Katie Boulter and Yue Yuan will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Hong Kong Tennis Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 2:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Katie Boulter who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Katie Boulter is the pick to win this match.
Katie Boulter -> 1.615
Yue Yuan -> 2.31

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Prediction and head to head Katie Boulter vs. Yue Yuan

This will be the 2nd time that Katie Boulter and Yue Yuan play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Boulter (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Boulter won 7-5 7-6(1) in the 1st round in at the Australian Open back in January 2024.

Highlights Katie Boulter vs Yue Yuan – Australian Open 16-January-2024

Katie Boulter

Katie Boulter

35 - 21win/loss

Hard
23-11
I Hard
1-1
Clay
3-6
Grass
8-3
Rank
24
High
23
LWWLWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 38-23 24-12 3-6 3-2 8-3 0-0
2023 40-20 22-12 1-1 3-3 10-4 4-0
2022 29-18 4-7 0-0 16-7 9-4 0-0
2021 28-15 12-9 5-1 7-3 4-2 0-0
2020 14-8 10-6 1-1 3-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 29, Katie got to the semifinal after beating Aoi Ito 6-4 6-4, Xiyu Wang 7-6(7) 6-4 and Anastasia Zakharova 6-4 6-0.

In the quarter, Boulter had a good straight sets win against Zakharova (6-4 6-0). During the match, Boulter scored 58 points vs Zakharova’s 37. Katie was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about the service games, Boulter blasted 5 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Katie Boulter conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Boulter put 66% of her first serves in, winning 87% (27/31) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (7/16) on the 2nd serve. Boulter broke Zakharova 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Boulter hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points she played.

Boulter has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (275-163). 23-11 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Boulter has a composed 139-95 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in San Diego where she overcame Marta Kostyuk in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2 and in Nottingham where she beat Karolina Pliskova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2.

Boulter has a composed 35-21 win-loss record in 2024, 23-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Hong Kong

Katie has never competed in this tournament before.

Hong Kong
Boulter's Record

Yue Yuan

Yue Yuan

32 - 26win/loss

Hard
27-16
I Hard
0-0
Clay
3-6
Grass
2-4
Rank
49
High
36
LWWWLWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 32-27 27-17 3-6 0-0 2-4 0-0
2023 41-29 27-17 8-7 1-2 5-3 0-0
2022 44-25 33-16 9-7 0-0 2-2 0-0
2021 24-17 6-7 3-6 15-4 0-0 0-0
2020 1-4 1-4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 45, the Chinese got to the semifinal after defeating Simona Halep 6-3 6-3, Nao Hibino 4-6 7-5 6-2 and Sofia Kenin 6-3 6-3.

In the quarter, Yuan had a good straight sets win against Kenin (6-3 6-3). During the match Yuan scored 64 points vs Kenin’s 52. Yue was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.

About the serving games, Yuan blasted 8 aces and she was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Yue Yuan was quite effective on serve to win 87% (26/30) of her 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Chinese broke Kenin 3 times after converting 33% of her break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Chinese has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Austin where she beat Xiyu Wang in the final 6-4 7-6(4).

The Chinese has a compiled 32-26 win-loss record in 2024, 27-16 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Hong Kong
Yuan's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

K.Boulter
Y.Yuan
5h:07
5h:07
Time on court​
5h:21
5h:21
1h:15
1h:15
Last match​
1h:20
1h:20
3
3
Match played
3
3
59
59
Games Played​
66
66
6
6
Set played​​
7
7
228
228
Total points​
236
236
76
76
Avg point​
78.7
78.7
104
104
Winners
94
94
34.7
34.7
Avg Winners​
31.3
31.3
46%
46%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
13
13
Aces
10
10
4.3
4.3
Avg Aces
3.3
3.3
13
13
Double Faults
3
3
4.3
4.3
Avg Double Faults
1
1
104/131
104/131
1st won total​
94/134
94/134
!
79%
79%
1st won %
70%
70%
37/78
37/78
2nd won total​
32/70
32/70
47%
47%
2nd won %
46%
46%
-- Break Points --
9/22
9/22
BP won
15/38
15/38
3/7.3
3/7.3
Avg BP won
5/12.7
5/12.7
41%
41%
Won
39%
39%
14
14
Conceded
21
21
4.7
4.7
Avg Conceded
7
7
2
2
Broken
7
7
!
0.7
0.7
Avg Broken
2.3
2.3
12
12
Saved
14
14

