Ugo Humbert and Karen Khachanov will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 4:30 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ugo Humbert who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Ugo Humbert is the pick to win this match.
Ugo Humbert -> 1.66
Karen Khachanov -> 2.22

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Prediction and head to head Ugo Humbert vs. Karen Khachanov

This will be the 2^nd time that Ugo Humbert and Karen Khachanov face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Khachanov (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they competed against each other, Khachanov won 7-6(4) 4-6 6-3 in the quarter in Tokyo back in 2021.

Ugo Humbert

Ranked no. 18, Ugo got to the semifinal after beating Brandon Nakashima 6-3 4-6 6-4, Marcos Giron 6-3 6-2, Carlos Alcaraz 6-1 3-6 7-5 and Jordan Thompson 6-2 7-6(4).

In the quarter, The French player had a good straight sets win against Thompson (6-2 7-6⁴). During the match, Humbert scored 67 points vs Thompson’s 52. Humbert was exceptionally aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about the service games, Humbert bagged 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Ugo Humbert was quite effective on serve to win 79% (34/43) of his 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The French player broke Thompson 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The French player has lost 2 set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Humbert has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (340-216). 10-3 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Humbert has a composed 101-62 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the season was conquering the title in Marseille where he overcame Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-4 6-3 and in Dubai where he defeated Alexander Bublik in the final 6-4 6-3.

Ugo has a compiled 38-23 win-loss record in 2024, 10-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Karen Khachanov

Ranked no. 21, Khachanov reached the semifinal after defeating Christopher O Connell 6-4 3-6 7-6(6), Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 6-7(12) 6-1 6-4, Alexei Popyrin 7-6(5) 6-4 and Grigor Dimitrov 6-2 6-3.

In the quarter, Karen had a good straight sets win against Dimitrov (6-2 6-3). During the match Khachanov scored 57 points vs Dimitrov’s 38. Karen was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.

About the serving games, Khachanov blasted 6 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Karen Khachanov was extremely effective on serve to win 79% (27/34) of his 1st serve and 64% (7/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Karen broke Dimitrov 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Karen has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Doha where he overcame Jakub Mensik in the final 7-6(12) 6-4 and in Almaty where he overcame Gabriel Diallo in the final 6-2 5-7 6-3.

The Russian has an overall 37-21 win-loss record in 2024, 14-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Previously, he won this tournament once in 2018. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Humbert	Khachanov
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	10	10
Tot Games	95	102
Pts	304-248	333-284
Total Points	552	617
Winners	140	165
%Winners	46%	50%

Both Humbert and Khachanov played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Ugo Humbert surrendered 2 sets, while Karen Khachanov surrendered 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Humbert and Khachanov have played the same amount of sets 10. However, Humbert played 7 games less than Khachanov. Ugo scored 140 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Karen made 165 winners (50%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Humbert	Khachanov
Aces	34	32
Avg per match	8.5	8
1st in	179/289	201/292
%1st in	62%	69%
1st pts	140/179	165/201
%1st pts	78%	82%
2nd pts	65/110	54/91
%2nd pts	59%	59%

Humbert struck 34 aces (8.5 per match). Khachanov struck 32 aces (8 per match). Humbert won 78% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Khachanov won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Humbert	Khachanov
Won	12	12
Converted	12/22	12/26
% Converted	55%	46%
Conceded	10	12
Saved	6	8
% Saved	60%	67%
Times Broken	4	4

Humbert broke his opponents 12 times with a 55% conversion rate. Humbert conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Khachanov broke his opponents 12 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Humbert
	R1 Nakashima	R2 Giron	R3 Alcaraz	1/4 Thompson	Total
Score	6-3 4-6 6-4	6-3 6-2	6-1 3-6 7-5	6-2 7-64
Tot Set	3	2	3	2	10
Tot Games	29	17	28	21	95
pts	89-77	59-37	89-82	67-52	304-248
Total points	166	96	171	119	552
Winners	43	24	39	34	140
%Winners	48%	41%	44%	51%	46%
SERVE
Aces	9	9	8	8	34
Double Faults	1	0	3	2	6
1st in	51/84	31/48	54/96	43/61	179/289
% 1st in	61%	65%	56%	70%	62%
1st pts	43/51	24/31	39/54	34/43	140/179
% 1st pts	84%	77%	72%	79%	78%
2nd pts	20/33	10/17	25/42	10/18	65/110
% 2nd pts	61%	59%	60%	56%	59%
Breaks
Won	2	4	3	3	12
Converted	2/4	4/5	3/6	3/7	12/22
Converted %	50%	80%	50%	43%	55%
Conceded	3	1	4	2	10
Saved	2/3	0/1	3/4	1/2	6
Saved %	67%	0%	75%	50%	48%
Times Broken	1	1	1	1	4

Khachanov
	R1 O	R2 Mpetshi	R3 Popyrin	1/4 Dimitrov	Total
Score	6-4 3-6 7-66	6-712 6-1 6-4	7-65 6-4	6-2 6-3
Tot Set	3	3	2	2	10
Tot Games	32	30	23	17	102
pts	93-99	99-74	84-73	57-38	333-284
Total points	192	173	157	95	617
Winners	48	52	38	27	165
%Winners	52%	53%	45%	47%	50%
SERVE
Aces	10	6	10	6	32
Double Faults	3	0	2	0	5
1st in	60/98	56/81	51/68	34/45	201/292
% 1st in	61%	69%	75%	76%	69%
1st pts	48/60	52/56	38/51	27/34	165/201
% 1st pts	80%	93%	75%	79%	82%
2nd pts	17/38	19/25	11/17	7/11	54/91
% 2nd pts	45%	76%	65%	64%	59%
Breaks
Won	2	3	3	4	12
Converted	2/6	3/3	3/11	4/6	12/26
Converted %	33%	100%	27%	67%	46%
Conceded	7	0	5	0	12
Saved	5/7	0/0	3/5	0/0	8
Saved %	71%	–	60%	–	33%
Times Broken	2	0	2	0	4

Tennis Scores in Paris

• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-2 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Neal Skupski/Michael VenusSkupski/Michael Venus – Ariel Behar/Robert GallowayBehar/Robert Galloway (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Holger RuneRune – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-4 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Max Purcell/Jordan ThompsonPurcell/Jordan Thompson – Harri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry Patten (6-7³ 6-1 12-10) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Wesley Koolhof/Nikola MekticKoolhof/Nikola Mektic – Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden (7-6¹³ 7-5) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-2 7-6(4)) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Alexander ZverevZverev (1-2) – H2H and prediction