Federico Coria and Mariano Kestelboim will square off in the 2nd round of the Guayaquil Challenger for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 12:30 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Federico Coria who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Federico Coria is the pick to win this match.
Federico Coria -> 1.22
Mariano Kestelboim -> 3.92
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Prediction and head to head Federico Coria vs. Mariano Kestelboim
This will be the 5th time that Federico Coria and Mariano Kestelboim clash against each other. The head to head is 4-0 for Coria (see full H2H stats), 4-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Coria won 6-3 6-3 in the quarter in Argentina F5 back in 2016.
Federico Coria
37 - 31win/loss
99
49
LWWWLWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-34 | 0-3 | 43-30 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-29 | 3-8 | 35-20 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-32 | 2-5 | 39-26 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-31 | 2-7 | 40-20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-22 | 3-5 | 15-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 104, Federico got to the 2nd round after beating Nicolas Kicker 7-6(5) 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Kicker (7-65 6-4). During the match, Coria scored 85 points vs Kicker’s 76. Coria was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Coria scored just 1 ace throughout the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Federico Coria lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Coria put 64% of his first serves in, winning 63% (29/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (14/26) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Kicker 5 times after converting 33% of his break points (5/15).
Coria has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (439-288). 36-27 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Coria has an overall 423-239 match record in the last years on clay.
Coria’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Piracicaba Challenger and the Buenos Aires Challenger.
The Argentine has a compiled 36-31 win-loss record in 2024, 36-27 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Guayaquil Challenger
Mariano Kestelboim
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-19 | 0-0 | 30-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 20-11 | 2-1 | 18-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 15-14 | 0-0 | 15-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-23 | 1-4 | 21-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-10 | 2-2 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 543, Kestelboim got to the 2nd round after defeating Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros 6-3 6-3, Conner Huertas Del Pino 7-6(3) 6-1 and Franco Roncadelli 6-0 6-2.
In the 1st round, Mariano had a good straight sets win against Roncadelli (6-0 6-2). During the match Kestelboim scored 65 points vs Roncadelli’s 40. Mariano was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Kestelboim couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Mariano Kestelboim lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Kestelboim put 73% of his first serves in, winning 68% (27/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (6/15) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Roncadelli 6 times after converting 43% of his break points (6/14).
The Argentine’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M15 Villa Maria,M15 Neuquen and M15 Cordoba.
Kestelboim has an overall 29-16 win-loss record in 2024, 29-16 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Guayaquil Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2017. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Coria | Kestelboim |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 52 |
| Pts | 85-76 | 214-152 |
| Total Points | 161 | 366 |
| Winners | 29 | 90 |
| %Winners | 34% | 42% |
Coria played 1 match while Kestelboim competed in 3 matches. Kestelboim started his run from the qualifications while Coria had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Coria has played 4 set(s) less than Kestelboim (2 vs 6). Therefore, Coria played 29 games less than Kestelboim. Coria scored 29 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, The Argentine recorded 90 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Coria | Kestelboim |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 0.3 |
| 1st in | 46/72 | 129/185 |
| %1st in | 64% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 29/46 | 90/129 |
| %1st pts | 63% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 14/26 | 30/56 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 54% |
Coria recorded 1 ace . Kestelboim also managed to score 1 ace (0.3 per match). Coria won 63% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Kestelboim won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Coria | Kestelboim |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 13 |
| Converted | 5/15 | 13/36 |
| % Converted | 33% | 36% |
| Conceded | 7 | 13 |
| Saved | 3 | 10 |
| % Saved | 43% | 77% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 |
Federico broke his opponent 5 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Argentine lost his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded. Kestelboim broke his opponents 13 times with a 36% conversion rate. Kestelboim conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.
| Coria | |||
| R1 Kicker |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 85-76 | 85-76 | |
| Total points | 161 | 161 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 46/72 | 46/72 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 29/46 | 29/46 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/26 | 14/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/15 | 5/15 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/7 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 43% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Kestelboim | |||||
| Q1 Fernando Rubio Fierros |
Q3 Huertas Del Pino |
R1 Roncadelli |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 7-63 6-1 | 6-0 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 20 | 14 | 52 | |
| pts | 78-62 | 71-50 | 65-40 | 214-152 | |
| Total points | 140 | 121 | 105 | 366 | |
| Winners | 34 | 29 | 27 | 90 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 41% | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 47/72 | 42/58 | 40/55 | 129/185 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 72% | 73% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 34/47 | 29/42 | 27/40 | 90/129 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 69% | 68% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/25 | 11/16 | 6/15 | 30/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 69% | 40% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | |
| Converted | 3/12 | 4/10 | 6/14 | 13/36 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 40% | 43% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 1/3 | 5/6 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 33% | 83% | 216% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWWLWW
LWLLWWWLLL Tennis Scores in Guayaquil Challenger
- Murkel Alejandro Dellien VelascoAlejandro Dellien Velasco – Marcos Lee Chan BaratauLee Chan Baratau (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Francisco ComesanaComesana – Francisco CastroCastro (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Mariano KestelboimKestelboim – Franco RoncadelliRoncadelli (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Oriol Roca BatallaRoca Batalla – Gastao EliasElias (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez – Mathys ErhardErhard (6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Vit KoprivaKopriva – Garrett JohnsJohns (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Roman Andres BurruchagaAndres Burruchaga – Pedro SakamotoSakamoto (7-61 ret.) – See score progression
- Ryan NijboerNijboer – Angel VelizVeliz (6-0 6-1) – See score progression
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Renzo OlivoOlivo (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Alex BarrenaBarrena – Vilius GaubasGaubas (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Henrique RochaRocha – Gerard Campana LeeCampana Lee (4-6 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Federico CoriaCoria – Nicolas KickerKicker (7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Tomas Barrios VeraBarrios Vera – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Gonzalo BuenoBueno – Elmer MollerMoller (4-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – Ignacio BuseBuse (5-7 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Andres AndradeAndrade – Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti (5-7 6-3 7-63) – See score progression
- Francisco ComesanaComesana – Francisco CastroCastro (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Renzo OlivoOlivo (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Oriol Roca BatallaRoca Batalla – Vit KoprivaKopriva (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Mariano KestelboimKestelboim – Federico CoriaCoria (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Andres AndradeAndrade – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ryan NijboerNijboer – Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco ComesanaComesana – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
