Karen Khachanov and Alexei Popyrin will play each other in the 3rd round of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:30 pm on COURT 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karen Khachanov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Karen Khachanov is the pick to win this match.
Karen Khachanov -> 1.6
Alexei Popyrin -> 2.34
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Karen Khachanov vs. Alexei Popyrin
This will be the 5th time that Karen Khachanov and Alexei Popyrin square off. The head to head is 3-1 for Khachanov (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they fought against each other, Khachanov won 7-6(12) 6-2 in the semifinal in Doha back in February 2024.
Highlights Karen Khachanov vs Alexei Popyrin – Doha 23-February-2024
Karen Khachanov
36 - 21win/loss
19
8
LWWWWLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-22 | 14-12 | 8-4 | 14-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-18 | 18-10 | 10-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-25 | 17-11 | 9-7 | 6-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-24 | 17-9 | 5-6 | 8-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-15 | 12-6 | 4-3 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21, the Russian got to the 3rd round after beating Christopher O Connell 6-4 3-6 7-6(6) and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 6-7(12) 6-1 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Mpetshi Perricard, Karen recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-712 6-1 6-4). During the match, Khachanov scored 99 points vs Mpetshi Perricard’s 74. Karen was quite aggressive to blast 52 winners.
Regarding the service games, Khachanov recorded 6 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Karen Khachanov was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 93% (52/56) of his 1st serve and 76% (19/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Karen was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Mpetshi Perricard 3 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Khachanov has dropped 2 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Khachanov has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (371-237). 12-2 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Khachanov has a composed 100-62 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Doha where he defeated Jakub Mensik in the final 7-6(12) 6-4 and in Almaty where he overcame Gabriel Diallo in the final 6-2 5-7 6-3.
The Russian has a composed 35-21 win-loss record in 2024, 12-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
Alexei Popyrin
30 - 22win/loss
24
23
LWWLLWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-22 | 17-8 | 4-8 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-29 | 18-14 | 15-6 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-31 | 7-16 | 7-4 | 3-5 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-26 | 13-11 | 8-6 | 10-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-16 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 24, the Australian got to the 3rd round after beating Matteo Berrettini 7-5 7-6(2) and Daniil Medvedev 6-4 2-6 7-6(4).
In the 2nd round, The Australian defeated Medvedev (6-4 2-6 7-64).During the match Popyrin scored less points (3) than Medvedev. In fact, the world no. 21 won 107 points vs Medvedev’s. That means that Popyrin was more focused during the important points. Popyrin was extremely aggressive to blast 54 winners.
Talking about serving, Popyrin struck 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alexei Popyrin lost the serve 4 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Popyrin put 66% of his first serves in, winning 70% (54/77) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (16/39) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Medvedev 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Australian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Montreal where he overcame Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-4.
Alexei has an aggregate 30-21 win-loss record in 2024, 4-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Khachanov | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 62 | 56 |
| Pts | 192-173 | 195-188 |
| Total Points | 365 | 383 |
| Winners | 100 | 96 |
| %Winners | 52% | 49% |
Both Khachanov and Popyrin played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Karen Khachanov dropped 2 sets, while Alexei Popyrin surrendered 1 set. Khachanov has played 1 set more than Popyrin (6 vs 5). Therefore, Khachanov played 6 games more than Popyrin. The Russian scored 100 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, Popyrin struck 96 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Khachanov | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 8 |
| 1st in | 116/179 | 130/202 |
| %1st in | 65% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 100/116 | 96/130 |
| %1st pts | 86% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 36/63 | 34/72 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 47% |
Khachanov blasted 16 aces (8 per match). Popyrin made 16 aces (8 per match). Khachanov won 86% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Popyrin won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Khachanov | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/23 |
| % Converted | 56% | 22% |
| Conceded | 7 | 19 |
| Saved | 5 | 14 |
| % Saved | 71% | 74% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 |
Khachanov broke his opponents 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Russian dropped his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Alexei broke his opponents 5 times with a 22% conversion rate. Alexei conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded.
| Khachanov | ||||
| R1 O |
R2 Mpetshi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 3-6 7-66 | 6-712 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 30 | 62 | |
| pts | 93-99 | 99-74 | 192-173 | |
| Total points | 192 | 173 | 365 | |
| Winners | 48 | 52 | 100 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 53% | 52% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 10 | 6 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 60/98 | 56/81 | 116/179 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 69% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 48/60 | 52/56 | 100/116 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 93% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/38 | 19/25 | 36/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 76% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 3/3 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 100% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 0 | 7 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 0/0 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 71% | – | 36% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Popyrin | ||||
| R1 Berrettini |
R2 Medvedev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-62 | 6-4 2-6 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 31 | 56 | |
| pts | 88-78 | 107-110 | 195-188 | |
| Total points | 166 | 217 | 383 | |
| Winners | 42 | 54 | 96 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 50% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 11 | 5 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 53/86 | 77/116 | 130/202 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 66% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 42/53 | 54/77 | 96/130 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 70% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/33 | 16/39 | 34/72 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 41% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/13 | 3/10 | 5/23 | |
| Converted % | 15% | 30% | 22% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 13 | 19 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 9/13 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 69% | 76% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLWWWW
LWWLLWLWWL Tennis Scores in Paris
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-79 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (7-62 6-3) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Alexander BublikBublik (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Arthur CazauxCazaux – Ben SheltonShelton (6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Marcos GironGiron (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-4 2-6 7-64) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Taylor FritzFritz (7-66 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (7-66 7-67) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard (6-712 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Zizou BergsBergs (3-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Arthur FilsFils – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Andrey RublevRublev (7-66 7-65) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Casper RuudRuud (7-63 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden – Marcelo Melo/Alexander ZverevMelo/Alexander Zverev (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Nicolas JarryJarry (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Arthur CazauxCazaux – Ben SheltonShelton (6-3 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (7-6(6) 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (7-6(2) 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (3-5) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jack DraperDraper (3-1) – H2H and prediction
