Jacob Fearnley and Kei Nishikori will fight against each other in the quarter of the Helsinki Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jacob Fearnley who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jacob Fearnley is the pick to win this match.
Jacob Fearnley -> 1.59
Kei Nishikori -> 2.24

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Prediction and head to head Jacob Fearnley vs. Kei Nishikori

There is no head to head record between Jacob Fearnley and Kei Nishikori since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Jacob Fearnley

Ranked no. 94, the Brit got to the quarter after beating Valentin Royer 6-2 6-3 and Emilio Nava 6-4 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Nava (6-4 6-3). During the match, Fearnley scored 73 points vs Nava’s 62. Fearnley was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Regarding the service games, Fearnley was unable to score even 1 ace in the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Jacob Fearnley was very effective on serve to win 74% (26/35) of his 1st serve and 58% (14/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Fearnley broke Nava 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Brit hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Fearnley has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 4 years having won 80% of his matches (73-18). 26-3 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Fearnley has an overall43-7 record in the last 4 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Nottingham 2 Challenger where he beat Charles Broom in the final 4-6 6-4 6-3 and the Lincoln Challenger where he defeated Chak Lam Coleman Wong in the final 6-4 6-2 and the Rennes Challenger where he beat Quentin Halys in the final 0-6 7-6(5) 6-3 and the Orleans Challenger where he defeated Harold Mayot in the final 6-3 7-6(5).

Fearnley has an overall 45-8 win-loss record in 2024, 26-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Helsinki Challenger

Jacob has never competed in this tournament before.

Kei Nishikori

Ranked no. 132, the Japanese reached the quarter after beating Nicolas Alvarez Varona 6-4 6-2 and Jerome Kym 6-3 1-6 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Nishikori defeated Kym (6-3 1-6 6-2). During the match Nishikori scored 71 points vs Kym’s 70. The Japanese was exceptionally aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about serving, Nishikori scored 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Kei Nishikori lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Nishikori put 70% of his first serves in, winning 65% (34/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (9/22) on the 2nd serve. Kei broke Kym 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Japanese has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

The Japanese’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Bratislava 2 Challenger.

The Japanese has a compiled 17-11 win-loss record in 2024, 5-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Fearnley	Nishikori
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	5
Tot Games	36	42
Pts	139-111	136-125
Total Points	250	261
Winners	49	59
%Winners	35%	43%

Both Fearnley and Nishikori played 2 matches. At the moment, Kei Nishikori dropped 1 set while Jacob Fearnley hasn’t conceded a set so far. Fearnley has played 1 set(s) less than Nishikori (4 vs 5). Therefore, Fearnley played 6 games less than Nishikori. Fearnley scored 49 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Kei scored 59 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Fearnley	Nishikori
Aces	3	7
Avg per match	1.5	3.5
1st in	68/110	83/138
%1st in	62%	60%
1st pts	49/68	59/83
%1st pts	72%	71%
2nd pts	27/42	24/55
%2nd pts	64%	44%

Fearnley scored 3 aces (1.5 per match). Nishikori struck 7 aces (3.5 per match). Fearnley won 72% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Nishikori won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 44% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Fearnley	Nishikori
Won	7	9
Converted	7/17	9/14
% Converted	41%	64%
Conceded	7	14
Saved	7	9
% Saved	100%	64%
Times Broken	0	5

Jacob broke his opponents 7 times with a 41% conversion rate. Jacob pretty solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 7 break points. Kei broke his opponents 9 times with a 64% conversion rate. Kei conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.

Fearnley
	R1 Royer	R2 Nava	Total
Score	6-2 6-3	6-4 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	17	19	36
pts	66-49	73-62	139-111
Total points	115	135	250
Winners	23	26	49
%Winners	35%	36%	35%
SERVE
Aces	3	0	3
Double Faults	3	1	4
1st in	33/51	35/59	68/110
% 1st in	65%	59%	62%
1st pts	23/33	26/35	49/68
% 1st pts	70%	74%	72%
2nd pts	13/18	14/24	27/42
% 2nd pts	72%	58%	64%
Breaks
Won	4	3	7
Converted	4/8	3/9	7/17
Converted %	50%	33%	41%
Conceded	4	3	7
Saved	4/4	3/3	7
Saved %	100%	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0	0

Nishikori
	R1 Alvarez	R2 Kym	Total
Score	6-4 6-2	6-3 1-6 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	18	24	42
pts	65-55	71-70	136-125
Total points	120	141	261
Winners	25	34	59
%Winners	38%	48%	43%
SERVE
Aces	3	4	7
Double Faults	7	4	11
1st in	31/64	52/74	83/138
% 1st in	48%	70%	60%
1st pts	25/31	34/52	59/83
% 1st pts	81%	65%	71%
2nd pts	15/33	9/22	24/55
% 2nd pts	45%	41%	44%
Breaks
Won	4	5	9
Converted	4/7	5/7	9/14
Converted %	57%	71%	64%
Conceded	4	10	14
Saved	3/4	6/10	9
Saved %	75%	60%	68%
Times Broken	1	4	5

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Denis YevseyevYevseyev – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Henri SquireSquire – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Kei NishikoriNishikori (0-0) – H2H and prediction