Denis Yevseyev and Federico Arnaboldi will clash against each other in the 2^nd round of the Helsinki Challenger for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 6:00 pm on COURT 9. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Denis Yevseyev who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Denis Yevseyev is the pick to win this match.
Denis Yevseyev -> 1.36
Federico Arnaboldi -> 2.94

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Prediction and head to head Denis Yevseyev vs. Federico Arnaboldi

This will be the 3^rd time that Denis Yevseyev and Federico Arnaboldi play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Yevseyev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they squared off, Yevseyev won 7-6(5) 6-3 in the qualifications in the Vilnius Challenger back in 2023.

Denis Yevseyev

Ranked no. 218, Yevseyev reached the 2^nd round after defeating Oliver Ojakaar 6-2 6-4.

In the 1^st round, Denis had a good straight sets win against Ojakaar (6-2 6-4). During the match, Yevseyev scored 61 points vs Ojakaar’s 46. Yevseyev was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about the service games, Yevseyev blasted 2 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults. Denis Yevseyev conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 1 break points. Furthermore, Yevseyev put 68% of his first serves in, winning 67% (24/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 76% (13/17) on the 2nd serve. Denis broke Ojakaar 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Yevseyev has positive record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (354-278). 5-6 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Yevseyev has an aggregate 57-56 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

The Kazakhstani’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Tenerife 1 Challenger and the Oeiras 4 Challenger.

Yevseyev has a composed 31-33 win-loss record in 2024, 5-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Helsinki Challenger

Federico Arnaboldi

Ranked no. 241, Arnaboldi reached the 2^nd round after defeating Mikhail Kukushkin 6-4 7-5.

In the 1^st round, Arnaboldi had a good straight sets win against Kukushkin (6-4 7-5). During the match Arnaboldi scored 78 points vs Kukushkin’s 73. Arnaboldi was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about serving, Arnaboldi blasted 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Federico Arnaboldi lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Arnaboldi put 51% of his first serves in, winning 77% (30/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (17/38) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Kukushkin 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Verona Challenger where he overcame Vilius Gaubas in the final 6-2 6-2.

The Italian has a composed 41-24 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Helsinki Challenger

Arnaboldi has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Yevseyev	Arnaboldi
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	22
Pts	61-46	78-73
Total Points	107	151
Winners	24	30
%Winners	39%	38%

Both Yevseyev and Arnaboldi played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Yevseyev and Arnaboldi have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Yevseyev played 4 games less than Arnaboldi. Yevseyev scored 24 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian made 30 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Yevseyev	Arnaboldi
Aces	2	5
Avg per match	2	5
1st in	36/53	39/77
%1st in	68%	51%
1st pts	24/36	30/39
%1st pts	67%	77%
2nd pts	13/17	17/38
%2nd pts	76%	45%

Yevseyev managed to score 2 aces . Arnaboldi struck 5 aces . Yevseyev won 67% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 76% of the points. On the other side, Arnaboldi won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Yevseyev	Arnaboldi
Won	3	4
Converted	3/5	4/10
% Converted	60%	40%
Conceded	1	5
Saved	1	3
% Saved	100%	60%
Times Broken	0	2

The Kazakhstani broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Yevseyev pretty solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points. Federico broke his opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

Yevseyev
	R1 Ojakaar	Total
Score	6-2 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	18
pts	61-46	61-46
Total points	107	107
Winners	24	24
%Winners	39%	39%
SERVE
Aces	2	2
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	36/53	36/53
% 1st in	68%	68%
1st pts	24/36	24/36
% 1st pts	67%	67%
2nd pts	13/17	13/17
% 2nd pts	76%	76%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/5	3/5
Converted %	60%	60%
Conceded	1	1
Saved	1/1	1
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Arnaboldi
	R1 Kukushkin	Total
Score	6-4 7-5
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	22	22
pts	78-73	78-73
Total points	151	151
Winners	30	30
%Winners	38%	38%
SERVE
Aces	5	5
Double Faults	4	4
1st in	39/77	39/77
% 1st in	51%	51%
1st pts	30/39	30/39
% 1st pts	77%	77%
2nd pts	17/38	17/38
% 2nd pts	45%	45%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/10	4/10
Converted %	40%	40%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	3/5	3
Saved %	60%	60%
Times Broken	2	2

Tennis Scores in Helsinki Challenger

• Jerome KymKym – Abedallah ShelbayhShelbayh (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Max Hans RehbergHans Rehberg – Geoffrey BlancaneauxBlancaneaux (6-4 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Maximilian MartererMarterer – Santiago Rodriguez TavernaRodriguez Taverna (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino – Alexis GautierGautier (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Sandro KoppKopp (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Henri SquireSquire – Ricardas BerankisBerankis (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Patrick KaukovaltaKaukovalta – Oskari PaldaniusPaldanius (6-3 4-6 7-6⁶) – See score progression
• Denis YevseyevYevseyev – Oliver OjakaarOjakaar (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Emilio NavaNava – Alibek KachmazovKachmazov (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Valentin RoyerRoyer (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Federico ArnaboldiArnaboldi – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Henri SquireSquire – Ricardas BerankisBerankis (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino – Alexis GautierGautier (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Max Hans RehbergHans Rehberg – Geoffrey BlancaneauxBlancaneaux (6-4 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Maximilian MartererMarterer – Santiago Rodriguez TavernaRodriguez Taverna (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Jerome KymKym – Abedallah ShelbayhShelbayh (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Patrick KaukovaltaKaukovalta – Oskari PaldaniusPaldanius (6-3 4-6 7-6(6)) – See score progression
• Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Sandro KoppKopp (6-2 6-1) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Kei NishikoriNishikori – Nicolas Alvarez VaronaAlvarez Varona (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• August HolmgrenHolmgren – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Henri SquireSquire – Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Rudolf MollekerMolleker – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Federico ArnaboldiArnaboldi – Denis YevseyevYevseyev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Emilio NavaNava (0-0) – H2H and prediction