Holger Rune and Alexander Bublik will face off in the 2^nd round of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 4:00 pm on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.28
Alexander Bublik -> 3.68

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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Alexander Bublik

This will be the 3^rd time that Holger Rune and Alexander Bublik face off. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they squared off, Rune won 6-1 4-6 7-6(9) in the 2^nd round in Madrid back in 2023.

Highlights Holger Rune vs Alexander Bublik – Madrid 28-April-2023

Holger Rune

Ranked no. 13, the Dane reached the 2^nd round after defeating Matteo Arnaldi 6-4 6-4.

In the 1^st round, Rune had a good straight sets win against Arnaldi (6-4 6-4). During the match, Rune scored 71 points vs Arnaldi’s 63. The Dane was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rune fired 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Holger Rune was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 71% (34/48) of his 1st serve and 62% (18/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Holger broke Arnaldi twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).

Rune has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 66% of his matches (248-128). 7-3 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rune has an overall65-25 win-loss record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.

Holger’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Brisbane.

The Dane has an overall 42-22 win-loss record in 2024, 7-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Alexander Bublik

Ranked no. 33, Alexander reached the 2^nd round after beating Fabio Fognini 7-5 7-5.

In the 1^st round, Alexander had a good straight sets win against Fognini (7-5 7-5). During the match Bublik scored 77 points vs Fognini’s 61. Alexander was quite aggressive to blast 35 winners.

About the serving games, Bublik struck 15 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Alexander Bublik lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Bublik put 57% of his first serves in, winning 88% (35/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (15/30) on the 2nd serve. Bublik broke Fognini 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

His best result of the year was winning the title in Montpellier where he defeated Borna Coric in the final 5-7 6-2 6-3.

Bublik has an overall 25-24 win-loss record in 2024, 6-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rune	Bublik
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	20	24
Pts	71-63	77-61
Total Points	134	138
Winners	34	35
%Winners	48%	45%

Both Rune and Bublik played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Rune and Bublik have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Rune played 4 games less than Bublik. Rune scored 34 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, The Kazakhstani fired 35 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rune	Bublik
Aces	7	15
Avg per match	7	15
1st in	48/77	40/70
%1st in	62%	57%
1st pts	34/48	35/40
%1st pts	71%	88%
2nd pts	18/29	15/30
%2nd pts	62%	50%

Rune fired 7 aces . Bublik managed to score 15 aces . Rune won 71% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Bublik won 88% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rune	Bublik
Won	2	3
Converted	2/3	3/5
% Converted	67%	60%
Conceded	5	3
Saved	5	2
% Saved	100%	67%
Times Broken	0	1

Holger broke his opponent twice with a 67% conversion rate. Rune very solid his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 5 break points. Bublik broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Bublik conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Rune
	R1 Arnaldi	Total
Score	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	20	20
pts	71-63	71-63
Total points	134	134
Winners	34	34
%Winners	48%	48%
SERVE
Aces	7	7
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	48/77	48/77
% 1st in	62%	62%
1st pts	34/48	34/48
% 1st pts	71%	71%
2nd pts	18/29	18/29
% 2nd pts	62%	62%
Breaks
Won	2	2
Converted	2/3	2/3
Converted %	67%	67%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	5/5	5
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Bublik
	R1 Fognini	Total
Score	7-5 7-5
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	24	24
pts	77-61	77-61
Total points	138	138
Winners	35	35
%Winners	45%	45%
SERVE
Aces	15	15
Double Faults	7	7
1st in	40/70	40/70
% 1st in	57%	57%
1st pts	35/40	35/40
% 1st pts	88%	88%
2nd pts	15/30	15/30
% 2nd pts	50%	50%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/5	3/5
Converted %	60%	60%
Conceded	3	3
Saved	2/3	2
Saved %	67%	67%
Times Broken	1	1

Tennis Scores in Paris

• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden – Marcelo Melo/Alexander ZverevMelo/Alexander Zverev (6-4 7-6⁵) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Casper RuudRuud (7-6³ 3-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Andrey RublevRublev (7-6⁶ 7-6⁵) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Nicolas JarryJarry (7-5 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (5-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander BublikBublik – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Zizou BergsBergs – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Marcos GironGiron (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jack DraperDraper – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (1-2) – H2H and prediction