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Boulter Yuan
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 6 7
Tot Games 59 66
Pts 228-182 236-202
Total Points 410 438
Winners 104 94
%Winners 46% 40%

Both Boulter and Yuan played 3 matches. At the moment, Yue Yuan dropped 1 set while Katie Boulter hasn’t lost a set so far. Boulter has played 1 set(s) less than Yuan (6 vs 7). Therefore, Boulter played 7 games less than Yuan. Boulter scored 104 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The Chinese bagged 94 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Boulter Yuan
Aces 13 10
Avg per match 4.3 3.3
1st in 131/209 134/204
%1st in 63% 66%
1st pts 104/131 94/134
%1st pts 79% 70%
2nd pts 37/78 32/70
%2nd pts 47% 46%

Boulter scored 13 aces (4.3 per match). Yuan bagged 10 aces (3.3 per match). Boulter won 79% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Yuan won 70% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Boulter Yuan
Won 9 15
Converted 9/22 15/38
% Converted 41% 39%
Conceded 14 21
Saved 12 14
% Saved 86% 67%
Times Broken 2 7

The Brit broke her opponents 9 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Brit lost her serve twice and she saved 86% of the break points that she conceded. The Chinese broke her opponents 15 times with a 39% conversion rate. The Chinese conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.

Boulter
R1
Ito
R2
Wang
1/4
Zakharova
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 7-67 6-4 6-4 6-0
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 20 23 16 59
pts 79-66 91-79 58-37 228-182
Total points 145 170 95 410
Winners 34 43 27 104
%Winners 43% 47% 47% 46%
SERVE
Aces 3 5 5 13
Double Faults 3 8 2 13
1st in 42/67 58/95 31/47 131/209
% 1st in 63% 61% 66% 63%
1st pts 34/42 43/58 27/31 104/131
% 1st pts 81% 74% 87% 79%
2nd pts 12/25 18/37 7/16 37/78
% 2nd pts 48% 49% 44% 47%
Breaks
Won 2 3 4 9
Converted 2/9 3/7 4/6 9/22
Converted % 22% 43% 67% 41%
Conceded 3 9 2 14
Saved 3/3 7/9 2/2 12
Saved % 100% 78% 100% 93%
Times Broken 0 2 0 2
Yuan
R1
Halep
R2
Hibino
1/4
Kenin
Total
Score 6-3 6-3 4-6 7-5 6-2 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 2 3 2 7
Tot Games 18 30 18 66
pts 65-51 107-99 64-52 236-202
Total points 116 206 116 438
Winners 27 41 26 94
%Winners 42% 38% 41% 40%
SERVE
Aces 0 2 8 10
Double Faults 0 3 0 3
1st in 37/54 67/97 30/53 134/204
% 1st in 69% 69% 57% 66%
1st pts 27/37 41/67 26/30 94/134
% 1st pts 73% 61% 87% 70%
2nd pts 9/17 10/30 13/23 32/70
% 2nd pts 53% 33% 57% 46%
Breaks
Won 4 8 3 15
Converted 4/11 8/18 3/9 15/38
Converted % 36% 44% 33% 39%
Conceded 2 15 4 21
Saved 1/2 9/15 4/4 14
Saved % 50% 60% 100% 70%
Times Broken 1 6 0 7

Tennis Scores in Hong Kong

Upcoming matches in the draw