Naoki Nakagawa and Bruno Kuzuhara will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Charlottesville Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 3:00 pm on BRENDA MYERS COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naoki Nakagawa who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Naoki Nakagawa is the pick to win this match.
Naoki Nakagawa -> 1.54
Bruno Kuzuhara -> 2.35

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Prediction and head to head Naoki Nakagawa vs. Bruno Kuzuhara

There is no head to head record between Naoki Nakagawa and Bruno Kuzuhara since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Naoki Nakagawa

Naoki Nakagawa

21 - 11win/loss

Hard
11-10
I Hard
9-0
Clay
1-1
Rank
385
High
334
WLWWWWWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 21-11 11-10 1-1 9-0 0-0 0-0
2023 43-23 42-19 1-3 0-1 0-0 0-0
2022 31-27 16-16 10-9 5-2 0-0 0-0
2021 34-15 32-13 2-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 14-4 14-4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 385, Nakagawa reached the qualifications after defeating Ozan Baris 6-7(3) 7-6(5) 7-6(1).

In the qualifications against Baris, The Japanese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-73 7-65 7-61). During the match, Nakagawa scored 127 points vs Baris’s 125. Nakagawa was very aggressive to blast 44 winners.

Regarding the service games, Nakagawa bagged 6 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Naoki Nakagawa was extremely effective on serve to win 71% (44/62) of his 1st serve and 53% (36/68) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 4 times. The Japanese broke Baris 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Nakagawa has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (278-178). 9-0 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Nakagawa has a composed 17-9 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Columbus Challenger where he overcame James Kent Trotter in the final 7-6(8) 5-7 7-6(5).

Nakagawa has a composed 21-11 win-loss record in 2024, 9-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Charlottesville Challenger

Nakagawa has never competed in this tournament before.

Charlottesville Challenger
Nakagawa's Record

Bruno Kuzuhara

Bruno Kuzuhara

28 - 30win/loss

Hard
12-16
I Hard
1-3
Clay
15-11
Rank
435
High
394
WLLLLLLLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 28-30 12-16 15-11 1-3 0-0 0-0
2023 41-30 13-6 28-23 0-1 0-0 0-0
2022 28-23 8-13 20-10 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 9-13 6-6 2-6 1-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 435, Kuzuhara reached the qualifications after defeating Keegan Smith 6-4 6-3.

In the qualifications, Kuzuhara had a good straight sets win against Smith (6-4 6-3). During the match Kuzuhara scored 64 points vs Smith’s 51. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about serving, Kuzuhara couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 4 double faults. Bruno Kuzuhara lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Kuzuhara put 80% of his first serves in, winning 67% (34/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 38% (5/13) on the 2nd serve. Kuzuhara was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Smith 4 times.

Kuzuhara’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in M25 Pensacola.

The American has an overall 28-30 win-loss record in 2024, 1-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Charlottesville Challenger
Kuzuhara's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

N.Nakagawa
B.Kuzuhara
!
3h:07
3h:07
Time on court​
1h:20
1h:20
!
3h:07
3h:07
Last match​
1h:20
1h:20
1
1
Match played
1
1
39
39
Games Played​
19
19
3
3
Set played​​
2
2
127
127
Total points​
64
64
127
127
Avg point​
64
64
44
44
Winners
34
34
44
44
Avg Winners​
34
34
35%
35%
Ratio winners
53%
53%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
0
0
6
6
Avg Aces
0
0
6
6
Double Faults
4
4
!
6
6
Avg Double Faults
4
4
44/62
44/62
1st won total​
34/51
34/51
!
71%
71%
1st won %
67%
67%
36/68
36/68
2nd won total​
5/13
5/13
53%
53%
2nd won %
!
38%
38%
-- Break Points --
4/9
4/9
BP won
4/4
4/4
4/9
4/9
Avg BP won
4/4
4/4
44%
44%
Won
!
100%
100%
11
11
Conceded
7
7
11
11
Avg Conceded
7
7
4
4
Broken
1
1
4
4
Avg Broken
1
1
7
7
Saved
6
6

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Nakagawa Kuzuhara
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 2
Tot Games 39 19
Pts 127-125 64-51
Total Points 252 115
Winners 44 34
%Winners 35% 53%

Both Nakagawa and Kuzuhara played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Naoki Nakagawa lost 1 set while Bruno Kuzuhara hasn’t conceded a set so far. Nakagawa has played 1 set more than Kuzuhara (3 vs 2). Therefore, Nakagawa played 20 games more than Kuzuhara. The Japanese scored 44 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Kuzuhara bagged 34 winners (53%).

Serve Performance

Serve Nakagawa Kuzuhara
Aces 6 0
Avg per match 6 0
1st in 62/130 51/64
%1st in 48% 80%
1st pts 44/62 34/51
%1st pts 71% 67%
2nd pts 36/68 5/13
%2nd pts 53% 38%

Nakagawa recorded 6 aces . Kuzuhara didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Nakagawa won 71% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Kuzuhara won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 38% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Nakagawa Kuzuhara
Won 4 4
Converted 4/9 4/4
% Converted 44% 100%
Conceded 11 7
Saved 7 6
% Saved 64% 86%
Times Broken 4 1

The Japanese broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Naoki surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Kuzuhara broke his opponent 4 times with a 100% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.

Nakagawa
Q1
Baris
Total
Score 6-73 7-65 7-61
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 39 39
pts 127-125 127-125
Total points 252 252
Winners 44 44
%Winners 35% 35%
SERVE
Aces 6 6
Double Faults 6 6
1st in 62/130 62/130
% 1st in 48% 48%
1st pts 44/62 44/62
% 1st pts 71% 71%
2nd pts 36/68 36/68
% 2nd pts 53% 53%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/9 4/9
Converted % 44% 44%
Conceded 11 11
Saved 7/11 7
Saved % 64% 64%
Times Broken 4 4
Kuzuhara
Q1
Smith
Total
Score 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 19 19
pts 64-51 64-51
Total points 115 115
Winners 34 34
%Winners 53% 53%
SERVE
Aces 0 0
Double Faults 4 4
1st in 51/64 51/64
% 1st in 80% 80%
1st pts 34/51 34/51
% 1st pts 67% 67%
2nd pts 5/13 5/13
% 2nd pts 38% 38%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/4 4/4
Converted % 100% 100%
Conceded 7 7
Saved 6/7 6
Saved % 86% 86%
Times Broken 1 1

Upcoming matches in the draw