Luca Nardi and August Holmgren will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Helsinki Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 6:30 pm on COURT 9. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luca Nardi who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Luca Nardi is the pick to win this match.
Luca Nardi -> 1.56
August Holmgren -> 2.3
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Prediction and head to head Luca Nardi vs. August Holmgren
This will be the 2nd time that Luca Nardi and August Holmgren square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Nardi (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they fought against each other, Nardi won 6-3 3-6 7-5 in the 2nd round in the Kobe Challenger back in 2023.
Luca Nardi
23 - 25win/loss
92
70
WWWWWLLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-27 | 13-14 | 8-5 | 9-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-36 | 20-10 | 8-13 | 12-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-20 | 5-2 | 11-10 | 17-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-24 | 3-3 | 26-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-9 | 7-2 | 1-2 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 102, the Italian got to the 2nd round after beating Goncalo Oliveira 6-3 ret..
In the 1st round against Oliveira, Nardi had a free pass after Oliveira retired on a 6-3 . scoreline.
Nardi has a winning record in the last 7 years having won 55% of his matches (144-118). 1-2 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Nardi has a compiled35-35 record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Naples Challenger where he beat Pierre-Hugues Herbert in the final 5-7 7-6(3) 6-2.
Luca has an aggregate 23-25 win-loss record in 2024, 1-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Helsinki Challenger
Nardi has never competed in this tournament before.
August Holmgren
34 - 22win/loss
200
163
LWWWLLWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-25 | 24-12 | 6-6 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 33-14 | 9-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-12 | 18-4 | 10-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-8 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 180, August reached the 2nd round after beating Edas Butvilas 6-4 6-1.
In the 1st round, Holmgren had a good straight sets win against Butvilas (6-4 6-1). During the match Holmgren scored 65 points vs Butvilas’s 44. The Dane was quite aggressive to blast 23 winners.
About the serving games, Holmgren made 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. August Holmgren was quite efficient on serve to win 77% (23/30) of his 1st serve and 68% (13/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. August broke Butvilas 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
His best result of the year was winning the title the Pozoblanco Challenger where he defeated Antoine Escoffier in the final 3-6 6-3 6-4 and the Porto Challenger where he beat Alejandro Moro Canas in the final 7-6(3) 7-6(6).
Holmgren has an overall 34-22 win-loss record in 2024, 4-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nardi | Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 9 | 17 |
| Pts | 28-21 | 65-44 |
| Total Points | 49 | 109 |
| Winners | 12 | 23 |
| %Winners | 43% | 35% |
Both Nardi and Holmgren played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Nardi and Holmgren have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Nardi played 8 games less than Holmgren. Nardi scored 12 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, August made 23 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nardi | Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 4 |
| 1st in | 14/21 | 30/49 |
| %1st in | 67% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 12/14 | 23/30 |
| %1st pts | 86% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 4/7 | 13/19 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 68% |
Nardi struck 2 aces . Holmgren scored 4 aces . Nardi won 86% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Holmgren won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nardi | Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 4 |
| Converted | 2/2 | 4/6 |
| % Converted | 100% | 67% |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 |
| Saved | 0 | 3 |
| % Saved | 0% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Nardi broke his opponent twice with a 100% conversion rate. The Italian pretty solid on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. August broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Dane was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points.
| Nardi | |||
| R1 Oliveira |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 1 | 1 | |
| Tot Games | 9 | 9 | |
| pts | 28-21 | 28-21 | |
| Total points | 49 | 49 | |
| Winners | 12 | 12 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 14/21 | 14/21 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 12/14 | 12/14 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 2/2 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Holmgren | |||
| R1 Butvilas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 65-44 | 65-44 | |
| Total points | 109 | 109 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 30/49 | 30/49 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 23/30 | 23/30 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/19 | 13/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
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