Carlos Alcaraz and Ugo Humbert will play each other in the 3rd round of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 7:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.2
Ugo Humbert -> 4.55

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Ugo Humbert

This will be the 3rd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Ugo Humbert fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they locked horns, Alcaraz won 6-3 6-3 in the Rubber 2 in Davis Cup, Group B, Valencia back in September 2024.

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz

52 - 11win/loss

Hard
22-5
I Hard
5-1
Clay
17-4
Grass
8-1
Rank
3
High
1
WLWLLWLWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 54-13 22-5 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 2, the Spaniard got to the 3rd round after beating Nicolas Jarry 7-5 6-1.

In the 2nd round, Carlos had a good straight sets win against Jarry (7-5 6-1). During the match, Alcaraz scored 67 points vs Jarry’s 51. Carlos was pretty aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about the service games, Alcaraz scored 9 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 70% of his first serves in, winning 76% (32/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (9/18) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Jarry 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).

Alcaraz has a fantastic record in the last 7 years having won 80% of his matches (285-73). 5-0 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alcaraz has an aggregate23-10 win-loss record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the year was conquering the title in Indian Wells where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(5) 6-1 and at the French Open where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 2-6 5-7 6-1 6-2 and at the Wimbledon where he beat Novak Djokovic in the final 6-2 6-2 7-6(4) and in Beijing where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 6-7(6) 6-4 7-6(3).

The Spaniard has an overall 52-10 win-loss record in 2024, 5-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Paris
Alcaraz's Record

Ugo Humbert

Ugo Humbert

37 - 23win/loss

Hard
18-9
I Hard
9-3
Clay
5-7
Grass
5-4
Rank
14
High
13
LWWWWWLWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 39-24 18-9 5-7 11-4 5-4 0-0
2023 49-26 17-11 13-5 16-6 3-4 0-0
2022 33-29 16-11 3-7 11-6 3-5 0-0
2021 19-20 6-7 1-6 4-5 8-2 0-0
2020 25-14 11-7 4-3 10-4 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 18, Ugo got to the 3rd round after defeating Brandon Nakashima 6-3 4-6 6-4 and Marcos Giron 6-3 6-2.

In the 2nd round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Giron (6-3 6-2). During the match Humbert scored 59 points vs Giron’s 37. The French player was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.

About the serving games, Humbert blasted 9 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Ugo Humbert was pretty effective on serve to win 77% (24/31) of his 1st serve and 59% (10/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Humbert broke Giron 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ugo has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Marseille where he beat Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-4 6-3 and in Dubai where he defeated Alexander Bublik in the final 6-4 6-3.

Ugo has a compiled 36-23 win-loss record in 2024, 8-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2020. See his history.

Paris
Humbert's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Alcaraz
U.Humbert
1h:30
1h:30
Time on court​
!
3h:03
3h:03
1h:30
1h:30
Last match​
!
0h:59
0h:59
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
19
19
Games Played​
46
46
2
2
Set played​​
5
5
67
67
Total points​
148
148
67
67
Avg point​
74
74
32
32
Winners
67
67
32
32
Avg Winners​
33.5
33.5
48%
48%
Ratio winners
45%
45%
-- Serve --
9
9
Aces
18
18
9
9
Avg Aces
9
9
0
0
Double Faults
1
1
0
0
Avg Double Faults
0.5
0.5
32/42
32/42
1st won total​
67/82
67/82
!
76%
76%
1st won %
!
82%
82%
9/18
9/18
2nd won total​
30/50
30/50
50%
50%
2nd won %
60%
60%
-- Break Points --
4/5
4/5
BP won
6/9
6/9
4/5
4/5
Avg BP won
3/4.5
3/4.5
!
80%
80%
Won
!
67%
67%
6
6
Conceded
4
4
6
6
Avg Conceded
2
2
1
1
Broken
2
2
1
1
Avg Broken
1
1
5
5
Saved
2
2
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Alcaraz Humbert
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 2 5
Tot Games 19 46
Pts 67-51 148-114
Total Points 118 262
Winners 32 67
%Winners 48% 45%

Alcaraz played 1 match while Humbert competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Ugo Humbert conceded 1 set while Carlos Alcaraz hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Alcaraz has played 3 set(s) less than Humbert (2 vs 5). Therefore, Alcaraz played 27 games less than Humbert. Carlos scored 32 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Humbert made 67 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve Alcaraz Humbert
Aces 9 18
Avg per match 9 9
1st in 42/60 82/132
%1st in 70% 62%
1st pts 32/42 67/82
%1st pts 76% 82%
2nd pts 9/18 30/50
%2nd pts 50% 60%

Alcaraz scored 9 aces . Humbert scored 18 aces (9 per match). Alcaraz won 76% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Humbert won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Alcaraz Humbert
Won 4 6
Converted 4/5 6/9
% Converted 80% 67%
Conceded 6 4
Saved 5 2
% Saved 83% 50%
Times Broken 1 2

Carlos broke his opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. The Spaniard dropped his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Humbert broke his opponents 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. Humbert conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
R2
Jarry		 Total
Score 7-5 6-1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 19 19
pts 67-51 67-51
Total points 118 118
Winners 32 32
%Winners 48% 48%
SERVE
Aces 9 9
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 42/60 42/60
% 1st in 70% 70%
1st pts 32/42 32/42
% 1st pts 76% 76%
2nd pts 9/18 9/18
% 2nd pts 50% 50%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/5 4/5
Converted % 80% 80%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 5/6 5
Saved % 83% 83%
Times Broken 1 1
Humbert
R1
Nakashima		 R2
Giron		 Total
Score 6-3 4-6 6-4 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 29 17 46
pts 89-77 59-37 148-114
Total points 166 96 262
Winners 43 24 67
%Winners 48% 41% 45%
SERVE
Aces 9 9 18
Double Faults 1 0 1
1st in 51/84 31/48 82/132
% 1st in 61% 65% 62%
1st pts 43/51 24/31 67/82
% 1st pts 84% 77% 82%
2nd pts 20/33 10/17 30/50
% 2nd pts 61% 59% 60%
Breaks
Won 2 4 6
Converted 2/4 4/5 6/9
Converted % 50% 80% 67%
Conceded 3 1 4
Saved 2/3 0/1 2
Saved % 67% 0% 67%
Times Broken 1 1 2

Tennis Scores in Paris

Upcoming matches in the draw

Alcaraz
More Stats
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Humbert

Click for FULL STATS