cerundolo bagged 76 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Manuel Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 67/91 | 123/168 |
| %1st in | 74% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 52/67 | 76/123 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 62% |
| 2nd pts | 12/24 | 25/45 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 56% |
Ugo Carabelli recorded 5 aces (2.5 per match). Manuel Cerundolo managed to score 6 aces (3 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 78% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Manuel Cerundolo won 62% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Manuel Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 8 |
| Converted | 9/12 | 8/13 |
| % Converted | 75% | 62% |
| Conceded | 2 | 18 |
| Saved | 2 | 13 |
| % Saved | 100% | 72% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 |
Ugo Carabelli broke his opponents 9 times with a 75% conversion rate. Ugo Carabelli pretty effective on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points. Juan broke his opponents 8 times with a 62% conversion rate. Manuel Cerundolo conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ugo Carabelli | ||||
| R1 Agustin Gomez |
R2 Alejandro Dellien Velasco |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | 30 | |
| pts | 56-32 | 55-28 | 111-60 | |
| Total points | 88 | 83 | 171 | |
| Winners | 27 | 25 | 52 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 45% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 35/45 | 32/46 | 67/91 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 70% | 74% | |
| 1st pts | 27/35 | 25/32 | 52/67 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 4/10 | 8/14 | 12/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 57% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 4/5 | 9/12 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 80% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 0/0 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Manuel Cerundolo | ||||
| R1 Buse |
R2 Roca Batalla |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 6-3 7-5 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 18 | 46 | |
| pts | 90-93 | 67-54 | 157-147 | |
| Total points | 183 | 121 | 304 | |
| Winners | 47 | 29 | 76 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 43% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 80/109 | 43/59 | 123/168 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 73% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 47/80 | 29/43 | 76/123 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 67% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/29 | 7/16 | 25/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 44% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 5/9 | 8/13 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 56% | 62% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 5 | 18 | |
| Saved | 10/13 | 3/5 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 77% | 60% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
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