Jordan Thompson and Adrian Mannarino will square off in the 3rd round of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 9th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:00 am on COURT CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jordan Thompson who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jordan Thompson is the pick to win this match.
Jordan Thompson -> 1.533
Adrian Mannarino -> 2.49

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Prediction and head to head Jordan Thompson vs. Adrian Mannarino

This will be the 9th time that Jordan Thompson and Adrian Mannarino fight against each other. The head to head is 5-3 for Mannarino (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they locked horns, Thompson won 7-5 6-4 in the 2nd round in Washington back in 2023.

Jordan Thompson

Jordan Thompson

35 - 23win/loss

Hard
23-13
I Hard
5-2
Clay
3-5
Grass
4-3
Rank
26
High
26
LWWWLLWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 35-24 23-13 3-5 5-3 4-3 0-0
2023 41-28 22-15 0-3 7-4 12-6 0-0
2022 40-26 18-14 2-6 8-1 12-5 0-0
2021 23-25 10-11 2-6 0-1 9-5 2-2
2020 12-13 6-6 1-2 5-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 28 (career-high), Jordan reached the 3rd round after beating Pedro Martinez Portero 6-4 6-4 and Casper Ruud 7-6(3) 3-6 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Jordan defeated Ruud (7-63 3-6 6-4). During the match, Thompson scored 94 points vs Ruud’s 91. Thompson was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Regarding the service games, Thompson struck 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Jordan Thompson was pretty efficient on serve to win 74% (37/50) of his 1st serve and 53% (26/49) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 4 times. Jordan broke Ruud 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Australian has dropped 1 set in this event to win 52% of the points he played.

Thompson has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (374-253). 4-2 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Thompson has an overall 40-21 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Los Cabos where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 6-3 7-6(4).

Thompson has an aggregate 34-23 win-loss record in 2024, 4-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Paris
Thompson's Record

Adrian Mannarino

Adrian Mannarino

17 - 32win/loss

Hard
9-17
I Hard
7-5
Clay
0-5
Grass
1-5
Rank
67
High
17
LLWWLLWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 17-33 9-17 0-5 7-6 1-5 0-0
2023 44-29 15-13 2-8 15-4 12-4 0-0
2022 31-32 18-14 1-6 8-7 4-5 0-0
2021 14-26 5-7 0-7 5-8 4-4 0-0
2020 19-17 8-7 0-3 11-7 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 58, Mannarino got to the 3rd round after defeating Tommy Paul 6-3 7-5 and Zizou Bergs 3-6 6-2 6-4.

In the 2nd round against Bergs, The French player recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-2 6-4). During the match Mannarino scored 89 points vs Bergs’s 81. Mannarino was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about serving, Mannarino bagged 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Adrian Mannarino was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 78% (32/41) of his 1st serve and 58% (25/43) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Adrian broke Bergs 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Adrian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

The French player best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Australia and Dallas.

The French player has an aggregate 17-31 win-loss record in 2024, 7-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2020. See his history.

Paris
Mannarino's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Thompson
A.Mannarino
4h:19
4h:19
Time on court​
3h:54
3h:54
!
2h:33
2h:33
Last match​
!
2h:12
2h:12
2
2
Match played
2
2
52
52
Games Played​
48
48
5
5
Set played​​
5
5
163
163
Total points​
159
159
81.5
81.5
Avg point​
79.5
79.5
63
63
Winners
59
59
31.5
31.5
Avg Winners​
29.5
29.5
39%
39%
Ratio winners
37%
37%
-- Serve --
19
19
Aces
9
9
9.5
9.5
Avg Aces
4.5
4.5
2
2
Double Faults
3
3
1
1
Avg Double Faults
1.5
1.5
63/81
63/81
1st won total​
59/82
59/82
!
78%
78%
1st won %
!
72%
72%
47/83
47/83
2nd won total​
35/60
35/60
57%
57%
2nd won %
58%
58%
-- Break Points --
5/9
5/9
BP won
8/23
8/23
2.5/4.5
2.5/4.5
Avg BP won
4/11.5
4/11.5
!
56%
56%
Won
35%
35%
9
9
Conceded
10
10
4.5
4.5
Avg Conceded
5
5
4
4
Broken
4
4
2
2
Avg Broken
2
2
5
5
Saved
6
6

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Thompson Mannarino
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 5
Tot Games 52 48
Pts 163-149 159-138
Total Points 312 297
Winners 63 59
%Winners 39% 37%

Both Thompson and Mannarino played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jordan Thompson dropped 1 set, while Adrian Mannarino dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Thompson and Mannarino have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Thompson played 4 games more than Mannarino. The Australian scored 63 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The French player bagged 59 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve Thompson Mannarino
Aces 19 9
Avg per match 9.5 4.5
1st in 81/164 82/142
%1st in 49% 58%
1st pts 63/81 59/82
%1st pts 78% 72%
2nd pts 47/83 35/60
%2nd pts 57% 58%

Thompson made 19 aces (9.5 per match). Mannarino fired 9 aces (4.5 per match). Thompson won 78% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Mannarino won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Thompson Mannarino
Won 5 8
Converted 5/9 8/23
% Converted 56% 35%
Conceded 9 10
Saved 5 6
% Saved 56% 60%
Times Broken 4 4

Thompson broke his opponents 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Thompson dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Mannarino broke his opponents 8 times with a 35% conversion rate. Mannarino conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

Thompson
R1
Martinez Portero
R2
Ruud
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 7-63 3-6 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 20 32 52
pts 69-58 94-91 163-149
Total points 127 185 312
Winners 26 37 63
%Winners 38% 39% 39%
SERVE
Aces 9 10 19
Double Faults 1 1 2
1st in 31/65 50/99 81/164
% 1st in 48% 51% 49%
1st pts 26/31 37/50 63/81
% 1st pts 84% 74% 78%
2nd pts 21/34 26/49 47/83
% 2nd pts 62% 53% 57%
Breaks
Won 2 3 5
Converted 2/5 3/4 5/9
Converted % 40% 75% 56%
Conceded 3 6 9
Saved 3/3 2/6 5
Saved % 100% 33% 67%
Times Broken 0 4 4
Mannarino
R1
Paul
R2
Bergs
Total
Score 6-3 7-5 3-6 6-2 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 21 27 48
pts 70-57 89-81 159-138
Total points 127 170 297
Winners 27 32 59
%Winners 39% 36% 37%
SERVE
Aces 4 5 9
Double Faults 0 3 3
1st in 41/58 41/84 82/142
% 1st in 71% 49% 58%
1st pts 27/41 32/41 59/82
% 1st pts 66% 78% 72%
2nd pts 10/17 25/43 35/60
% 2nd pts 59% 58% 58%
Breaks
Won 5 3 8
Converted 5/11 3/12 8/23
Converted % 45% 25% 35%
Conceded 4 6 10
Saved 2/4 4/6 6
Saved % 50% 67% 59%
Times Broken 2 2 4

Tennis Scores in Paris

Upcoming matches in the draw