Aryna Sabalenka and Jasmine Paolini will play each other in the Round Robin of the WTA Finals for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 6:00 pm on Center Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.119
Jasmine Paolini -> 6.25
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jasmine Paolini
This will be the 5th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Jasmine Paolini fight against each other. The head to head is 2-2 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they squared off, Sabalenka won 6-4 7-6(4) in the 3rd round in Beijing back in 2023.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini – Beijing 05-October-2023
Aryna Sabalenka
55 - 12win/loss
1
1
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Aryna got to the Round Robin after defeating Qinwen Zheng 6-3 6-4.
In the previous match, The Belarussian had a good straight sets win against Zheng (6-3 6-4). During the match, Sabalenka scored 60 points vs Zheng’s 49. The Belarussian was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sabalenka fired 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Aryna Sabalenka conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 1 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 61% of her first serves in, winning 94% (31/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (10/21) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Zheng twice after converting 50% of her break points (2/4).
Sabalenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 69% of her matches (373-166). 1-0 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sabalenka has an aggregate30-15 win-loss record in the last 9 years on indoor hard courts.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title at the Australian Open where she beat Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Cincinnati where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 7-5 and at the U.S. Open where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 7-5 and in Wuhan where she beat Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 5-7 6-3.
The Belarussian has a composed 55-12 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Riyadh
Jasmine Paolini
40 - 18win/loss
4
4
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41-21 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 2-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-15 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4 (career-high), the Italian reached the Round Robin after defeating Elena Rybakina 7-6(5) 6-4.
In the previous match, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Rybakina (7-65 6-4). During the match Paolini scored 81 points vs Rybakina ‘s 75. Paolini was quite aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about serving, Paolini bagged 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve once and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 58% of her first serves in, winning 70% (35/50) of the points behind her 1st serve and 56% (20/36) on the 2nd serve. Paolini broke Rybakina twice after converting 40% of her break points (2/5).
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Dubai where she overcame Anna Kalinskaya in the final 4-6 7-5 7-5.
The Italian has a composed 40-18 win-loss record in 2024, 1-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 23 |
| Pts | 60-49 | 81-75 |
| Total Points | 109 | 156 |
| Winners | 31 | 35 |
| %Winners | 52% | 43% |
Both Sabalenka and Paolini played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sabalenka and Paolini have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Sabalenka played 4 games less than Paolini. Sabalenka scored 31 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, Paolini scored 35 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 2 |
| 1st in | 33/54 | 50/86 |
| %1st in | 61% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 31/33 | 35/50 |
| %1st pts | 94% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 10/21 | 20/36 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 56% |
Sabalenka struck 3 aces . Paolini scored 2 aces . Sabalenka won 94% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Paolini won 70% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 2 |
| Converted | 2/4 | 2/5 |
| % Converted | 50% | 40% |
| Conceded | 1 | 5 |
| Saved | 1 | 4 |
| % Saved | 100% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
The Belarussian broke her opponent twice with a 50% conversion rate. Sabalenka pretty effective on her serve as she has never surrendered a single service game after saving 1 break points. Jasmine broke her opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. Jasmine conceded her serve once and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||
| Round Robin Zheng | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 60-49 | 60-49 | |
| Total points | 109 | 109 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 52% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 33/54 | 33/54 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 31/33 | 31/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 94% | 94% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/21 | 10/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 2/4 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Paolini | |||
| Round Robin Rybakina | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 81-75 | 81-75 | |
| Total points | 156 | 156 | |
| Winners | 35 | 35 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 50/86 | 50/86 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 35/50 | 35/50 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/36 | 20/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/5 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Tennis Scores in Riyadh
- Cori GauffGauff – Jessica PegulaPegula (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (4-6 7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Katerina Siniakova/Taylor TownsendSiniakova/Taylor Townsend – Lyudmyla Kichenok/Jelena OstapenkoKichenok/Jelena Ostapenko (3-6 6-3 11-9) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Elena RybakinaRybakina (7-65 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nicole Melichar/Ellen PerezMelichar/Ellen Perez – Su-Wei Hsieh/Elise MertensHsieh/Elise Mertens (1-6 6-1 10-6) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Qinwen ZhengZheng (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Qinwen ZhengZheng (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Cori GauffGauff (11-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (1-1) – H2H and prediction