Alex De Minaur and Jack Draper will play each other in the 3^rd round of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 5^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 4:00 pm on COURT 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jack Draper who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jack Draper is the pick to win this match.
Jack Draper -> 1.67
Alex De Minaur -> 2.2

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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Jack Draper

This will be the 5^th time that Alex De Minaur and Jack Draper face off. The head to head is 3-1 for De Minaur (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they played each other, Draper won 6-3 7-5 6-2 in the quarter in at the U.S. Open back in September 2024.

Highlights Jack Draper vs Alex De Minaur – U.S. Open 04-September-2024

Alex De Minaur

Ranked no. 10, the Australian got to the 3^rd round after defeating Mariano Navone 7-5 6-1 and Miomir Kecmanovic 6-4 7-6(5).

In the 2^nd round, De Minaur had a good straight sets win against Kecmanovic (6-4 7-6⁵). During the match, De Minaur scored 81 points vs Kecmanovic’s 72. The Australian was very aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Regarding the service games, De Minaur made 6 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Alex De Minaur lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, De Minaur put 60% of his first serves in, winning 73% (36/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (15/33) on the 2nd serve. Alex was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Kecmanovic 4 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

De Minaur hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points he played.

De Minaur has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (364-202). 10-3 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, De Minaur has a compiled 66-38 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Acapulco where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Hertogenbosch where he defeated Sebastian Korda in the final 6-2 6-4.

The Australian has a composed 46-15 win-loss record in 2024, 10-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Jack Draper

Ranked no. 15 (career-high), the Brit got to the 3^rd round after defeating Jiri Lehecka 7-5 6-2 and Taylor Fritz 7-6(6) 4-6 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, The Brit defeated Fritz (7-6⁶ 4-6 6-4). During the match Draper scored 106 points vs Fritz’s 104. The Brit was pretty aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about serving, Draper bagged 14 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Jack Draper was pretty efficient on serve to win 77% (40/52) of his 1st serve and 61% (23/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Draper broke Fritz twice after converting 20% of his break points (2/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Brit has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Stuttgart where he defeated Matteo Berrettini in the final 3-6 7-6(5) 6-4 and in Vienna where he overcame Karen Khachanov in the final 6-4 7-5.

The Brit has a compiled 39-21 win-loss record in 2024, 7-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	De Minaur	Draper
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	5
Tot Games	42	53
Pts	149-117	167-147
Total Points	266	314
Winners	58	65
%Winners	39%	39%

Both De Minaur and Draper played 2 matches. At the moment, Jack Draper conceded 1 set while Alex De Minaur hasn’t conceded a set so far. De Minaur has played 1 set(s) less than Draper (4 vs 5). Therefore, De Minaur played 11 games less than Draper. De Minaur scored 58 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit struck 65 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	De Minaur	Draper
Aces	13	20
Avg per match	6.5	10
1st in	79/146	78/139
%1st in	54%	56%
1st pts	58/79	65/78
%1st pts	73%	83%
2nd pts	37/67	38/61
%2nd pts	55%	62%

De Minaur scored 13 aces (6.5 per match). Draper struck 20 aces (10 per match). De Minaur won 73% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Draper won 83% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	De Minaur	Draper
Won	8	5
Converted	8/11	5/17
% Converted	73%	29%
Conceded	13	2
Saved	9	0
% Saved	69%	0%
Times Broken	4	2

The Australian broke his opponents 8 times with a 73% conversion rate. The Australian surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. Draper broke his opponents 5 times with a 29% conversion rate. Jack conceded his serve twice and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.

De Minaur
	R1 Navone	R2 Kecmanovic	Total
Score	7-5 6-1	6-4 7-65
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	19	23	42
pts	68-45	81-72	149-117
Total points	113	153	266
Winners	22	36	58
%Winners	32%	44%	39%
SERVE
Aces	7	6	13
Double Faults	1	5	6
1st in	30/64	49/82	79/146
% 1st in	47%	60%	54%
1st pts	22/30	36/49	58/79
% 1st pts	73%	73%	73%
2nd pts	22/34	15/33	37/67
% 2nd pts	65%	45%	55%
Breaks
Won	4	4	8
Converted	4/7	4/4	8/11
Converted %	57%	100%	73%
Conceded	6	7	13
Saved	5/6	4/7	9
Saved %	83%	57%	70%
Times Broken	1	3	4

Draper
	R1 Lehecka	R2 Fritz	Total
Score	7-5 6-2	7-66 4-6 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	20	33	53
pts	61-43	106-104	167-147
Total points	104	210	314
Winners	25	40	65
%Winners	41%	38%	39%
SERVE
Aces	6	14	20
Double Faults	4	3	7
1st in	26/49	52/90	78/139
% 1st in	53%	58%	56%
1st pts	25/26	40/52	65/78
% 1st pts	96%	77%	83%
2nd pts	15/23	23/38	38/61
% 2nd pts	65%	61%	62%
Breaks
Won	3	2	5
Converted	3/7	2/10	5/17
Converted %	43%	20%	29%
Conceded	0	2	2
Saved	0/0	0/2	0
Saved %	–	0%	0%
Times Broken	0	2	2

Tennis Scores in Paris

• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard (6-7¹² 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-4 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Marcos GironGiron (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-4 2-6 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Taylor FritzFritz (7-6⁶ 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Arthur CazauxCazaux – Ben SheltonShelton (6-3 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-7⁹ 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Zizou BergsBergs (3-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Arthur FilsFils – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (7-6⁶ 7-6⁷) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (7-6² 6-3) – See score progression
• Holger RuneRune – Alexander BublikBublik (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Casper RuudRuud (7-6³ 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Nicolas JarryJarry (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden – Marcelo Melo/Alexander ZverevMelo/Alexander Zverev (6-4 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Andrey RublevRublev (7-6⁶ 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Arthur CazauxCazaux – Ben SheltonShelton (6-3 7-6(4)) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (7-6(6) 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (7-6(2) 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (3-5) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (3-1) – H2H and prediction
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jack DraperDraper (3-1) – H2H and prediction