Jelle Sels and Nicolas Alvarez Varona will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Helsinki Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 1:30 pm on COURT 9. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolas Alvarez Varona who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Nicolas Alvarez Varona is the pick to win this match.
Nicolas Alvarez Varona -> 1.84
Jelle Sels -> 1.88
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Prediction and head to head Jelle Sels vs. Nicolas Alvarez Varona
This will be the 2nd time that Jelle Sels and Nicolas Alvarez Varona square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Sels (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they locked horns, Sels won 6-1 6-3 in the final in M25 Alkmaar back in 2021.
Jelle Sels
48 - 25win/loss
292
127
LLLLWLLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 48-29 | 13-6 | 28-15 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 11-27 | 5-4 | 3-14 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 48-33 | 0-0 | 26-17 | 22-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-31 | 2-3 | 14-13 | 20-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2020 | 18-10 | 0-1 | 14-8 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 292, Sels reached the qualifications after defeating Markus Molder 6-3 6-3.
In the qualifications, Jelle had a good straight sets win against Molder (6-3 6-3). During the match, Sels scored 79 points vs Molder’s 66. Jelle was quite aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sels made 7 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Jelle Sels lost the serve once and he saved 14 break points. Furthermore, Sels put 58% of his first serves in, winning 71% (36/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (16/37) on the 2nd serve. Sels broke Molder 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Sels has good record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (326-258). 7-4 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Sels has a composed 70-62 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
The Dutch’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Mandya,M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio,M25 Santa Margherita di Pula,M25 Reggio Emilia and the Dobrich 2 Challenger.
Sels has an overall 48-25 win-loss record in 2024, 7-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Helsinki Challenger
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
38 - 22win/loss
375
219
LLWLWWLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40-25 | 4-3 | 33-18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 9-9 | 3-2 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-34 | 3-7 | 13-19 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-26 | 11-8 | 29-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-9 | 21-6 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 387, Nicolas reached the qualifications after beating Otso Martikainen 6-3 6-3.
In the qualifications, Nicolas had a good straight sets win against Martikainen (6-3 6-3). During the match Alvarez scored 63 points vs Martikainen’s 48. The Spaniard was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Alvarez bagged 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Nicolas Alvarez Varona was very efficient on serve to win 88% (29/33) of his 1st serve and 53% (8/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Nicolas broke Martikainen 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
The Spaniard’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M15 Gijon,M25 Oviedo and M25 Sabadell.
The Spaniard has a compiled 38-22 win-loss record in 2024, 1-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sels | Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 |
| Pts | 79-66 | 63-48 |
| Total Points | 145 | 111 |
| Winners | 36 | 29 |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% |
Both Sels and Alvarez played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sels and Alvarez have played the same amount of sets 2. They also played the same amount of games (18). Jelle scored 36 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard made 29 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sels | Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 4 |
| 1st in | 51/88 | 33/48 |
| %1st in | 58% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 36/51 | 29/33 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 88% |
| 2nd pts | 16/37 | 8/15 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 53% |
Sels scored 7 aces . Alvarez recorded 4 aces . Sels won 71% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Alvarez won 88% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sels | Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 3 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 3/8 |
| % Converted | 57% | 38% |
| Conceded | 15 | 0 |
| Saved | 14 | 0 |
| % Saved | 93% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
Jelle broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Sels surrendered his serve once and he saved 93% of the break points that he conceded. Nicolas broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Nicolas was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Sels | |||
| Q1 Molder |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 79-66 | 79-66 | |
| Total points | 145 | 145 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 51/88 | 51/88 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 36/51 | 36/51 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/37 | 16/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 15 | 15 | |
| Saved | 14/15 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 93% | 93% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Alvarez | |||
| Q1 Martikainen |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 63-48 | 63-48 | |
| Total points | 111 | 111 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 33/48 | 33/48 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 29/33 | 29/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/15 | 8/15 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
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