Diana Shnaider and Katie Boulter will square off in the final of the Hong Kong Tennis Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 4:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Diana Shnaider who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Diana Shnaider is the pick to win this match.
Diana Shnaider -> 1.52
Katie Boulter -> 2.53
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Prediction and head to head Diana Shnaider vs. Katie Boulter
There is no head to head record between Diana Shnaider and Katie Boulter since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Diana Shnaider
54 - 23win/loss
14
14
WWWWLWLLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54-23 | 30-15 | 15-5 | 0-0 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-22 | 14-13 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 58-17 | 11-4 | 46-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 8-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14 (career-high), Shnaider got to the final after beating Kyoka Okamura 6-3 6-3, Priscilla Hon 6-4 6-1, Suzan Lamens 6-0 6-7(4) 6-2 and Leylah Annie Fernandez 6-4 6-2.
In the semifinal, Diana had a good straight sets win against Annie Fernandez (6-4 6-2). During the match, Shnaider scored 60 points vs Annie Fernandez’s 52. The Russian was quite aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about the service games, Shnaider scored 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Diana Shnaider lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Shnaider put 61% of her first serves in, winning 61% (23/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 58% (14/24) on the 2nd serve. Shnaider broke Annie Fernandez 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has surrendered 1 set in this event to win 57% of the points she played.
Shnaider has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 69% of her matches (148-67). 30-15 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Shnaider has an aggregate55-32 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Hua Hin where she beat Lin Zhu in the final 6-3 2-6 6-1 and the Paris where she defeated Emma Navarro in the final 6-2 3-6 6-4 and in Bad Homburg where she overcame Donna Vekic in the final 6-3 2-6 6-3 and in Budapest where she defeated Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the final 6-4 6-4.
The Russian has a compiled 54-23 win-loss record in 2024, 30-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hong Kong
Diana has never competed in this tournament before.
Katie Boulter
36 - 21win/loss
29
27
WWWWLWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 36-21 | 24-11 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-20 | 22-12 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 10-4 | 4-0 |
| 2022 | 29-18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 16-7 | 9-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 28-15 | 12-9 | 5-1 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-8 | 10-6 | 1-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 29, Boulter got to the final after defeating Aoi Ito 6-4 6-4, Xiyu Wang 7-6(7) 6-4, Anastasia Zakharova 6-4 6-0 and Yue Yuan 6-2 5-7 6-2.
In the semifinal, The Brit defeated Yuan (6-2 5-7 6-2). During the match Boulter scored 105 points vs Yuan’s 85. Boulter was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.
About the serving games, Boulter struck 6 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Katie Boulter lost the serve 3 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Boulter put 60% of her first serves in, winning 68% (40/59) of the points behind her 1st serve and 55% (22/40) on the 2nd serve. Katie broke Yuan 6 times after converting 40% of her break points (6/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Katie has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in San Diego where she beat Marta Kostyuk in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2 and in Nottingham where she defeated Karolina Pliskova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2.
The Brit has a composed 36-21 win-loss record in 2024, 24-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shnaider | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 80 | 87 |
| Pts | 281-210 | 333-267 |
| Total Points | 491 | 600 |
| Winners | 109 | 144 |
| %Winners | 39% | 43% |
Both Shnaider and Boulter played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Diana Shnaider dropped 1 set, while Katie Boulter conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Shnaider and Boulter have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Shnaider played 7 games less than Boulter. The Russian scored 109 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Katie managed to score 144 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shnaider | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 4.8 |
| 1st in | 165/250 | 190/308 |
| %1st in | 66% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 109/165 | 144/190 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 50/85 | 59/118 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 50% |
Shnaider fired 14 aces (3.5 per match). Boulter bagged 19 aces (4.8 per match). Shnaider won 66% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Boulter won 76% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shnaider | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 22 | 15 |
| Converted | 22/32 | 15/37 |
| % Converted | 69% | 41% |
| Conceded | 11 | 20 |
| Saved | 4 | 15 |
| % Saved | 36% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 5 |
Diana broke her opponents 22 times with a 69% conversion rate. Shnaider surrendered her serve 7 times and she saved 36% of the break points that she conceded. Katie broke her opponents 15 times with a 41% conversion rate. Boulter conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.
| Shnaider | ||||||
| R1 Okamura |
R2 Hon |
1/4 Lamens |
1/2 Annie |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 6-4 6-1 | 6-0 6-74 6-2 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 17 | 27 | 18 | 80 | |
| pts | 61-47 | 64-43 | 96-68 | 60-52 | 281-210 | |
| Total points | 108 | 107 | 164 | 112 | 491 | |
| Winners | 26 | 27 | 33 | 23 | 109 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 42% | 34% | 38% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 32/49 | 39/53 | 56/86 | 38/62 | 165/250 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 74% | 65% | 61% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 26/32 | 27/39 | 33/56 | 23/38 | 109/165 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 69% | 59% | 61% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/17 | 7/14 | 19/30 | 14/24 | 50/85 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 50% | 63% | 58% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 22 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 5/6 | 9/11 | 5/8 | 22/32 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 83% | 82% | 63% | 69% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 11 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/1 | 3/7 | 1/3 | 4 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | 43% | 33% | 19% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | |
| Boulter | ||||||
| R1 Ito |
R2 Wang |
1/4 Zakharova |
1/2 Yuan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 7-67 6-4 | 6-4 6-0 | 6-2 5-7 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 23 | 16 | 28 | 87 | |
| pts | 79-66 | 91-79 | 58-37 | 105-85 | 333-267 | |
| Total points | 145 | 170 | 95 | 190 | 600 | |
| Winners | 34 | 43 | 27 | 40 | 144 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 47% | 47% | 38% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 42/67 | 58/95 | 31/47 | 59/99 | 190/308 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 61% | 66% | 60% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 34/42 | 43/58 | 27/31 | 40/59 | 144/190 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 74% | 87% | 68% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/25 | 18/37 | 7/16 | 22/40 | 59/118 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 49% | 44% | 55% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | |
| Converted | 2/9 | 3/7 | 4/6 | 6/15 | 15/37 | |
| Converted % | 22% | 43% | 67% | 40% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 20 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 7/9 | 2/2 | 3/6 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 78% | 100% | 50% | 82% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWLWLLLW
WWWWLWWWLW Tennis Scores in Hong Kong
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