Jasmine Paolini and Qinwen Zheng will square off in the Round Robin of the WTA Finals for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 3:30 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Qinwen Zheng who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Qinwen Zheng is the pick to win this match.
Qinwen Zheng -> 1.333
Jasmine Paolini -> 3.3

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Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Qinwen Zheng

This will be the 4th time that Jasmine Paolini and Qinwen Zheng face off. The head to head is 3-0 for Zheng (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they squared off, Zheng won 6-2 3-6 6-3 in the quarter in Wuhan back in October 2024.

Highlights Qinwen Zheng vs Jasmine Paolini – Wuhan 11-October-2024

Jasmine Paolini

Jasmine Paolini

40 - 20win/loss

Hard
19-10
I Hard
1-3
Clay
12-5
Grass
8-2
Rank
4
High
4
WLWLLWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 42-21 19-10 12-5 3-4 8-2 0-0
2023 43-30 20-16 16-8 5-3 2-3 0-0
2022 30-25 14-11 10-10 6-3 0-1 0-0
2021 34-24 17-13 12-7 5-3 0-1 0-0
2020 7-15 1-8 4-5 2-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 4 (career-high), Jasmine reached the Round Robin after defeating Elena Rybakina 7-6(5) 6-4

.

Paolini has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 57% of her matches (325-244). 1-2 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Paolini has a compiled 35-34 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Dubai where she overcame Anna Kalinskaya in the final 4-6 7-5 7-5.

Jasmine has a composed 40-19 win-loss record in 2024, 1-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Riyadh

The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.

Riyadh
Paolini's Record

Qinwen Zheng

Qinwen Zheng

51 - 17win/loss

Hard
31-10
I Hard
2-1
Clay
17-4
Grass
1-2
Rank
5
High
5
LWWWLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 52-18 31-10 17-4 3-2 1-2 0-0
2023 37-19 23-11 11-4 3-1 0-3 0-0
2022 39-19 27-12 10-4 0-0 2-3 0-0
2021 34-11 7-1 16-6 11-4 0-0 0-0
2020 38-8 3-3 26-3 9-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 7 (career-high), the Chinese got to the Round Robin after defeating Elena Rybakina 7-6(4) 3-6 6-1.

In the previous match, Zheng defeated Rybakina (7-64 3-6 6-1). During the match Zheng scored 96 points vs Rybakina ‘s 91. The Chinese was exceptionally aggressive to blast 40 winners.

About the serving games, Zheng recorded 6 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Qinwen Zheng lost the serve 3 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Zheng put 57% of her first serves in, winning 80% (40/50) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (18/38) on the 2nd serve. Zheng broke Rybakina 4 times after converting 31% of her break points (4/13).

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Palermo where she defeated Karolina Muchova in the final 6-4 4-6 6-2 and in Paris where she defeated Donna Vekic in the final 6-2 6-3 and in Tokyo where she defeated Sofia Kenin in the final 7-6(5) 6-3.

The Chinese has an overall 50-17 win-loss record in 2024, 1-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Riyadh
Zheng's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Paolini Zheng
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 3
Tot Games 23 29
Pts 81-75 96-91
Total Points 156 187
Winners 35 40
%Winners 43% 42%

Both Paolini and Zheng played 1 match. At the moment, Qinwen Zheng conceded 1 set while Jasmine Paolini hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Paolini has played 1 set(s) less than Zheng (2 vs 3). Therefore, Paolini played 6 games less than Zheng. The Italian scored 35 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Qinwen blasted 40 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Paolini Zheng
Aces 2 6
Avg per match 2 6
1st in 50/86 50/88
%1st in 58% 57%
1st pts 35/50 40/50
%1st pts 70% 80%
2nd pts 20/36 18/38
%2nd pts 56% 47%

Paolini scored 2 aces . Zheng fired 6 aces . Paolini won 70% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Zheng won 80% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Paolini Zheng
Won 2 4
Converted 2/5 4/13
% Converted 40% 31%
Conceded 5 6
Saved 4 3
% Saved 80% 50%
Times Broken 1 3

Paolini broke her opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. Paolini dropped her serve once and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded. Qinwen broke her opponent 4 times with a 31% conversion rate. Qinwen conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.

Paolini
Round Robin
Sabalenka
Round Robin
Rybakina
Total
Score 6-3 7-5 7-65 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 21 23 44
pts 81-75 81-75
Total points 0 156 156
Winners 35 35
%Winners 0% 43% 43%
SERVE
Aces 0 2 2
Double Faults 2 2
1st in / 50/86 50/86
% 1st in 0% 58% 58%
1st pts / 35/50 35/50
% 1st pts 0% 70% 70%
2nd pts / 20/36 20/36
% 2nd pts 0% 56% 56%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted / 2/5 2/5
Converted % 0% 40% 40%
Conceded 5 5
Saved 0/ 4/5 4
Saved % 80% 40%
Times Broken 1 1
Zheng
Round Robin
Rybakina
Round Robin
Sabalenka
Total
Score 7-64 3-6 6-1 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 29 19 48
pts 96-91 96-91
Total points 187 0 187
Winners 40 40
%Winners 42% 0% 42%
SERVE
Aces 6 0 6
Double Faults 5 5
1st in 50/88 / 50/88
% 1st in 57% 0% 57%
1st pts 40/50 / 40/50
% 1st pts 80% 0% 80%
2nd pts 18/38 / 18/38
% 2nd pts 47% 0% 47%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/13 / 4/13
Converted % 31% 0% 31%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 3/6 0/ 3
Saved % 50% 25%
Times Broken 3 3

Tennis Scores in Riyadh

  • Cori GauffGauffIga SwiatekSwiatek (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikovaJessica PegulaPegula (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Hao-Ching Chan/Veronika KudermetovaChan/Veronika KudermetovaCaroline Dolehide/Desirae KrawczykDolehide/Desirae Krawczyk (3-6 6-3 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Gabriela Dabrowski/Erin RoutliffeDabrowski/Erin RoutliffeSara Errani/Jasmine PaoliniErrani/Jasmine Paolini (1-6 7-61 11-9) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Katerina Siniakova/Taylor TownsendSiniakova/Taylor TownsendNicole Melichar/Ellen PerezMelichar/Ellen Perez (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Qinwen ZhengZhengElena RybakinaRybakina (7-64 3-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Su-Wei Hsieh/Elise MertensHsieh/Elise MertensLyudmyla Kichenok/Jelena OstapenkoKichenok/Jelena Ostapenko (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Aryna SabalenkaSabalenkaJasmine PaoliniPaolini (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Iga SwiatekSwiatekBarbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (4-6 7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Sara Errani/Jasmine PaoliniErrani/Jasmine PaoliniCaroline Dolehide/Desirae KrawczykDolehide/Desirae Krawczyk (1-6 6-1 10-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Jasmine PaoliniPaoliniElena RybakinaRybakina (7-65 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Nicole Melichar/Ellen PerezMelichar/Ellen PerezSu-Wei Hsieh/Elise MertensHsieh/Elise Mertens (1-6 6-1 10-6) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw