Alex De Minaur and Holger Rune will fight against each other in the quarter of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 4:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.77
Holger Rune -> 2.05
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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Holger Rune
This will be the 5th time that Alex De Minaur and Holger Rune play each other. The head to head is 2-2 (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they squared off, De Minaur won 6-3 7-6(2) in the semifinal in London back in 2023.
Highlights Alex De Minaur vs Holger Rune – London 24-June-2023
Alex De Minaur
47 - 16win/loss
9
6
LLLLWWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47-19 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-7 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-10 | 6-5 | 0-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, De Minaur got to the quarter after beating Mariano Navone 7-5 6-1, Miomir Kecmanovic 6-4 7-6(5) and Jack Draper 5-7 6-2 6-3.
In the 3rd round against Draper, Alex recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-2 6-3). During the match, De Minaur scored 89 points vs Draper’s 75. Alex was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, De Minaur blasted 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Alex De Minaur lost the serve 3 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, De Minaur put 49% of his first serves in, winning 77% (30/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (20/40) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Draper 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alex has dropped 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.
De Minaur has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (365-202). 11-3 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, De Minaur has a compiled 67-38 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Acapulco where he beat Casper Ruud in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Hertogenbosch where he defeated Sebastian Korda in the final 6-2 6-4.
Alex has a compiled 47-15 win-loss record in 2024, 11-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
Holger Rune
45 - 22win/loss
13
4
LWWWWLWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45-23 | 21-11 | 11-6 | 10-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 32-16 | 1-3 | 28-11 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, Rune got to the quarter after defeating Matteo Arnaldi 6-4 6-4, Alexander Bublik 6-4 6-2 and Arthur Cazaux 3-6 6-3 6-4.
In the 3rd round against Cazaux, Rune recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-4). During the match Rune scored 86 points vs Cazaux’s 81. The Dane was exceptionally aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about serving, Rune blasted 14 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Holger Rune was quite efficient on serve to win 73% (40/55) of his 1st serve and 55% (16/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Holger broke Cazaux 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rune has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The Dane’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Brisbane.
Rune has an aggregate 44-22 win-loss record in 2024, 9-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | De Minaur | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 71 | 66 |
| Pts | 238-192 | 224-198 |
| Total Points | 430 | 422 |
| Winners | 88 | 103 |
| %Winners | 37% | 46% |
Both De Minaur and Rune played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex De Minaur dropped 1 set, while Holger Rune conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, De Minaur and Rune have played the same amount of sets 7. However, De Minaur played 5 games more than Rune. The Australian scored 88 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Rune recorded 103 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | De Minaur | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 24 |
| Avg per match | 5.7 | 8 |
| 1st in | 118/225 | 138/214 |
| %1st in | 52% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 88/118 | 103/138 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 57/107 | 44/76 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 58% |
De Minaur blasted 17 aces (5.7 per match). Rune fired 24 aces (8 per match). De Minaur won 75% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Rune won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | De Minaur | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 8 |
| Converted | 14/20 | 8/15 |
| % Converted | 70% | 53% |
| Conceded | 17 | 11 |
| Saved | 10 | 9 |
| % Saved | 59% | 82% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 2 |
Alex broke his opponents 14 times with a 70% conversion rate. The Australian dropped his serve 7 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded. Rune broke his opponents 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Dane conceded his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.
| De Minaur | |||||
| R1 Navone |
R2 Kecmanovic |
R3 Draper |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-1 | 6-4 7-65 | 5-7 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 23 | 29 | 71 | |
| pts | 68-45 | 81-72 | 89-75 | 238-192 | |
| Total points | 113 | 153 | 164 | 430 | |
| Winners | 22 | 36 | 30 | 88 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 44% | 34% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 6 | 4 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 30/64 | 49/82 | 39/79 | 118/225 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 60% | 49% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 22/30 | 36/49 | 30/39 | 88/118 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | 77% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/34 | 15/33 | 20/40 | 57/107 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 45% | 50% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/4 | 6/9 | 14/20 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 100% | 67% | 70% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 7 | 4 | 17 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 4/7 | 1/4 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 57% | 25% | 55% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | |
| Rune | |||||
| R1 Arnaldi |
R2 Bublik |
R3 Cazaux |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 18 | 28 | 66 | |
| pts | 71-63 | 67-54 | 86-81 | 224-198 | |
| Total points | 134 | 121 | 167 | 422 | |
| Winners | 34 | 29 | 40 | 103 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 43% | 47% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 3 | 14 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 48/77 | 35/53 | 55/84 | 138/214 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 66% | 65% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 34/48 | 29/35 | 40/55 | 103/138 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 83% | 73% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/29 | 10/18 | 16/29 | 44/76 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 56% | 55% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 3/7 | 3/5 | 8/15 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 43% | 60% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 2/2 | 2/4 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 50% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWWWLWW
LWWWWLWWWL Tennis Scores in Paris
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (7-5 7-65) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Arthur FilsFils (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-2 4-6 7-65) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (6-71 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jack DraperDraper (5-7 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz (6-1 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Arthur CazauxCazaux (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Arthur CazauxCazaux (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-2 4-6 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz (6-1 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (4-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (5-10) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (2-2) – H2H and prediction
