Denis Yevseyev and Federico Arnaboldi will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Helsinki Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 6:00 pm on COURT 9. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Denis Yevseyev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Denis Yevseyev is the pick to win this match.
Denis Yevseyev -> 1.36
Federico Arnaboldi -> 2.94
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Denis Yevseyev vs. Federico Arnaboldi
This will be the 3rd time that Denis Yevseyev and Federico Arnaboldi play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Yevseyev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they squared off, Yevseyev won 7-6(5) 6-3 in the qualifications in the Vilnius Challenger back in 2023.
Denis Yevseyev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-37 | 14-14 | 12-13 | 7-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 50-36 | 23-16 | 16-14 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 39-31 | 11-9 | 12-12 | 14-9 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2021 | 36-30 | 4-5 | 22-15 | 10-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 218, Yevseyev reached the 2nd round after defeating Oliver Ojakaar 6-2 6-4.
In the 1st round, Denis had a good straight sets win against Ojakaar (6-2 6-4). During the match, Yevseyev scored 61 points vs Ojakaar’s 46. Yevseyev was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Yevseyev blasted 2 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults. Denis Yevseyev conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 1 break points. Furthermore, Yevseyev put 68% of his first serves in, winning 67% (24/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 76% (13/17) on the 2nd serve. Denis broke Ojakaar 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Yevseyev has positive record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (354-278). 5-6 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Yevseyev has an aggregate 57-56 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
The Kazakhstani’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Tenerife 1 Challenger and the Oeiras 4 Challenger.
Yevseyev has a composed 31-33 win-loss record in 2024, 5-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Helsinki Challenger
Federico Arnaboldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-27 | 0-1 | 40-23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-29 | 1-2 | 23-21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-24 | 0-2 | 23-19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 60-15 | 12-2 | 48-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 241, Arnaboldi reached the 2nd round after defeating Mikhail Kukushkin 6-4 7-5.
In the 1st round, Arnaboldi had a good straight sets win against Kukushkin (6-4 7-5). During the match Arnaboldi scored 78 points vs Kukushkin’s 73. Arnaboldi was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about serving, Arnaboldi blasted 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Federico Arnaboldi lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Arnaboldi put 51% of his first serves in, winning 77% (30/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (17/38) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Kukushkin 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Verona Challenger where he overcame Vilius Gaubas in the final 6-2 6-2.
The Italian has a composed 41-24 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Helsinki Challenger
Arnaboldi has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Yevseyev | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 22 |
| Pts | 61-46 | 78-73 |
| Total Points | 107 | 151 |
| Winners | 24 | 30 |
| %Winners | 39% | 38% |
Both Yevseyev and Arnaboldi played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Yevseyev and Arnaboldi have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Yevseyev played 4 games less than Arnaboldi. Yevseyev scored 24 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian made 30 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Yevseyev | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 5 |
| 1st in | 36/53 | 39/77 |
| %1st in | 68% | 51% |
| 1st pts | 24/36 | 30/39 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 13/17 | 17/38 |
| %2nd pts | 76% | 45% |
Yevseyev managed to score 2 aces . Arnaboldi struck 5 aces . Yevseyev won 67% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 76% of the points. On the other side, Arnaboldi won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Yevseyev | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 4 |
| Converted | 3/5 | 4/10 |
| % Converted | 60% | 40% |
| Conceded | 1 | 5 |
| Saved | 1 | 3 |
| % Saved | 100% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 |
The Kazakhstani broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Yevseyev pretty solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points. Federico broke his opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Yevseyev | |||
| R1 Ojakaar |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 61-46 | 61-46 | |
| Total points | 107 | 107 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 36/53 | 36/53 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 24/36 | 24/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/17 | 13/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 76% | 76% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Arnaboldi | |||
| R1 Kukushkin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 78-73 | 78-73 | |
| Total points | 151 | 151 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 39/77 | 39/77 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 30/39 | 30/39 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/38 | 17/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/10 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLWLLLWL Tennis Scores in Helsinki Challenger
- Jerome KymKym – Abedallah ShelbayhShelbayh (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Max Hans RehbergHans Rehberg – Geoffrey BlancaneauxBlancaneaux (6-4 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Maximilian MartererMarterer – Santiago Rodriguez TavernaRodriguez Taverna (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino – Alexis GautierGautier (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Sandro KoppKopp (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Henri SquireSquire – Ricardas BerankisBerankis (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Patrick KaukovaltaKaukovalta – Oskari PaldaniusPaldanius (6-3 4-6 7-66) – See score progression
- Denis YevseyevYevseyev – Oliver OjakaarOjakaar (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Emilio NavaNava – Alibek KachmazovKachmazov (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Valentin RoyerRoyer (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Federico ArnaboldiArnaboldi – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Henri SquireSquire – Ricardas BerankisBerankis (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino – Alexis GautierGautier (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Max Hans RehbergHans Rehberg – Geoffrey BlancaneauxBlancaneaux (6-4 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Maximilian MartererMarterer – Santiago Rodriguez TavernaRodriguez Taverna (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Jerome KymKym – Abedallah ShelbayhShelbayh (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Patrick KaukovaltaKaukovalta – Oskari PaldaniusPaldanius (6-3 4-6 7-6(6)) – See score progression
- Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Sandro KoppKopp (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Nicolas Alvarez VaronaAlvarez Varona (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- August HolmgrenHolmgren – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Henri SquireSquire – Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rudolf MollekerMolleker – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Federico ArnaboldiArnaboldi – Denis YevseyevYevseyev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Emilio NavaNava (0-0) – H2H and prediction
