Karen Khachanov and Alexei Popyrin will play each other in the 3rd round of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:30 pm on COURT 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karen Khachanov who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Karen Khachanov is the pick to win this match.
Karen Khachanov -> 1.6
Alexei Popyrin -> 2.34

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Prediction and head to head Karen Khachanov vs. Alexei Popyrin

This will be the 5th time that Karen Khachanov and Alexei Popyrin square off. The head to head is 3-1 for Khachanov (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they fought against each other, Khachanov won 7-6(12) 6-2 in the semifinal in Doha back in February 2024.

Highlights Karen Khachanov vs Alexei Popyrin – Doha 23-February-2024

Karen Khachanov

Karen Khachanov

35 - 21win/loss

Hard
14-12
I Hard
12-2
Clay
8-4
Grass
1-3
Rank
21
High
8
WWLWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 35-21 14-12 8-4 12-2 1-3 0-0
2023 34-18 18-10 10-5 6-3 0-0 0-0
2022 36-25 17-11 9-7 6-5 4-2 0-0
2021 35-24 17-9 5-6 8-6 5-3 0-0
2020 20-15 12-6 4-3 4-6 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 21, the Russian got to the 3rd round after beating Christopher O Connell 6-4 3-6 7-6(6) and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 6-7(12) 6-1 6-4.

In the 2nd round against Mpetshi Perricard, Karen recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-712 6-1 6-4). During the match, Khachanov scored 99 points vs Mpetshi Perricard’s 74. Karen was quite aggressive to blast 52 winners.

Regarding the service games, Khachanov recorded 6 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Karen Khachanov was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 93% (52/56) of his 1st serve and 76% (19/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Karen was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Mpetshi Perricard 3 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Khachanov has dropped 2 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Khachanov has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (371-237). 12-2 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Khachanov has a composed 100-62 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Doha where he defeated Jakub Mensik in the final 7-6(12) 6-4 and in Almaty where he overcame Gabriel Diallo in the final 6-2 5-7 6-3.

The Russian has a composed 35-21 win-loss record in 2024, 12-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Paris
Khachanov's Record

Alexei Popyrin

Alexei Popyrin

30 - 21win/loss

Hard
17-8
I Hard
4-2
Clay
4-8
Grass
5-3
Rank
24
High
23
WWLLWLWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 30-21 17-8 4-8 4-2 5-3 0-0
2023 36-29 18-14 15-6 1-4 2-5 0-0
2022 24-31 7-16 7-4 3-5 7-6 0-0
2021 32-26 13-11 8-6 10-5 1-4 0-0
2020 14-16 3-4 5-5 4-6 0-0 2-1

Ranked no. 24, the Australian got to the 3rd round after beating Matteo Berrettini 7-5 7-6(2) and Daniil Medvedev 6-4 2-6 7-6(4).

In the 2nd round, The Australian defeated Medvedev (6-4 2-6 7-64).During the match Popyrin scored less points (3) than Medvedev. In fact, the world no. 21 won 107 points vs Medvedev’s. That means that Popyrin was more focused during the important points. Popyrin was extremely aggressive to blast 54 winners.

Talking about serving, Popyrin struck 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alexei Popyrin lost the serve 4 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Popyrin put 66% of his first serves in, winning 70% (54/77) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (16/39) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Medvedev 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Australian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Montreal where he overcame Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-4.

Alexei has an aggregate 30-21 win-loss record in 2024, 4-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2021. See his history.

Paris
Popyrin's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

K.Khachanov
A.Popyrin
4h:16
4h:16
Time on court​
4h:26
4h:26
1h:54
1h:54
Last match​
!
2h:30
2h:30
2
2
Match played
2
2
62
62
Games Played​
56
56
6
6
Set played​​
5
5
192
192
Total points​
195
195
96
96
Avg point​
97.5
97.5
100
100
Winners
96
96
50
50
Avg Winners​
48
48
52%
52%
Ratio winners
49%
49%
-- Serve --
16
16
Aces
16
16
8
8
Avg Aces
8
8
3
3
Double Faults
4
4
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
2
2
100/116
100/116
1st won total​
96/130
96/130
!
86%
86%
1st won %
!
74%
74%
36/63
36/63
2nd won total​
34/72
34/72
57%
57%
2nd won %
47%
47%
-- Break Points --
5/9
5/9
BP won
5/23
5/23
2.5/4.5
2.5/4.5
Avg BP won
2.5/11.5
2.5/11.5
!
56%
56%
Won
!
22%
22%
7
7
Conceded
19
19
3.5
3.5
Avg Conceded
9.5
9.5
2
2
Broken
5
5
1
1
Avg Broken
2.5
2.5
5
5
Saved
14
14

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Khachanov Popyrin
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 6 5
Tot Games 62 56
Pts 192-173 195-188
Total Points 365 383
Winners 100 96
%Winners 52% 49%

Both Khachanov and Popyrin played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Karen Khachanov dropped 2 sets, while Alexei Popyrin surrendered 1 set. Khachanov has played 1 set more than Popyrin (6 vs 5). Therefore, Khachanov played 6 games more than Popyrin. The Russian scored 100 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, Popyrin struck 96 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve Khachanov Popyrin
Aces 16 16
Avg per match 8 8
1st in 116/179 130/202
%1st in 65% 64%
1st pts 100/116 96/130
%1st pts 86% 74%
2nd pts 36/63 34/72
%2nd pts 57% 47%

Khachanov blasted 16 aces (8 per match). Popyrin made 16 aces (8 per match). Khachanov won 86% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Popyrin won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Khachanov Popyrin
Won 5 5
Converted 5/9 5/23
% Converted 56% 22%
Conceded 7 19
Saved 5 14
% Saved 71% 74%
Times Broken 2 5

Khachanov broke his opponents 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Russian dropped his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Alexei broke his opponents 5 times with a 22% conversion rate. Alexei conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded.

Khachanov
R1
O
R2
Mpetshi
Total
Score 6-4 3-6 7-66 6-712 6-1 6-4
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 32 30 62
pts 93-99 99-74 192-173
Total points 192 173 365
Winners 48 52 100
%Winners 52% 53% 52%
SERVE
Aces 10 6 16
Double Faults 3 0 3
1st in 60/98 56/81 116/179
% 1st in 61% 69% 65%
1st pts 48/60 52/56 100/116
% 1st pts 80% 93% 86%
2nd pts 17/38 19/25 36/63
% 2nd pts 45% 76% 57%
Breaks
Won 2 3 5
Converted 2/6 3/3 5/9
Converted % 33% 100% 56%
Conceded 7 0 7
Saved 5/7 0/0 5
Saved % 71% 36%
Times Broken 2 0 2
Popyrin
R1
Berrettini
R2
Medvedev
Total
Score 7-5 7-62 6-4 2-6 7-64
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 25 31 56
pts 88-78 107-110 195-188
Total points 166 217 383
Winners 42 54 96
%Winners 48% 50% 49%
SERVE
Aces 11 5 16
Double Faults 2 2 4
1st in 53/86 77/116 130/202
% 1st in 62% 66% 64%
1st pts 42/53 54/77 96/130
% 1st pts 79% 70% 74%
2nd pts 18/33 16/39 34/72
% 2nd pts 55% 41% 47%
Breaks
Won 2 3 5
Converted 2/13 3/10 5/23
Converted % 15% 30% 22%
Conceded 6 13 19
Saved 5/6 9/13 14
Saved % 83% 69% 76%
Times Broken 1 4 5

Tennis Scores in Paris

Upcoming matches in the draw