Aryna Sabalenka and Cori Gauff will play each other in the semifinal of the WTA Finals for the 9^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 5:00 pm on Centre Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.52
Cori Gauff -> 2.6

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Cori Gauff

This will be the 9^th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Cori Gauff clash against each other. The head to head is 4-4 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they fought against each other, Sabalenka won 1-6 6-4 6-4 in the semifinal in Wuhan back in October 2024.

Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Cori Gauff – Wuhan 12-October-2024

Aryna Sabalenka

Currently world no. 1 Aryna got to the semifinal after defeating Qinwen Zheng 6-3 6-4 and Jasmine Paolini 6-3 7-5.

Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 69% of her matches (374-167). 2-1 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has an overall31-16 win-loss record in the last 9 years on indoor hard courts.

Her best result of the season was winning the title at the Australian Open where she overcame Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Cincinnati where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 7-5 and at the U.S. Open where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 7-5 and in Wuhan where she overcame Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 5-7 6-3.

Sabalenka has an overall 56-13 win-loss record in 2024, 2-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Riyadh

Cori Gauff

Ranked no. 3, Gauff got to the semifinal after beating Jessica Pegula 6-3 6-2 and Iga Swiatek 6-3 6-4.

Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Auckland where she beat Elina Svitolina in the final 6-7(4) 6-3 6-3 and in Beijing where she overcame Karolina Muchova in the final 6-1 6-3.

Gauff has a compiled 52-17 win-loss record in 2024, 2-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS)

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H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sabalenka	Gauff
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	4
Tot Games	40	36
Pts	133-107	142-114
Total Points	240	256
Winners	63	51
%Winners	47%	36%

Both Sabalenka and Gauff played 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sabalenka and Gauff have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Sabalenka played 4 games more than Gauff. Aryna scored 63 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Cori blasted 51 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sabalenka	Gauff
Aces	8	4
Avg per match	4	2
1st in	77/122	76/130
%1st in	63%	58%
1st pts	63/77	51/76
%1st pts	82%	67%
2nd pts	20/45	25/54
%2nd pts	44%	46%

Sabalenka fired 8 aces (4 per match). Gauff scored 4 aces (2 per match). Sabalenka won 82% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Gauff won 67% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sabalenka	Gauff
Won	7	10
Converted	7/13	10/20
% Converted	54%	50%
Conceded	7	11
Saved	4	7
% Saved	57%	64%
Times Broken	3	4

The Belarussian broke her opponents 7 times with a 54% conversion rate. Aryna surrendered her serve 3 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded. Cori broke her opponents 10 times with a 50% conversion rate. Cori conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
	Round Robin Rybakina	Round Robin Paolini	Round Robin Zheng	Total
Score	6-4 3-6 6-1	6-3 7-5	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	2	7
Tot Games	26	21	19	66
pts	–	73-58	60-49	133-107
Total points	0	131	109	240
Winners		32	31	63
%Winners	0%	44%	52%	47%
SERVE
Aces	0	5	3	8
Double Faults		6	1	7
1st in	/	44/68	33/54	77/122
% 1st in	0%	65%	61%	63%
1st pts	/	32/44	31/33	63/77
% 1st pts	0%	73%	94%	82%
2nd pts	/	10/24	10/21	20/45
% 2nd pts	0%	42%	48%	44%
Breaks
Won		5	2	7
Converted	/	5/9	2/4	7/13
Converted %	0%	56%	50%	54%
Conceded		6	1	7
Saved	0/	3/6	1/1	4
Saved %	–	50%	100%	50%
Times Broken		3	0	3

Gauff
	Round Robin Krejcikova	Round Robin Swiatek	Round Robin Pegula	Total
Score	7-5 6-4	6-3 6-4	6-3 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	22	19	17	58
pts	–	79-64	63-50	142-114
Total points	0	143	113	256
Winners		29	22	51
%Winners	0%	37%	35%	36%
SERVE
Aces	0	2	2	4
Double Faults		11	2	13
1st in	/	43/71	33/59	76/130
% 1st in	0%	61%	56%	58%
1st pts	/	29/43	22/33	51/76
% 1st pts	0%	67%	67%	67%
2nd pts	/	12/28	13/26	25/54
% 2nd pts	0%	43%	50%	46%
Breaks
Won		5	5	10
Converted	/	5/12	5/8	10/20
Converted %	0%	42%	63%	50%
Conceded		8	3	11
Saved	0/	6/8	1/3	7
Saved %	–	75%	33%	36%
Times Broken		2	2	4

Tennis Scores in Riyadh

• Diego HidalgoHidalgo – Gerardo Lopez VillasenorLopez Villasenor (7-6⁴ 7-6⁸) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Facundo MenaMena – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Cori GauffGauff (4-4) – H2H and prediction
• Qinwen ZhengZheng – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (1-0) – H2H and prediction