Holger Rune and Arthur Cazaux will face off in the 3rd round of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 6:30 pm on COURT 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.4
Arthur Cazaux -> 2.95

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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Arthur Cazaux

This will be the 2nd time that Holger Rune and Arthur Cazaux square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Cazaux (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they fought against each other, Cazaux won 7-6(4) 6-4 4-6 6-3 in the 2nd round in at the Australian Open back in January 2024.

Highlights Arthur Cazaux vs Holger Rune – Australian Open 18-January-2024

Holger Rune

Holger Rune

43 - 22win/loss

Hard
21-11
I Hard
8-3
Clay
11-6
Grass
3-2
Rank
13
High
4
WWLWWWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 43-22 21-11 11-6 8-3 3-2 0-0
2023 44-24 10-10 16-4 11-8 7-2 0-0
2022 50-27 8-9 21-11 21-4 0-3 0-0
2021 73-29 11-5 41-17 21-7 0-0 0-0
2020 32-16 1-3 28-11 3-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 13, Holger got to the 3rd round after defeating Matteo Arnaldi 6-4 6-4 and Alexander Bublik 6-4 6-2.

In the 2nd round, Rune had a good straight sets win against Bublik (6-4 6-2). During the match, Rune scored 67 points vs Bublik’s 54. The Dane was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rune blasted 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Holger Rune was extremely efficient on serve to win 83% (29/35) of his 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Holger broke Bublik 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Holger hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to win 54% of the points he played.

Rune has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 66% of his matches (249-128). 8-3 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rune has an aggregate66-25 record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.

The Dane’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Brisbane.

Rune has a composed 43-22 win-loss record in 2024, 8-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Paris
Rune's Record

Arthur Cazaux

Arthur Cazaux

29 - 23win/loss

Hard
25-15
I Hard
3-2
Clay
0-2
Grass
1-4
Rank
85
High
74
WLWLWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 29-23 25-15 0-2 3-2 1-4 0-0
2023 54-29 31-13 11-9 3-4 9-3 0-0
2022 22-14 14-3 4-7 4-4 0-0 0-0
2021 45-19 16-4 22-11 7-4 0-0 0-0
2020 14-11 9-3 3-6 0-2 0-0 2-0

Ranked no. 85, Cazaux got to the 3rd round after beating David Goffin 6-1 6-7(5) 6-1, Unknown Player bye and Ben Shelton 6-3 7-6(4).

In the 2nd round, Cazaux had a good straight sets win against Shelton (6-3 7-64). During the match Cazaux scored 63 points vs Shelton’s 51. The French player was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.

About the serving games, Cazaux bagged 9 aces and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Arthur Cazaux was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 90% (36/40) of his 1st serve and 70% (14/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Cazaux was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Shelton once.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Arthur started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Noumea Challenger where he defeated Enzo Couacaud in the final 6-1 6-1.

Arthur has an overall 29-23 win-loss record in 2024, 3-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2020 and 2023. See his history

.
Paris
Cazaux's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

H.Rune
A.Cazaux
2h:40
2h:40
Time on court​
3h:32
3h:32
1h:11
1h:11
Last match​
1h:21
1h:21
2
2
Match played
!
3
3
38
38
Games Played​
80
80
4
4
Set played​​
8
8
138
138
Total points​
166
166
69
69
Avg point​
55.3
55.3
63
63
Winners
76
76
31.5
31.5
Avg Winners​
25.3
25.3
46%
46%
Ratio winners
46%
46%
-- Serve --
10
10
Aces
26
26
5
5
Avg Aces
8.7
8.7
4
4
Double Faults
3
3
2
2
Avg Double Faults
1
1
63/83
63/83
1st won total​
76/95
76/95
!
76%
76%
1st won %
!
80%
80%
28/47
28/47
2nd won total​
34/58
34/58
60%
60%
2nd won %
59%
59%
-- Break Points --
5/10
5/10
BP won
7/12
7/12
2.5/5
2.5/5
Avg BP won
2.3/4
2.3/4
50%
50%
Won
!
58%
58%
7
7
Conceded
7
7
3.5
3.5
Avg Conceded
2.3
2.3
0
0
Broken
2
2
!
0
0
Avg Broken
!
0.7
0.7
7
7
Saved
5
5

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Rune Cazaux
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 5
Tot Games 38 49
Pts 138-117 166-124
Total Points 255 290
Winners 63 76
%Winners 46% 46%

Both Rune and Cazaux played 2 matches. At the moment, Arthur Cazaux dropped 1 set while Holger Rune hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Rune has played 1 set(s) less than Cazaux (4 vs 5). Therefore, Rune played 11 games less than Cazaux. The Dane scored 63 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Arthur managed to score 76 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve Rune Cazaux
Aces 10 26
Avg per match 5 13
1st in 83/130 95/153
%1st in 64% 62%
1st pts 63/83 76/95
%1st pts 76% 80%
2nd pts 28/47 34/58
%2nd pts 60% 59%

Rune recorded 10 aces (5 per match). Cazaux fired 26 aces (13 per match). Rune won 76% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Cazaux won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Rune Cazaux
Won 5 7
Converted 5/10 7/12
% Converted 50% 58%
Conceded 7 7
Saved 7 5
% Saved 100% 71%
Times Broken 0 2

Rune broke his opponents 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Dane was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 7 break points. Cazaux broke his opponents 7 times with a 58% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Rune
R1
Arnaldi
R2
Bublik
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 20 18 38
pts 71-63 67-54 138-117
Total points 134 121 255
Winners 34 29 63
%Winners 48% 43% 46%
SERVE
Aces 7 3 10
Double Faults 3 1 4
1st in 48/77 35/53 83/130
% 1st in 62% 66% 64%
1st pts 34/48 29/35 63/83
% 1st pts 71% 83% 76%
2nd pts 18/29 10/18 28/47
% 2nd pts 62% 56% 60%
Breaks
Won 2 3 5
Converted 2/3 3/7 5/10
Converted % 67% 43% 50%
Conceded 5 2 7
Saved 5/5 2/2 7
Saved % 100% 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0 0
Cazaux
Q1
Goffin
Q3
Fognini
R2
Shelton
Total
Score 6-1 6-75 6-1 7-64 4-6 6-2 6-3 7-64
Tot Set 3 3 2 8
Tot Games 27 31 22 80
pts 103-73 63-51 166-124
Total points 176 0 114 290
Winners 40 36 76
%Winners 39% 0% 57% 46%
SERVE
Aces 17 0 9 26
Double Faults 3 0 3
1st in 55/93 / 40/60 95/153
% 1st in 59% 0% 67% 62%
1st pts 40/55 / 36/40 76/95
% 1st pts 73% 0% 90% 80%
2nd pts 20/38 / 14/20 34/58
% 2nd pts 53% 0% 70% 59%
Breaks
Won 6 1 7
Converted 6/11 / 1/1 7/12
Converted % 55% 0% 100% 58%
Conceded 6 1 7
Saved 4/6 0/ 1/1 5
Saved % 67% 100% 84%
Times Broken 2 0 2

Tennis Scores in Paris

Upcoming matches in the draw