Yue Yuan and Sofia Kenin will clash against each other in the quarter of the Hong Kong Tennis Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 2:00 pm on Centre Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sofia Kenin who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Sofia Kenin is the pick to win this match.
Sofia Kenin -> 1.57
Yue Yuan -> 2.4

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Prediction and head to head Yue Yuan vs. Sofia Kenin

This will be the 2nd time that Yue Yuan and Sofia Kenin face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Yuan (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Yuan won 4-6 6-3 7-6(6) in the semifinal in the W80 Tyler back in 2022.

Yue Yuan

Yue Yuan

31 - 26win/loss

Hard
26-16
I Hard
0-0
Clay
3-6
Grass
2-4
Rank
49
High
36
LWWWLWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 32-27 27-17 3-6 0-0 2-4 0-0
2023 41-29 27-17 8-7 1-2 5-3 0-0
2022 44-25 33-16 9-7 0-0 2-2 0-0
2021 24-17 6-7 3-6 15-4 0-0 0-0
2020 1-4 1-4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 45, Yuan reached the quarter after defeating Simona Halep 6-3 6-3 and Nao Hibino 4-6 7-5 6-2.

In the 2nd round against Hibino, The Chinese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-5 6-2). During the match, Yuan scored 107 points vs Hibino’s 99. Yuan was quite aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Talking about the service games, Yuan blasted 2 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Yue Yuan lost the serve 6 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Yuan put 69% of her first serves in, winning 61% (41/67) of the points behind her 1st serve and 33% (10/30) on the 2nd serve. Yue broke Hibino 8 times after converting 44% of her break points (8/18).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Yue has conceded 1 set in this competition to win 53% of the points she played.

Yuan has a winning win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 58% of her matches (259-185). 26-16 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Yuan has a compiled197-134 match record in the last 9 years on hard.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Austin where she defeated Xiyu Wang in the final 6-4 7-6(4).

Yuan has an overall 31-26 win-loss record in 2024, 26-16 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Hong Kong

Yue has never competed in this tournament before.

Hong Kong
Yuan's Record

Sofia Kenin

Sofia Kenin

16 - 25win/loss

Hard
10-16
I Hard
0-0
Clay
5-6
Grass
1-3
Rank
85
High
4
LWWLWWWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 16-26 10-17 5-6 0-0 1-3 0-0
2023 27-21 17-12 3-4 1-2 6-3 0-0
2022 10-17 7-14 0-0 3-3 0-0 0-0
2021 11-10 7-5 3-4 0-0 1-1 0-0
2020 24-9 12-6 6-2 6-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 88, Kenin got to the quarter after beating Mei Yamaguchi 6-4 6-4 and Jessika Ponchet 7-5 6-4.

In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Ponchet (7-5 6-4). During the match Kenin scored 66 points vs Ponchet’s 56. Kenin was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about serving, Kenin scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Sofia Kenin lost the serve once and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Kenin put 76% of her first serves in, winning 86% (38/44) of the points behind her 1st serve and 29% (4/14) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Ponchet 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sofia hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

The American’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Tokyo.

The American has an aggregate 16-25 win-loss record in 2024, 10-16 on hard (See FULL STATS)

.
Hong Kong
Kenin's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Y.Yuan
S.Kenin
!
4h:01
4h:01
Time on court​
2h:40
2h:40
!
2h:39
2h:39
Last match​
1h:17
1h:17
2
2
Match played
2
2
48
48
Games Played​
42
42
5
5
Set played​​
4
4
172
172
Total points​
135
135
86
86
Avg point​
67.5
67.5
68
68
Winners
68
68
34
34
Avg Winners​
34
34
40%
40%
Ratio winners
50%
50%
-- Serve --
2
2
Aces
7
7
1
1
Avg Aces
3.5
3.5
3
3
Double Faults
3
3
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
1.5
1.5
68/104
68/104
1st won total​
68/88
68/88
65%
65%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
19/47
19/47
2nd won total​
16/32
16/32
40%
40%
2nd won %
50%
50%
-- Break Points --
12/29
12/29
BP won
6/16
6/16
6/14.5
6/14.5
Avg BP won
3/8
3/8
41%
41%
Won
38%
38%
17
17
Conceded
4
4
8.5
8.5
Avg Conceded
2
2
7
7
Broken
2
2
3.5
3.5
Avg Broken
1
1
10
10
Saved
2
2

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Yuan Kenin
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 4
Tot Games 48 42
Pts 172-150 135-116
Total Points 322 251
Winners 68 68
%Winners 40% 50%

Both Yuan and Kenin played 2 matches. At the moment, Yue Yuan surrendered 1 set while Sofia Kenin hasn’t lost a set so far. Yuan has played 1 set more than Kenin (5 vs 4). Therefore, Yuan played 6 games more than Kenin. Yue scored 68 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Kenin scored 68 winners (50%).

Serve Performance

Serve Yuan Kenin
Aces 2 7
Avg per match 1 3.5
1st in 104/151 88/120
%1st in 69% 73%
1st pts 68/104 68/88
%1st pts 65% 77%
2nd pts 19/47 16/32
%2nd pts 40% 50%

Yuan fired 2 aces (1 per match). Kenin bagged 7 aces (3.5 per match). Yuan won 65% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 40% of the points. On the other side, Kenin won 77% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Yuan Kenin
Won 12 6
Converted 12/29 6/16
% Converted 41% 38%
Conceded 17 4
Saved 10 2
% Saved 59% 50%
Times Broken 7 2

Yue broke her opponents 12 times with a 41% conversion rate. Yuan dropped her serve 7 times and she saved 59% of the break points that she conceded. Sofia broke her opponents 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. Kenin conceded her serve twice and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.

Yuan
R1
Halep
R2
Hibino
Total
Score 6-3 6-3 4-6 7-5 6-2
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 18 30 48
pts 65-51 107-99 172-150
Total points 116 206 322
Winners 27 41 68
%Winners 42% 38% 40%
SERVE
Aces 0 2 2
Double Faults 0 3 3
1st in 37/54 67/97 104/151
% 1st in 69% 69% 69%
1st pts 27/37 41/67 68/104
% 1st pts 73% 61% 65%
2nd pts 9/17 10/30 19/47
% 2nd pts 53% 33% 40%
Breaks
Won 4 8 12
Converted 4/11 8/18 12/29
Converted % 36% 44% 41%
Conceded 2 15 17
Saved 1/2 9/15 10
Saved % 50% 60% 55%
Times Broken 1 6 7
Kenin
R1
Yamaguchi
R2
Ponchet
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 7-5 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 20 22 42
pts 69-60 66-56 135-116
Total points 129 122 251
Winners 30 38 68
%Winners 43% 58% 50%
SERVE
Aces 6 1 7
Double Faults 0 3 3
1st in 44/62 44/58 88/120
% 1st in 71% 76% 73%
1st pts 30/44 38/44 68/88
% 1st pts 68% 86% 77%
2nd pts 12/18 4/14 16/32
% 2nd pts 67% 29% 50%
Breaks
Won 3 3 6
Converted 3/11 3/5 6/16
Converted % 27% 60% 38%
Conceded 2 2 4
Saved 1/2 1/2 2
Saved % 50% 50% 50%
Times Broken 1 1 2

Tennis Scores in Hong Kong

Upcoming matches in the draw