Alex De Minaur and Holger Rune will fight against each other in the quarter of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 5^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 4:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.77
Holger Rune -> 2.05

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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Holger Rune

This will be the 5^th time that Alex De Minaur and Holger Rune play each other. The head to head is 2-2 (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they squared off, De Minaur won 6-3 7-6(2) in the semifinal in London back in 2023.

Highlights Alex De Minaur vs Holger Rune – London 24-June-2023

Alex De Minaur

Ranked no. 10, De Minaur got to the quarter after beating Mariano Navone 7-5 6-1, Miomir Kecmanovic 6-4 7-6(5) and Jack Draper 5-7 6-2 6-3.

In the 3^rd round against Draper, Alex recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-2 6-3). During the match, De Minaur scored 89 points vs Draper’s 75. Alex was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Regarding the service games, De Minaur blasted 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Alex De Minaur lost the serve 3 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, De Minaur put 49% of his first serves in, winning 77% (30/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (20/40) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Draper 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alex has dropped 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.

De Minaur has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (365-202). 11-3 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, De Minaur has a compiled 67-38 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Acapulco where he beat Casper Ruud in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Hertogenbosch where he defeated Sebastian Korda in the final 6-2 6-4.

Alex has a compiled 47-15 win-loss record in 2024, 11-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Holger Rune

Ranked no. 13, Rune got to the quarter after defeating Matteo Arnaldi 6-4 6-4, Alexander Bublik 6-4 6-2 and Arthur Cazaux 3-6 6-3 6-4.

In the 3^rd round against Cazaux, Rune recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-4). During the match Rune scored 86 points vs Cazaux’s 81. The Dane was exceptionally aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about serving, Rune blasted 14 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Holger Rune was quite efficient on serve to win 73% (40/55) of his 1st serve and 55% (16/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Holger broke Cazaux 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Rune has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

The Dane’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Brisbane.

Rune has an aggregate 44-22 win-loss record in 2024, 9-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Previously, he won this tournament once in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	De Minaur	Rune
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	7
Tot Games	71	66
Pts	238-192	224-198
Total Points	430	422
Winners	88	103
%Winners	37%	46%

Both De Minaur and Rune played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex De Minaur dropped 1 set, while Holger Rune conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, De Minaur and Rune have played the same amount of sets 7. However, De Minaur played 5 games more than Rune. The Australian scored 88 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Rune recorded 103 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve	De Minaur	Rune
Aces	17	24
Avg per match	5.7	8
1st in	118/225	138/214
%1st in	52%	64%
1st pts	88/118	103/138
%1st pts	75%	75%
2nd pts	57/107	44/76
%2nd pts	53%	58%

De Minaur blasted 17 aces (5.7 per match). Rune fired 24 aces (8 per match). De Minaur won 75% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Rune won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	De Minaur	Rune
Won	14	8
Converted	14/20	8/15
% Converted	70%	53%
Conceded	17	11
Saved	10	9
% Saved	59%	82%
Times Broken	7	2

Alex broke his opponents 14 times with a 70% conversion rate. The Australian dropped his serve 7 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded. Rune broke his opponents 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Dane conceded his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.

De Minaur
	R1 Navone	R2 Kecmanovic	R3 Draper	Total
Score	7-5 6-1	6-4 7-65	5-7 6-2 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	19	23	29	71
pts	68-45	81-72	89-75	238-192
Total points	113	153	164	430
Winners	22	36	30	88
%Winners	32%	44%	34%	37%
SERVE
Aces	7	6	4	17
Double Faults	1	5	1	7
1st in	30/64	49/82	39/79	118/225
% 1st in	47%	60%	49%	52%
1st pts	22/30	36/49	30/39	88/118
% 1st pts	73%	73%	77%	75%
2nd pts	22/34	15/33	20/40	57/107
% 2nd pts	65%	45%	50%	53%
Breaks
Won	4	4	6	14
Converted	4/7	4/4	6/9	14/20
Converted %	57%	100%	67%	70%
Conceded	6	7	4	17
Saved	5/6	4/7	1/4	10
Saved %	83%	57%	25%	55%
Times Broken	1	3	3	7

Rune
	R1 Arnaldi	R2 Bublik	R3 Cazaux	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	6-4 6-2	3-6 6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	20	18	28	66
pts	71-63	67-54	86-81	224-198
Total points	134	121	167	422
Winners	34	29	40	103
%Winners	48%	43%	47%	46%
SERVE
Aces	7	3	14	24
Double Faults	3	1	5	9
1st in	48/77	35/53	55/84	138/214
% 1st in	62%	66%	65%	64%
1st pts	34/48	29/35	40/55	103/138
% 1st pts	71%	83%	73%	75%
2nd pts	18/29	10/18	16/29	44/76
% 2nd pts	62%	56%	55%	58%
Breaks
Won	2	3	3	8
Converted	2/3	3/7	3/5	8/15
Converted %	67%	43%	60%	53%
Conceded	5	2	4	11
Saved	5/5	2/2	2/4	9
Saved %	100%	100%	50%	83%
Times Broken	0	0	2	2

Tennis Scores in Paris

• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (7-5 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Arthur FilsFils (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-2 4-6 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (6-7¹ 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (7-6⁵ 6-4) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jack DraperDraper (5-7 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz (6-1 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Holger RuneRune – Arthur CazauxCazaux (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Holger RuneRune – Arthur CazauxCazaux (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-2 4-6 7-6(5)) – See score progression
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz (6-1 3-6 7-5) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (4-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (5-10) – H2H and prediction
• Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (2-2) – H2H and prediction