Luca Nardi and Jan Choinski will play each other in the quarter of the Helsinki Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 6:00 pm on COURT 9. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luca Nardi who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Luca Nardi is the pick to win this match.
Luca Nardi -> 1.61
Jan Choinski -> 2.2

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Prediction and head to head Luca Nardi vs. Jan Choinski

There is no head to head record between Luca Nardi and Jan Choinski since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Luca Nardi

Ranked no. 102, the Italian got to the quarter after beating Goncalo Oliveira 6-3 ret. and August Holmgren 7-6(6) 7-6(2).

In the 2^nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Holmgren (7-6⁶ 7-6²). During the match, Nardi scored 87 points vs Holmgren’s 80. Nardi was pretty aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Talking about the service games, Nardi blasted 7 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Luca Nardi was quite efficient on serve to win 75% (42/56) of his 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Italian broke Holmgren twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

Nardi has a winning match record in the last 7 years having won 55% of his matches (145-118). 2-2 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nardi has an aggregate36-35 record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the year was conquering the title the Naples Challenger where he defeated Pierre-Hugues Herbert in the final 5-7 7-6(3) 6-2.

Luca has a composed 24-25 win-loss record in 2024, 2-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Helsinki Challenger

Luca has never competed in this tournament before.

Jan Choinski

Ranked no. 185, Choinski got to the quarter after beating Sandro Kopp 6-2 6-1 and Joao Fonseca 0-6 6-1 6-2.

In the 2^nd round against Fonseca, The German recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (0-6 6-1 6-2). During the match Choinski scored 67 points vs Fonseca’s 59. Jan was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about serving, Choinski recorded 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jan Choinski lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Choinski put 53% of his first serves in, winning 68% (25/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (17/33) on the 2nd serve. Choinski broke Fonseca 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jan has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Tulln Challenger where he defeated Lukas Neumayer in the final 6-4 6-1.

Jan has an overall 33-32 win-loss record in 2024, 5-8 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Nardi	Choinski
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	5
Tot Games	35	36
Pts	115-101	129-100
Total Points	216	229
Winners	54	52
%Winners	47%	40%

Both Nardi and Choinski played 2 matches. At the moment, Jan Choinski lost 1 set while Luca Nardi hasn’t conceded a set so far. Nardi has played 1 set(s) less than Choinski (4 vs 5). Therefore, Nardi played 1 game less than Choinski. The Italian scored 54 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Choinski scored 52 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Nardi	Choinski
Aces	9	13
Avg per match	4.5	6.5
1st in	70/105	66/115
%1st in	67%	57%
1st pts	54/70	52/66
%1st pts	77%	79%
2nd pts	20/35	21/49
%2nd pts	57%	43%

Nardi made 9 aces (4.5 per match). Choinski managed to score 13 aces (6.5 per match). Nardi won 77% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Choinski won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 43% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Nardi	Choinski
Won	4	9
Converted	4/6	9/13
% Converted	67%	69%
Conceded	3	6
Saved	1	3
% Saved	33%	50%
Times Broken	2	3

Luca broke his opponents 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Nardi dropped his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. Jan broke his opponents 9 times with a 69% conversion rate. Choinski conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Nardi
	R1 Oliveira	R2 Holmgren	Total
Score	6-3 ret.	7-66 7-62
Tot Set	1	2	3
Tot Games	9	26	35
pts	28-21	87-80	115-101
Total points	49	167	216
Winners	12	42	54
%Winners	43%	48%	47%
SERVE
Aces	2	7	9
Double Faults	2	4	6
1st in	14/21	56/84	70/105
% 1st in	67%	67%	67%
1st pts	12/14	42/56	54/70
% 1st pts	86%	75%	77%
2nd pts	4/7	16/28	20/35
% 2nd pts	57%	57%	57%
Breaks
Won	2	2	4
Converted	2/2	2/4	4/6
Converted %	100%	50%	67%
Conceded	0	3	3
Saved	0/0	1/3	1
Saved %	–	33%	17%
Times Broken	0	2	2

Choinski
	R1 Kopp	R2 Fonseca	Total
Score	6-2 6-1	0-6 6-1 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	15	21	36
pts	62-41	67-59	129-100
Total points	103	126	229
Winners	27	25	52
%Winners	44%	37%	40%
SERVE
Aces	7	6	13
Double Faults	3	2	5
1st in	29/45	37/70	66/115
% 1st in	64%	53%	57%
1st pts	27/29	25/37	52/66
% 1st pts	93%	68%	79%
2nd pts	4/16	17/33	21/49
% 2nd pts	25%	52%	43%
Breaks
Won	5	4	9
Converted	5/7	4/6	9/13
Converted %	71%	67%	69%
Conceded	1	5	6
Saved	1/1	2/5	3
Saved %	100%	40%	70%
Times Broken	0	3	3

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